Realized P&L
+$4.90K
Unrealized P&L
-$6.91K
Hit rate
97.2%
Resolved
13
Trades
2,010
lifetime
Volume
$1.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$536
Open exposure
$43.1K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 07-01 12:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
62% 86% +$5,434
Other
28% 50% +$107
Crypto
7%
Tech
3%
Sports
0% 0% $-645
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +25,385 $23,100 100¢ $25.3K +$2,221 06-20 13:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +9,902 $4,939 42¢ $4.2K $-731 06-12 11:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +13,504 $7,520 26¢ $3.6K $-3,941 06-26 12:27
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +2,886 $2,500 99¢ $2.8K +$348 06-09 21:53
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +3,414 $2,509 76¢ $2.6K +$69 06-29 17:43
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +2,814 $2,250 84¢ $2.4K +$128 06-11 17:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +575 $501 100¢ $574 +$73 06-11 06:20
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes +547 $500 99¢ $543 +$43 06-19 16:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -758 $-416 62¢ $-466 $-50 06-15 14:41
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +7,711 $4,501 $324 $-4,177 06-28 22:49
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +306 $150 58¢ $179 +$29 06-01 20:13
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +500 $115 22¢ $107 $-7 07-01 12:59
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +35 $30 89¢ $31 +$1 06-10 18:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +4,140 $928 $10 $-918 06-26 12:37