Rusty-Compost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$10.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$165

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 06-09 04:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 100% +$0

Other

27% — —

Sports

18% 100% +$1

Politics

9% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	+59	$57	97¢	$57	+$0	06-06 19:18
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	+49	$44	91¢	$44	+$0	06-09 04:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	+36	$35	98¢	$35	+$0	06-02 08:00
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	-30	$-28	95¢	$-28	$-0	06-03 08:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 6am et	5	$239	120	120	+0	open	—	04-24 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11PM ET	3	$233	150	100	+50	open	—	04-25 03:57
ethereum above 2500 on april 22	11	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	04-22 15:25
nba den min 2026 04 23	3	$213	110	110	+0	open	—	04-24 03:30
bitcoin above 68k on april 8	2	$209	105	105	+0	open	—	04-08 14:45
btc updown 15m 1777028400	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 11:12
ethereum above 1900 on april 7	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 10:50
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	5	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	04-22 04:35
nba okc lal 2026 04 07	3	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	04-08 04:01
Golden Knights vs. Utah	3	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	04-25 03:46
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta	5	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	04-25 10:09
ethereum up or down april 10 2026 7am et	2	$190	95	95	+0	open	—	04-10 12:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$189	96	96	+0	open	—	05-21 04:55
nhl car chi 2026 04 09	4	$178	89	89	+0	open	—	04-10 02:45
nba hou gsw 2026 04 05	2	$177	90	90	+0	open	—	04-06 04:42
btc updown 15m 1776690900	2	$177	90	90	+0	open	—	04-20 13:29
btc updown 15m 1775448000	3	$152	80	74	+6	open	—	04-06 04:14
atp zverev sinner 2026 04 11	2	$146	74	74	+0	open	—	04-11 13:03
cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	03-28 04:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	05-30 11:45
nhl tb van 2026 03 19	4	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	03-20 04:19
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 6am et	2	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	03-27 10:53
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 3am et	2	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	03-28 07:58
ethereum up or down march 20 2026 2am et	3	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	03-20 07:03
btc updown 15m 1774668600	2	$137	69	69	+0	open	—	03-28 03:44
nba cle lal 2026 03 31	8	$133	70	70	+0	open	—	04-01 06:46
atp popyrin kypson 2026 03 30	9	$132	70	70	+0	open	—	04-01 03:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$132	96	40	+56	open	—	04-19 17:06
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	2	$131	66	66	+0	open	—	04-30 04:10
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	7	$126	160	160	+0	open	—	06-05 12:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 04:48:00	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	46	90¢	$41	0xe5ecdb…
06-09 04:48:00	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x0620b9…
06-09 00:38:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	47	88¢	$41	0x86af30…
06-06 19:18:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0xe10abb…
06-05 12:54:18	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	SELL	60	43¢	$26	0xa31340…
06-03 08:56:57	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xc49214…
06-03 08:40:00	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x511549…
06-03 08:37:57	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	SELL	78	31¢	$24	0xbc4926…
06-03 08:16:26	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x317914…
06-03 08:16:14	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0xd0e95e…
06-03 07:51:30	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x47cf62…
06-03 07:37:51	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x7445fe…
06-03 07:35:24	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0xe253ab…
06-03 07:29:23	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xb9639b…
06-02 08:00:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x012d62…
06-01 13:56:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	47	87¢	$41	0x332978…
06-01 07:19:05	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x551f20…
05-31 15:17:07	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x23dbd9…
05-30 11:45:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x7ebffb…
05-30 08:01:00	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0xfe74f8…
05-30 06:26:14	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0x1db02f…
05-29 07:28:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x5e8159…
05-29 05:38:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x747eee…
05-27 12:10:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xf8c5d9…
05-25 11:46:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xf58163…
05-24 15:03:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x6b3f8c…
05-21 07:38:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xe535e0…
05-21 04:55:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x824a85…
05-20 08:39:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x45a3c6…
05-19 07:34:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0xec26ad…
05-14 10:50:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xbda961…
05-14 03:44:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xb40c76…
05-13 10:03:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x7411c0…
05-12 03:47:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfb1c80…
05-11 05:29:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xdee688…
05-11 05:29:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x86766f…
05-08 05:42:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x6e72d2…
05-04 04:56:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe4876c…
05-03 04:31:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x1364da…
05-03 04:20:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbefeee…
05-01 06:15:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x913dfd…
04-30 04:10:08	Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	Athletics	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x531d30…
04-30 03:56:56	Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xb4b7f0…
04-28 06:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x570b26…
04-28 06:51:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x5897c2…
04-27 09:41:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x8c7aa0…
04-26 13:28:14	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf2052c…
04-26 13:28:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x3678c7…
04-25 10:09:22	Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x0b8d8c…
04-25 10:04:28	Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	97	98¢	$95	0x6dcb90…
04-25 10:03:38	Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x232529…
04-25 10:02:50	Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcfbc6c…
04-25 10:02:16	Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x564567…
04-25 09:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x296bc5…
04-25 09:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x5f78eb…
04-25 03:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xdb2517…
04-25 03:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xac1650…
04-25 03:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x1b2bd9…
04-25 03:46:30	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x7b9c34…
04-25 03:34:38	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0xb31fd1…
04-25 03:34:34	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x7c7d25…
04-24 11:12:48	btc updown 15m 1777028400	Up	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x048272…
04-24 11:10:18	btc updown 15m 1777028400	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc04de9…
04-24 10:57:30	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xee7e1a…
04-24 10:52:30	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x01bbb8…
04-24 10:52:10	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbaa0f2…
04-24 10:52:08	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf35628…
04-24 10:52:08	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x1320b5…
04-24 03:30:16	nba den min 2026 04 23	Timberwolves	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x00b6d0…
04-24 03:09:18	nba den min 2026 04 23	Timberwolves	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x71880d…
04-24 03:09:18	nba den min 2026 04 23	Timberwolves	BUY	90	95¢	$86	0x44bf9a…
04-23 21:51:02	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xcf46d6…
04-23 21:49:38	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xd4583b…
04-23 13:40:24	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x5c7c4c…
04-22 15:25:46	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd3c98a…
04-22 15:25:42	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x359983…
04-22 15:25:26	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x197547…
04-22 15:25:12	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7bcbc5…
04-22 15:24:20	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xdd594d…
04-22 15:24:18	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x90d272…
04-22 15:23:34	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9842e2…
04-22 15:22:56	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xacd16f…
04-22 15:22:30	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdb0dcb…
04-22 15:21:22	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xec325f…
04-22 14:31:34	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x937644…
04-22 04:35:32	Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Chicago White Sox	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x791bec…
04-22 03:25:54	Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Chicago White Sox	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0xa7361d…
04-22 03:25:46	Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Chicago White Sox	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x795ecb…
04-22 03:25:42	Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Chicago White Sox	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x6eb17f…
04-22 03:25:40	Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Chicago White Sox	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x84a632…
04-21 17:55:38	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x3857dd…
04-21 14:34:48	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xd11919…
04-21 09:03:38	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xee0c41…
04-21 08:04:18	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x96879d…
04-20 13:29:08	btc updown 15m 1776690900	Down	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x3ca645…
04-20 13:25:42	btc updown 15m 1776690900	Down	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x7733af…
04-20 05:52:50	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	No	BUY	19	96¢	$19	0x6ac20a…
04-20 03:36:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xdc68b5…
04-20 03:33:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	93¢	$22	0x20f140…
04-20 03:30:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x6718ce…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	56	$530.9K	8,638	06-10 01:34
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	50	$305.7K	771	06-08 16:09
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	49	$153.6K	11,836	06-10 00:44
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	39	$41.4K	622	06-09 17:45
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	37	$61.8K	674	06-08 20:16
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	37	$4.62K	1,126	06-08 23:04
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	35	$7.87M	10,078	06-10 00:09
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	35	$86.3K	6,329	06-01 04:27