Sentimental-Down — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

7,137

lifetime

Volume

$13.9M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.95K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-31 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

80% 75% +$11,724

Other

20% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 733 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	658	$1.62M	958,195	1,001,246	-43,052	open	—	05-31 15:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	416	$1.32M	1,082,267	443,372	+638,895	open	—	05-14 21:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	201	$966.8K	483,785	541,996	-58,211	open	—	05-31 15:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	109	$767.5K	513,410	275,827	+237,584	open	—	04-30 21:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	307	$723.1K	659,173	115,595	+543,578	open	—	04-30 03:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	311	$718.1K	392,570	388,543	+4,027	open	—	05-14 21:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	241	$650.3K	685,760	57,681	+628,079	open	—	05-26 19:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	403	$603.2K	412,285	409,438	+2,847	open	—	05-31 15:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	238	$451.1K	256,649	245,727	+10,922	open	—	05-26 22:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	292	$386.0K	210,576	241,896	-31,320	open	—	05-31 15:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	90	$378.8K	399,835	759	+399,076	open	—	05-22 22:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	143	$357.0K	370,788	20,000	+350,788	open	—	05-14 20:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	278	$352.0K	373,656	5,000	+368,656	open	—	05-27 21:53
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	43	$312.7K	316,133	0	+316,133	open	—	04-24 13:34
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	13	$290.6K	287,683	4,231	+283,453	open	—	04-25 01:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	9	$281.3K	226,957	58,342	+168,615	No	+$3,844	05-12 08:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	110	$267.5K	266,209	10,598	+255,611	No	+$8,551	05-08 18:32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	60	$262.5K	130,735	136,108	-5,374	open	—	05-25 03:25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	120	$261.0K	311,189	0	+311,189	open	—	05-30 01:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	71	$257.3K	131,085	131,000	+85	open	—	04-29 10:46
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	409	$245.6K	235,420	31,973	+203,447	open	—	05-29 00:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	159	$203.8K	223,345	5,000	+218,345	open	—	04-29 02:11
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	130	$178.3K	109,289	102,950	+6,339	open	—	05-31 15:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	98	$160.4K	174,385	0	+174,385	open	—	05-20 15:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	247	$157.6K	99,200	97,482	+1,718	open	—	05-31 15:04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	116	$156.6K	99,376	99,711	-335	open	—	05-31 15:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	76	$131.2K	68,228	68,228	+0	open	—	04-29 20:19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	46	$114.6K	119,089	0	+119,089	open	—	05-25 23:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	22	$111.4K	112,338	0	+112,338	open	—	04-26 23:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	22	$93.2K	68,863	25,000	+43,863	open	—	04-28 23:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 15:06:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	54	71¢	$38	0xbedeb8…
05-31 15:06:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,738	40¢	$1,490	0x6920c5…
05-31 15:06:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	449	71¢	$319	0x493995…
05-31 15:06:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	4,937	35¢	$1,738	0x1e82ce…
05-31 15:06:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	59	71¢	$42	0xba22f2…
05-31 15:06:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	4,950	67¢	$3,293	0xab57b0…
05-31 15:06:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	150	71¢	$106	0x810fca…
05-31 15:06:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	218	71¢	$155	0x3ce731…
05-31 15:06:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	28¢	$1,397	0x0ac991…
05-31 15:06:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	15,000	20¢	$2,977	0xdef639…
05-31 15:06:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	9,476	40¢	$3,822	0x362f59…
05-31 15:06:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5,524	49¢	$2,680	0x63e5a6…
05-31 15:06:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,615	99¢	$4,555	0x12f884…
05-31 15:05:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	4,697	38¢	$1,774	0x9bd0ad…
05-31 15:05:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	15,303	58¢	$8,856	0x90d02c…
05-31 15:05:51	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	6,131	49¢	$2,997	0x51f577…
05-31 15:05:51	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	8,877	82¢	$7,246	0x1c9739…
05-31 15:05:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	106	71¢	$75	0x27f185…
05-31 15:05:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	14,996	100¢	$14,981	0xc42dee…
05-31 15:05:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	10,358	79¢	$8,160	0xf311f3…
05-31 15:05:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	8,165	59¢	$4,828	0x72ed4f…
05-31 15:05:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19,498	99¢	$19,225	0x9f62d5…
05-31 15:04:55	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	20,588	92¢	$18,877	0x8b0036…
05-31 15:04:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4,102	55¢	$2,249	0xd09e42…
05-31 15:04:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13,867	68¢	$9,479	0xe2f39f…
05-31 15:04:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7,406	65¢	$4,794	0x974c07…
05-31 15:04:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,947	59¢	$3,501	0x0d7770…
05-31 15:04:48	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	26,505	97¢	$25,608	0x69bfa7…
05-31 15:04:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	35,000	81¢	$28,350	0x784096…
05-31 15:04:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	31,652	88¢	$27,855	0x4bc7e1…
05-31 15:04:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	30,466	98¢	$29,857	0xfb76bb…
05-31 15:04:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14,217	36¢	$5,138	0xbbaf0c…
05-31 15:04:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17,734	82¢	$14,481	0x7012b7…
05-31 15:04:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,685	65¢	$6,908	0x1c82d7…
05-31 15:04:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	756	97¢	$735	0xd48cdc…
05-31 15:04:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x0226c1…
05-31 15:04:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xbcd59d…
05-31 15:04:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x14e1a8…
05-31 15:04:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x594e01…
05-31 15:03:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x5ad1ec…
05-31 15:03:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x28131e…
05-31 15:03:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0x07f170…
05-31 15:03:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	280	97¢	$272	0x2783f4…
05-31 15:03:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9f7d27…
05-31 15:03:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38,869	95¢	$36,999	0x8c2348…
05-31 15:03:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x592528…
05-31 15:03:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x578e0c…
05-31 15:03:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	321	96¢	$309	0x45a3d0…
05-31 15:03:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	1,048	97¢	$1,019	0xfdca0d…
05-31 15:03:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe0f648…
05-31 15:03:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10,112	8¢	$809	0xa3c89f…
05-31 15:03:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	51,926	14¢	$7,263	0x91212f…
05-31 15:03:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	115,395	10¢	$11,650	0x62ce90…
05-31 15:03:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20,756	15¢	$3,150	0x5a56eb…
05-31 15:03:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31,968	16¢	$5,200	0x7cf9c3…
05-31 15:03:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x39585e…
05-31 15:03:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	36,222	71¢	$25,583	0x32e8aa…
05-31 15:03:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	18,424	68¢	$12,609	0x324164…
05-31 15:03:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5,862	65¢	$3,784	0x033b04…
05-31 15:03:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xde013f…
05-31 15:03:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x6f4567…
05-31 15:03:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	96¢	$4,825	0xda6e03…
05-31 15:03:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xac37b1…
05-31 15:03:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x90a7b1…
05-31 15:03:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	14,211	76¢	$10,833	0x63e4a1…
05-31 15:03:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	33,877	40¢	$13,533	0x528a3c…
05-31 15:03:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0xb9587f…
05-31 15:03:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x618fec…
05-31 15:03:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x59be5e…
05-31 15:03:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xaf9fac…
05-31 15:03:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x623925…
05-31 15:03:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x771911…
05-31 15:03:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x375dcf…
05-31 15:03:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60,304	17¢	$10,008	0x77ebd9…
05-31 15:03:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	90	97¢	$88	0x29e259…
05-31 15:03:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0xfc2dcb…
05-31 15:03:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	88	97¢	$86	0xfa5191…
05-31 15:03:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0xbe91fd…
05-31 15:03:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0xa5fc14…
05-31 15:03:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x7fbd79…
05-31 15:03:28	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	30,291	97¢	$29,458	0x60d396…
05-31 15:03:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x5bafc2…
05-31 15:03:28	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	24,004	5¢	$1,090	0x184dec…
05-31 15:03:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x15bb39…
05-31 15:03:28	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	6,527	54¢	$3,524	0x0b2e02…
05-31 15:03:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xed694e…
05-31 15:03:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0xdd0b01…
05-31 15:03:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd9adb9…
05-31 15:03:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb8d638…
05-31 15:03:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0xab7827…
05-31 15:03:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0x4643ea…
05-31 15:03:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2a26dc…
05-31 15:03:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0x21b4b0…
05-31 15:03:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x1f4fa7…
05-31 15:03:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	14,831	43¢	$6,432	0xa106ef…
05-31 15:03:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	32,267	87¢	$28,030	0x9cfd46…
05-31 15:03:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	47,663	96¢	$45,575	0x8bd50b…
05-31 15:03:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x4af285…
05-31 15:01:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x68550d…
05-31 15:01:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe849c2…