Realized P&L
+$4.90K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.75K
Hit rate
97.2%
Resolved
13
Trades
1,415
lifetime
Volume
$834.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$590
Open exposure
$36.1K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-09 23:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
62% 86% +$5,434
Other
27% 50% +$107
Crypto
9%
Tech
2%
Sports
0% 0% $-645
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +13,665 $12,002 86¢ $11.7K $-318 06-08 15:46
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +8,897 $6,251 100¢ $8.9K +$2,637 06-05 16:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +9,550 $4,784 46¢ $4.3K $-439 06-04 20:34
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +3,355 $2,251 100¢ $3.4K +$1,101 06-05 16:28
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +2,886 $2,500 91¢ $2.6K +$114 06-09 21:53
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +2,608 $1,801 88¢ $2.3K +$494 06-06 21:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,162 $860 73¢ $848 $-12 06-01 13:46
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +943 $500 76¢ $721 +$221 06-08 09:17
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes +1,205 $590 52¢ $621 +$31 06-02 17:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +433 $251 62¢ $266 +$15 06-06 14:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes +2,660 $235 $146 $-89 06-01 20:05
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +306 $150 43¢ $132 $-18 06-01 20:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +121 $100 93¢ $112 +$12 06-07 19:55
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +55 $50 91¢ $50 +$0 06-05 21:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -82 $-31 36¢ $-29 +$2 06-09 23:56