Realized P&L
+$1.02K
Unrealized P&L
+$27.9K
Hit rate
16.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
28,407
lifetime
Volume
$11.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$387
Open exposure
$151.1K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 07-20 18:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
66% 40% +$1,604
Other
29% 50% $-584
Sports
3%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 413 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +60,000 $52,200 74¢ $44.1K $-8,100 07-07 19:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +30,000 $26,500 92¢ $27.4K +$950 07-03 04:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +32,442 $23,243 82¢ $26.6K +$3,360 06-24 00:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +19,134 $14,652 86¢ $16.6K +$1,899 07-08 18:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +14,513 $12,771 88¢ $12.7K $-73 07-02 12:51
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +15,000 $9,750 56¢ $8.3K $-1,425 06-20 12:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +7,893 $6,630 76¢ $6.0K $-592 07-07 05:48
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +5,000 $4,300 86¢ $4.3K $-25 07-20 17:28
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +3,643 $2,842 82¢ $3.0K +$128 07-03 21:45
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -2,178 $-1,284 70¢ $-1535 $-251 07-08 14:41
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +514 $371 80¢ $414 +$43 07-18 21:18
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +119 $76 70¢ $84 +$8 06-16 06:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -2,306 $-32,011 $-36 +$31,975 07-13 18:18