Whispered-Cooking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

312

lifetime

Volume

$9.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$100

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 06-30 06:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 100% +$1

Other

32% — —

Tech

9% — —

Politics

7% — —

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+61	$53	88¢	$54	+$1	06-30 06:36
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes		+47	$46	99¢	$46	+$1	06-10 07:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11PM ET	2	$280	140	140	+0	open	—	05-01 03:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	7	$248	126	126	+0	open	—	04-28 03:40
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 2am et	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	04-01 06:52
ethereum up or down march 31 2026 11pm et	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-01 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4AM ET	9	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 08:59
ethereum up or down march 20 2026 5am et	3	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	03-20 10:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	3	$157	110	55	+55	open	—	05-24 06:17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$153	111	60	+51	open	—	04-14 13:52
eth updown 15m 1776665700	2	$150	76	76	+0	open	—	04-20 06:29
nhl cal col 2026 04 09	3	$145	75	75	+0	open	—	04-10 03:01
btc updown 15m 1774670400	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	03-28 04:14
btc updown 15m 1775213100	2	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	04-03 11:00
btc updown 15m 1775207700	2	$138	70	70	+0	open	—	04-03 09:27
nba bkn lal 2026 03 27	3	$135	70	70	+0	open	—	03-28 03:05
btc updown 15m 1774667700	2	$135	70	70	+0	open	—	03-28 03:28
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 2am et	3	$133	70	70	+0	open	—	03-20 06:52
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 1am et	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	04-20 05:56
btc updown 15m 1776660300	3	$131	66	66	+0	open	—	04-20 04:57
lol bro1 ktc 2026 04 13	3	$130	66	66	+0	open	—	04-13 08:41
ethereum up or down april 13 2026 4am et	12	$121	66	66	+0	open	—	04-13 09:00
ethereum above 2000 on april 1	5	$119	120	0	+120	open	—	04-01 12:45
btc updown 15m 1776661200	2	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	04-20 05:12
btc updown 15m 1774080900	11	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	03-21 08:28
btc updown 15m 1775198700	2	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	04-03 07:00
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	5	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	04-11 15:13
highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 66 67f	4	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	03-31 03:47
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	5	$115	60	60	+0	open	—	04-10 15:02
nba por sas 2026 04 19	2	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	04-20 02:53
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	7	$113	60	56	+4	open	—	03-23 11:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 06:36:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xbb8ba5…
06-30 06:24:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x8cbd5a…
06-30 06:01:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xac3007…
06-30 05:41:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xb986b8…
06-29 08:21:50	ethereum above 1700 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x3a9470…
06-29 06:08:19	will wti dip to 50 in june 2026 932 595 332	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x0a8189…
06-28 23:47:44	will wti dip to 50 in june 2026 932 595 332	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb6256e…
06-28 05:12:17	ethereum above 1500 on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x5da19f…
06-27 11:56:56	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x463019…
06-26 09:11:55	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x758567…
06-24 13:44:56	will wti dip to 50 in june 2026 932 595 332	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xb21f25…
06-23 14:54:49	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x9c5aeb…
06-20 08:02:26	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x248d2d…
06-19 06:19:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	39	90¢	$35	0xaba173…
06-16 19:36:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,700	0¢	$8	0x34c248…
06-16 19:33:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	700	1¢	$4	0xc9f093…
06-16 09:15:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	84	3¢	$2	0x032083…
06-16 09:12:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x47200d…
06-16 09:12:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x5bc15a…
06-16 09:09:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe89a7c…
06-15 02:12:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	63	18¢	$12	0x03617a…
06-15 02:11:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0x2a4e35…
06-14 06:38:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x95e91c…
06-14 05:47:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x207b59…
06-10 13:00:30	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x6c45c8…
06-10 07:26:09	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x27421a…
06-10 05:49:18	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x41a52b…
06-10 01:45:45	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x31f77f…
06-09 12:01:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0xc1195c…
06-09 08:34:40	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x3f1ee9…
06-09 00:38:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0x86af30…
06-09 00:20:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x4092ae…
06-08 04:38:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x96196e…
06-08 04:38:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8628ca…
06-08 04:37:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd16f61…
06-03 21:39:46	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	35	93¢	$33	0x26c33f…
06-01 13:56:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x332978…
05-30 07:09:20	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x50de05…
05-28 04:02:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x78bf87…
05-26 05:29:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x14e89d…
05-26 04:27:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xd65179…
05-24 06:17:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x7e1ebb…
05-23 08:57:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0xee1b12…
05-20 11:45:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x456ec4…
05-18 06:33:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x38ccbf…
05-15 08:51:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x65a6b8…
05-15 06:19:00	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xa1e322…
05-14 04:02:57	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x6a33c4…
05-14 03:46:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xc04e74…
05-12 04:15:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7638d2…
05-12 04:15:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x6e1a74…
05-12 04:15:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0c79fb…
05-11 04:06:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x60f166…
05-09 04:59:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe63805…
05-06 08:36:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0xb13e4c…
05-05 12:47:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xa3f4dd…
05-04 08:31:26	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x6213ea…
05-03 04:51:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x79f2a1…
05-01 07:04:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x6971e4…
05-01 03:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x58d3a8…
05-01 03:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x2f2d67…
04-28 09:28:58	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0xc3778f…
04-28 09:18:10	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xcc39ef…
04-28 09:18:10	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	84	82¢	$69	0xb40d10…
04-28 08:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	73	98¢	$71	0xf54b20…
04-28 08:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe956c4…
04-28 08:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xf88e3f…
04-28 08:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfb1d22…
04-28 08:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8303f8…
04-28 08:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x97612f…
04-28 08:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0x6eb65e…
04-28 08:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x9f2491…
04-28 08:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2c9d2a…
04-28 06:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x33c088…
04-28 06:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xbf0371…
04-28 03:40:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x60fc31…
04-27 05:46:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xa3a37c…
04-26 12:08:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x4e8bc5…
04-25 17:45:18	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x1bb795…
04-25 09:30:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x08a8fd…
04-24 06:14:10	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xb88192…
04-23 15:22:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xf5f978…
04-23 03:49:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x430d75…
04-22 14:37:04	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	No	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x21cecf…
04-22 05:31:38	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x14b8c5…
04-21 03:36:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xec29cc…
04-20 06:29:34	eth updown 15m 1776665700	Up	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x83b368…
04-20 06:27:06	eth updown 15m 1776665700	Up	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0xfc9d5f…
04-20 05:56:30	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x9e4be6…
04-20 05:54:36	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x0a3fdd…
04-20 05:12:16	btc updown 15m 1776661200	Down	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc80712…
04-20 05:07:32	btc updown 15m 1776661200	Down	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x1e0f15…
04-20 04:57:40	btc updown 15m 1776660300	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x904b90…
04-20 04:57:40	btc updown 15m 1776660300	Up	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x75f5a9…
04-20 04:54:44	btc updown 15m 1776660300	Up	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xd9c7a0…
04-20 02:53:02	nba por sas 2026 04 19	Spurs	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x8c9e6e…
04-20 02:51:16	nba por sas 2026 04 19	Spurs	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xa324a0…
04-19 01:46:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x7415e2…
04-18 17:01:08	highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 15c	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xc2ce2e…
04-18 06:39:16	highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 15c	No	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x52c54a…