Sentimental-Down — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$234.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$27.9K

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

Trades

7,994

lifetime

Volume

$14.6M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.82K

Open exposure

$4.62K

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-31 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

81% 74% +$179,358

Other

19% 77% +$55,317

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-31).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-24,992	$23,243	18¢	$-4623	-$27,866	05-31 15:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	711	$1.76M	1,064,397	1,058,252	+6,144	No	-$42,051	05-31 15:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	421	$1.38M	1,139,619	448,204	+691,415	No	-$32,880	05-14 21:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	213	$1.01M	533,049	542,261	-9,212	No	+$54,063	05-31 15:07
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	109	$767.5K	513,410	275,827	+237,584	No	+$9,561	04-30 21:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	312	$728.9K	392,570	400,035	-7,465	No	+$32,571	05-14 21:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	307	$723.1K	659,173	115,595	+543,578	No	+$50,474	04-30 03:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	251	$653.3K	689,076	57,681	+631,395	No	+$86,336	05-26 19:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	422	$629.7K	417,114	436,368	-19,254	No	-$169,064	05-31 15:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	247	$470.0K	266,006	256,800	+9,205	No	+$34,285	05-26 22:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	311	$406.8K	234,103	241,896	-7,793	No	-$19,768	05-31 15:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	96	$391.1K	412,910	759	+412,151	No	+$22,589	05-22 22:06
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	286	$366.1K	388,863	5,000	+383,863	No	+$27,097	05-27 21:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	147	$357.3K	371,080	20,000	+351,080	No	+$18,616	05-14 20:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	43	$312.7K	316,133	0	+316,133	No	+$3,439	04-24 13:34
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	148	$302.9K	354,413	0	+354,413	No	+$51,536	05-30 01:12
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	13	$290.6K	287,683	4,231	+283,453	No	+$1,267	04-25 01:30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	421	$288.8K	280,442	32,267	+248,174	No	+$22,112	05-29 00:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	9	$281.3K	226,957	58,342	+168,615	No	+$3,844	05-12 08:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	110	$267.5K	266,209	10,598	+255,611	No	+$8,551	05-08 18:32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	63	$264.6K	132,910	136,108	-3,199	Yes	+$3,937	05-25 03:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	71	$257.3K	131,085	131,000	+85	No	+$3,735	04-29 10:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	159	$203.8K	223,345	5,000	+218,345	No	+$15,077	04-29 02:11
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	137	$187.1K	112,641	110,965	+1,676	No	+$7,700	05-31 15:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	98	$160.4K	174,385	0	+174,385	No	+$13,977	05-20 15:16
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	120	$160.2K	101,329	102,980	-1,652	No	+$8,632	05-31 15:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	252	$158.9K	99,200	99,200	+0	No	+$15,039	05-31 15:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	76	$131.2K	68,228	68,228	+0	No	+$4,585	04-29 20:19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	47	$117.0K	121,529	0	+121,529	No	+$4,508	05-25 23:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	22	$111.4K	112,338	0	+112,338	No	+$890	04-26 23:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	22	$93.2K	68,863	25,000	+43,863	No	+$606	04-28 23:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 15:08:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	10,000	97¢	$9,667	0x6619ca…
05-31 15:08:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x6fe5fe…
05-31 15:08:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x51e1be…
05-31 15:07:59	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xfb5d7f…
05-31 15:07:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	264	100¢	$263	0x08b289…
05-31 15:07:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	332	94¢	$312	0xb03ddd…
05-31 15:07:50	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	675	98¢	$662	0x9ec57f…
05-31 15:07:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	1,477	64¢	$947	0x10822c…
05-31 15:07:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,476	100¢	$1,468	0x6586af…
05-31 15:07:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,615	99¢	$4,551	0xa3413e…
05-31 15:06:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	54	71¢	$38	0xbedeb8…
05-31 15:06:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,738	40¢	$1,490	0x6920c5…
05-31 15:06:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	449	71¢	$319	0x493995…
05-31 15:06:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	4,937	35¢	$1,738	0x1e82ce…
05-31 15:06:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	59	71¢	$42	0xba22f2…
05-31 15:06:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	4,950	67¢	$3,293	0xab57b0…
05-31 15:06:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	150	71¢	$106	0x810fca…
05-31 15:06:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	218	71¢	$155	0x3ce731…
05-31 15:06:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	28¢	$1,397	0x0ac991…
05-31 15:06:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	15,000	20¢	$2,977	0xdef639…
05-31 15:06:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	9,476	40¢	$3,822	0x362f59…
05-31 15:06:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5,524	49¢	$2,680	0x63e5a6…
05-31 15:06:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,615	99¢	$4,555	0x12f884…
05-31 15:05:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	4,697	38¢	$1,774	0x9bd0ad…
05-31 15:05:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	15,303	58¢	$8,856	0x90d02c…
05-31 15:05:51	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	6,131	49¢	$2,997	0x51f577…
05-31 15:05:51	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	8,877	82¢	$7,246	0x1c9739…
05-31 15:05:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	106	71¢	$75	0x27f185…
05-31 15:05:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	14,996	100¢	$14,981	0xc42dee…
05-31 15:05:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	10,358	79¢	$8,160	0xf311f3…
05-31 15:05:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	8,165	59¢	$4,828	0x72ed4f…
05-31 15:05:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19,498	99¢	$19,225	0x9f62d5…
05-31 15:04:55	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	20,588	92¢	$18,877	0x8b0036…
05-31 15:04:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4,102	55¢	$2,249	0xd09e42…
05-31 15:04:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13,867	68¢	$9,479	0xe2f39f…
05-31 15:04:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7,406	65¢	$4,794	0x974c07…
05-31 15:04:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,947	59¢	$3,501	0x0d7770…
05-31 15:04:48	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	26,505	97¢	$25,608	0x69bfa7…
05-31 15:04:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	35,000	81¢	$28,350	0x784096…
05-31 15:04:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	31,652	88¢	$27,855	0x4bc7e1…
05-31 15:04:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	30,466	98¢	$29,857	0xfb76bb…
05-31 15:04:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14,217	36¢	$5,138	0xbbaf0c…
05-31 15:04:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17,734	82¢	$14,481	0x7012b7…
05-31 15:04:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,685	65¢	$6,908	0x1c82d7…
05-31 15:04:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	756	97¢	$735	0xd48cdc…
05-31 15:04:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x0226c1…
05-31 15:04:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xbcd59d…
05-31 15:04:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x14e1a8…
05-31 15:04:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x594e01…
05-31 15:03:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x5ad1ec…
05-31 15:03:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x28131e…
05-31 15:03:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0x07f170…
05-31 15:03:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	280	97¢	$272	0x2783f4…
05-31 15:03:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9f7d27…
05-31 15:03:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38,869	95¢	$36,999	0x8c2348…
05-31 15:03:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x592528…
05-31 15:03:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x578e0c…
05-31 15:03:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	321	96¢	$309	0x45a3d0…
05-31 15:03:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	1,048	97¢	$1,019	0xfdca0d…
05-31 15:03:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe0f648…
05-31 15:03:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10,112	8¢	$809	0xa3c89f…
05-31 15:03:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	51,926	14¢	$7,263	0x91212f…
05-31 15:03:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	115,395	10¢	$11,650	0x62ce90…
05-31 15:03:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20,756	15¢	$3,150	0x5a56eb…
05-31 15:03:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31,968	16¢	$5,200	0x7cf9c3…
05-31 15:03:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x39585e…
05-31 15:03:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	36,222	71¢	$25,583	0x32e8aa…
05-31 15:03:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	18,424	68¢	$12,609	0x324164…
05-31 15:03:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5,862	65¢	$3,784	0x033b04…
05-31 15:03:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xde013f…
05-31 15:03:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x6f4567…
05-31 15:03:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	96¢	$4,825	0xda6e03…
05-31 15:03:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xac37b1…
05-31 15:03:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x90a7b1…
05-31 15:03:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	14,211	76¢	$10,833	0x63e4a1…
05-31 15:03:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	33,877	40¢	$13,533	0x528a3c…
05-31 15:03:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0xb9587f…
05-31 15:03:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x618fec…
05-31 15:03:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x59be5e…
05-31 15:03:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xaf9fac…
05-31 15:03:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x623925…
05-31 15:03:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x771911…
05-31 15:03:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x375dcf…
05-31 15:03:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60,304	17¢	$10,008	0x77ebd9…
05-31 15:03:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	90	97¢	$88	0x29e259…
05-31 15:03:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0xfc2dcb…
05-31 15:03:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	88	97¢	$86	0xfa5191…
05-31 15:03:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0xbe91fd…
05-31 15:03:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0xa5fc14…
05-31 15:03:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x7fbd79…
05-31 15:03:28	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	30,291	97¢	$29,458	0x60d396…
05-31 15:03:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x5bafc2…
05-31 15:03:28	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	24,004	5¢	$1,090	0x184dec…
05-31 15:03:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x15bb39…
05-31 15:03:28	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	6,527	54¢	$3,524	0x0b2e02…
05-31 15:03:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xed694e…
05-31 15:03:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0xdd0b01…
05-31 15:03:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd9adb9…
05-31 15:03:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb8d638…
05-31 15:03:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0xab7827…