Realized P&L
+$11.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$40.6K
Hit rate
98.6%
Resolved
4
Trades
7,137
lifetime
Volume
$13.9M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.95K
Open exposure
$131.8K
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 05-31 15:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
80% 75% +$11,724
Other
20%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 733 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -230,158 $-28,072 18¢ $-40278 $-12,206 05-31 15:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -41,536 $-25,603 90¢ $-37175 $-11,572 05-31 15:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -30,949 $-19,774 84¢ $-25843 $-6,069 05-31 15:04
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -15,923 $-3,447 100¢ $-15907 $-12,460 05-30 04:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -10,849 $-11,371 90¢ $-9818 +$1,553 05-31 15:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -3,738 $-1,490 62¢ $-2337 $-846 05-31 15:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -10,000 $-500 $-245 +$255 05-29 23:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -343 $-939 70¢ $-238 +$701 05-31 15:06