Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

540

lifetime

Volume

$6.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$55

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-08 12:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

48% 50% +$11

Crypto

31% — —

Other

21% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+41	$34	84¢	$35	+$0	06-08 12:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+22	$20	94¢	$21	+$1	06-08 12:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$317	197	197	+0	open	—	04-25 19:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$279	205	205	+0	open	—	04-25 01:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	10	$262	246	246	+0	open	—	04-23 04:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$257	192	170	+22	open	—	05-26 00:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$193	133	133	+0	open	—	05-17 06:06
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	11	$179	225	217	+8	open	—	04-25 17:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	5	$170	119	119	+0	open	—	05-06 02:12
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	19	$162	95	95	+0	open	—	04-13 05:54
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	6	$134	105	105	+0	open	—	05-25 22:55
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	8	$105	98	98	+0	open	—	04-20 04:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	4	$102	92	92	+0	open	—	05-12 09:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$101	57	57	+0	open	—	05-09 15:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$97	81	40	+41	open	—	05-09 07:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	7	$91	100	28	+72	No	+$11	04-29 07:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	4	$90	104	0	+104	No	+$14	05-07 07:59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	6	$89	81	81	+0	open	—	05-01 18:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	3	$84	72	72	+0	open	—	05-10 20:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$74	58	22	+36	open	—	06-08 12:46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	3	$73	62	28	+34	open	—	05-25 22:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	6	$70	54	54	+0	open	—	05-25 22:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$67	59	59	+0	open	—	05-21 17:21
ethereum above 2300 on april 14	2	$62	58	54	+4	open	—	04-14 17:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	12	$60	52	52	+0	open	—	04-12 03:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	2	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	05-25 21:44
bitcoin above 74k on april 14	4	$52	42	41	+1	open	—	04-14 17:54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$52	32	32	+0	open	—	04-21 04:36
bitcoin above 70k on april 11	10	$52	31	31	+0	open	—	04-11 13:54
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$50	44	44	+0	open	—	05-07 17:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$47	61	60	+1	open	—	04-17 08:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$46	42	42	+0	open	—	05-06 08:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 12:46:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x823b7b…
06-08 12:46:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	84¢	$34	0x7d8647…
06-08 12:46:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x4c0d0e…
06-08 11:48:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x486d68…
06-01 12:45:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0xb3d3d6…
05-27 16:44:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x893d2b…
05-26 00:45:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x750de9…
05-26 00:45:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x63cb1f…
05-25 22:55:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	39¢	$14	0x7975a9…
05-25 22:55:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	36	41¢	$15	0x824c05…
05-25 22:49:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x96fc9f…
05-25 22:47:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xf536e6…
05-25 21:44:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0xfe12e5…
05-25 21:43:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	SELL	28	67¢	$19	0x235699…
05-25 21:43:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	29	62¢	$18	0xb1ee50…
05-25 21:43:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	57¢	$15	0x714e7b…
05-23 22:44:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xa611b5…
05-23 18:45:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xee5882…
05-23 18:45:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0xf90012…
05-23 18:45:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0xb179f4…
05-23 18:45:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$34	0x43d513…
05-23 04:44:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe66692…
05-23 04:43:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x7f0a7f…
05-23 02:48:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x017cbe…
05-22 21:36:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x62bc53…
05-22 21:33:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0xab2d2b…
05-22 21:27:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	27	49¢	$13	0x51d5fd…
05-22 21:00:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	SELL	44	59¢	$26	0xd34b12…
05-22 20:34:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	18	60¢	$11	0x5d6f66…
05-21 18:47:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x695882…
05-21 18:44:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x9241e2…
05-21 18:44:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x180943…
05-21 17:21:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	58¢	$14	0x9e525a…
05-21 00:43:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x92aedc…
05-20 22:52:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0x9ba429…
05-20 22:52:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xd046fc…
05-20 22:40:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	78	77¢	$60	0x1e12e7…
05-17 06:06:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0xa3d6df…
05-17 05:31:03	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x752b9b…
05-16 11:58:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x343718…
05-16 08:00:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x262fc9…
05-15 14:01:23	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x32e027…
05-15 11:34:07	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	Yes	SELL	35	15¢	$5	0xfb9945…
05-15 10:44:37	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x7dbbda…
05-15 09:58:08	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd364de…
05-15 07:58:17	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc16c92…
05-15 07:58:17	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x594a5d…
05-15 07:11:58	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	Yes	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x2d0dd0…
05-14 21:59:43	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x032cbe…
05-14 21:15:30	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x75345c…
05-14 20:00:42	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x63d4e4…
05-14 13:58:48	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x4c105d…
05-14 12:57:12	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0x4cde44…
05-14 09:45:24	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0x4a03fa…
05-14 02:00:29	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	Yes	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0xf76cb5…
05-14 02:00:29	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0x1e1291…
05-14 01:59:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xbd9990…
05-13 03:59:42	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x3929b8…
05-12 09:59:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xdb8dca…
05-12 09:11:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	52	44¢	$23	0xd1ecc7…
05-11 19:43:52	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0x3070a1…
05-11 17:57:58	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x76e23e…
05-11 16:18:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xb63147…
05-10 20:14:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	72	48¢	$35	0x23ee5e…
05-09 15:58:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x3fc42e…
05-09 15:57:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xd9943c…
05-09 09:56:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x2326f4…
05-09 07:56:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	43	80¢	$34	0x84e485…
05-09 07:56:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x216fd2…
05-09 07:56:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	41	85¢	$35	0xd0907f…
05-07 23:56:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x39a45d…
05-07 22:30:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	23	40¢	$9	0xde955e…
05-07 21:56:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xef51c1…
05-07 18:50:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0xfc2ea5…
05-07 17:58:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x612761…
05-07 17:26:11	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	44	49¢	$22	0x5c5bf3…
05-07 15:59:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	42	70¢	$29	0x290786…
05-07 15:04:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	40	70¢	$28	0xaef0bd…
05-07 13:58:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xef8bbd…
05-07 12:50:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	37¢	$13	0xd42f9d…
05-07 12:11:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x378dbf…
05-07 07:59:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0x450523…
05-07 07:44:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	36	86¢	$31	0x529357…
05-06 23:56:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	44	65¢	$29	0xcc7d0a…
05-06 17:56:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x4bb744…
05-06 15:58:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd5705f…
05-06 15:58:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xe775a8…
05-06 15:58:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xd55265…
05-06 14:00:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xc8de7c…
05-06 13:59:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x0f1189…
05-06 12:28:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x62be06…
05-06 12:14:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x7fa6bf…
05-06 12:01:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x0f2d28…
05-06 12:01:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0xee3a2c…
05-06 12:00:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0bda08…
05-06 08:55:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	47¢	$20	0x08beb8…
05-06 08:54:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	92	73¢	$67	0x137fd1…
05-06 08:41:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0x22699b…
05-06 02:12:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	119	75¢	$89	0xbd780c…
05-01 21:58:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0xfcc869…