Realized P&L
+$1.02K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.61K
Hit rate
16.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
24,739
lifetime
Volume
$8.75M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$354
Open exposure
$79.0K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-09 23:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
67% 40% +$1,604
Other
28% 50% $-584
Sports
3%
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 4595 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +108,142 $33,383 20¢ $22.2K $-11,214 06-09 18:43
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -18,415 $-16,990 96¢ $-17614 $-624 05-31 19:02
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +13,170 $8,529 66¢ $8.8K +$228 06-10 01:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -58,314 $-14,909 10¢ $-5540 +$9,369 06-09 18:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -14,907 $-8,047 36¢ $-5441 +$2,606 06-01 20:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -11,400 $-7,182 38¢ $-4275 +$2,907 05-29 14:51
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -4,523 $-3,844 92¢ $-4138 $-294 06-01 13:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -21,002 $-8,983 16¢ $-3465 +$5,517 06-09 15:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +7,330 $5,072 30¢ $2.2K $-2,836 06-09 18:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +20,161 $3,334 11¢ $2.2K $-1,116 06-08 00:51
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +37,816 $2,560 $1.6K $-972 06-09 16:55
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? No -1,521 $-1,232 98¢ $-1488 $-256 05-29 01:01
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -79 $-55 72¢ $-56 $-1 05-31 09:57
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +422 $42 11¢ $44 +$2 06-05 16:32
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No -10,302 $-3,300 $-10 +$3,290 06-07 22:25
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No -13 $-9 68¢ $-9 $-0 06-01 03:56