Realized P&L
+$1.02K
Unrealized P&L
+$26.2K
Hit rate
16.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
27,477
lifetime
Volume
$10.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$380
Open exposure
$174.9K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-30 02:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
67% 40% +$1,604
Other
28% 50% $-584
Sports
2%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 691 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +24,243 $23,799 100¢ $24.1K +$347 06-20 10:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +32,442 $23,243 72¢ $23.2K $-47 06-24 00:04
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +20,000 $19,155 100¢ $20.0K +$825 06-18 18:33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +19,795 $19,193 100¢ $19.8K +$582 06-26 03:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -51,950 $-34,939 36¢ $-18442 +$16,497 06-15 03:06
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +15,955 $17,077 100¢ $15.9K $-1,145 06-25 11:53
Epstein client list released by June 30? No +11,322 $11,172 99¢ $11.3K +$82 06-19 15:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +13,412 $9,845 80¢ $10.8K +$951 06-19 12:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +10,000 $9,910 100¢ $10.0K +$80 06-20 20:47
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +15,000 $9,750 52¢ $7.9K $-1,875 06-20 12:10
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -4,523 $-3,844 100¢ $-4500 $-656 06-01 13:35
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -3,148 $-2,089 84¢ $-2629 $-539 06-29 20:06
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +2,247 $2,210 100¢ $2.2K +$32 06-15 14:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +1,862 $1,826 100¢ $1.9K +$32 06-16 20:11
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? No -1,521 $-1,232 99¢ $-1511 $-280 05-29 01:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -146,011 $-22,915 $-657 +$22,258 06-19 06:19
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +119 $76 64¢ $76 $-0 06-16 06:09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +2,473 $10,949 $6 $-10,943 06-19 21:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +6 $21 $0 $-21 06-14 07:56