Somber-Pinto — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

Trades

23,593

lifetime

Volume

$642.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-25 09:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

44% 12% +$0

Politics

44% 100% +$0

Crypto

9% 50% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 1489 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2,039	$51.6K	26,232	26,252	-19	open	—	06-25 09:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	935	$32.7K	16,684	16,649	+35	open	—	05-16 06:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1,315	$32.7K	16,509	16,502	+7	open	—	05-30 19:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1,086	$31.4K	15,779	15,860	-81	open	—	05-29 18:25
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1,129	$28.0K	14,069	14,078	-10	open	—	05-15 05:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	966	$26.3K	13,288	13,288	+0	open	—	06-21 15:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	505	$25.2K	12,640	12,640	+0	No	+$0	05-12 08:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	838	$21.3K	10,956	10,948	+8	open	—	06-23 03:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	768	$17.0K	8,592	8,584	+7	open	—	06-14 23:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	712	$17.0K	8,705	8,712	-8	open	—	05-27 01:15
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	522	$16.6K	8,360	8,330	+30	open	—	06-24 17:08
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	424	$15.8K	7,909	7,909	-0	open	—	05-17 01:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	462	$15.5K	7,815	7,809	+6	open	—	05-14 07:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	393	$15.5K	7,806	7,806	-0	open	—	05-14 23:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	684	$15.4K	7,801	7,774	+27	open	—	06-25 08:11
Trump out as President by June 30?	578	$13.3K	6,697	6,716	-19	open	—	06-25 08:20
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	392	$13.2K	6,761	6,477	+284	open	—	06-14 10:42
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	360	$12.6K	6,338	6,294	+44	open	—	06-18 00:31
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	466	$12.0K	6,071	6,030	+42	open	—	06-17 18:05
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	405	$9.7K	4,896	4,836	+60	open	—	05-20 23:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	268	$9.5K	4,787	4,817	-30	open	—	06-01 06:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	396	$9.2K	4,737	4,589	+148	open	—	05-28 08:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	494	$9.2K	4,665	4,665	+0	open	—	05-15 16:47
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	286	$9.0K	4,519	4,519	+0	open	—	05-19 01:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	281	$8.5K	4,246	4,344	-98	open	—	05-25 21:39
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	182	$7.6K	3,885	3,885	-0	open	—	05-14 21:06
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	225	$7.6K	3,801	3,854	-52	open	—	05-29 05:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	271	$7.1K	3,648	3,648	+0	open	—	06-25 09:59
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	209	$6.3K	3,251	3,092	+160	open	—	05-25 20:22
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	249	$6.1K	3,082	3,082	+0	open	—	06-22 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 09:59:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf0e6d8…
06-25 09:59:56	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x36ef77…
06-25 09:59:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0x32da54…
06-25 09:00:02	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7f3fac…
06-25 08:59:49	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb688db…
06-25 08:54:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$95	0x771aaa…
06-25 08:49:19	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0xb6f7e6…
06-25 08:49:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$95	0xba67fb…
06-25 08:49:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0xe9a64b…
06-25 08:48:32	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3145bf…
06-25 08:48:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x03d1f3…
06-25 08:48:02	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5dd7ec…
06-25 08:47:58	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x83095a…
06-25 08:47:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xec995f…
06-25 08:47:37	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xba2535…
06-25 08:47:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x479a8f…
06-25 08:47:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xaef692…
06-25 08:46:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4ea502…
06-25 08:46:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9629c0…
06-25 08:46:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x35c35a…
06-25 08:46:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x860c89…
06-25 08:46:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf04bcc…
06-25 08:46:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x579fd9…
06-25 08:45:37	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6520f9…
06-25 08:45:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x398dbc…
06-25 08:45:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x46d975…
06-25 08:45:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x214c69…
06-25 08:44:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x53ea67…
06-25 08:44:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xac265d…
06-25 08:44:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3ec9c0…
06-25 08:44:29	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc68c16…
06-25 08:39:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x28f3c4…
06-25 08:23:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0x5ddad5…
06-25 08:20:56	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$31	0xcd09ae…
06-25 08:19:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$34	0x81e9d0…
06-25 08:19:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xfbf90f…
06-25 08:19:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7286c2…
06-25 08:19:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x7d16b7…
06-25 08:18:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x94979c…
06-25 08:18:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbbc8e9…
06-25 08:18:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x12f3af…
06-25 08:18:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc087f7…
06-25 08:18:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x61d7f6…
06-25 08:18:29	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x90b65d…
06-25 08:18:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xacfa60…
06-25 08:18:23	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x52c92d…
06-25 08:18:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6dd285…
06-25 08:18:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa71328…
06-25 08:18:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5989bc…
06-25 08:18:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x120d85…
06-25 08:18:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x927e9e…
06-25 08:18:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x906759…
06-25 08:18:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2c8dfa…
06-25 08:18:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0cd6f0…
06-25 08:18:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xc0bf54…
06-25 08:18:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9477a…
06-25 08:18:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x493c11…
06-25 08:18:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x21f934…
06-25 08:18:02	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x91401e…
06-25 08:18:02	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x88c2bb…
06-25 08:18:02	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x08275c…
06-25 08:17:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x93ed27…
06-25 08:17:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f08a2…
06-25 08:17:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3e299c…
06-25 08:17:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd57b4f…
06-25 08:17:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x775e2c…
06-25 08:17:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x349995…
06-25 08:17:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x11a885…
06-25 08:17:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x119373…
06-25 08:17:32	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4bb93b…
06-25 08:17:23	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8d7dee…
06-25 08:17:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7c1fd2…
06-25 08:17:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1eaf74…
06-25 08:17:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x45a449…
06-25 08:17:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xfc9afd…
06-25 08:11:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$30	0x00ba16…
06-25 08:00:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xe52730…
06-25 07:45:25	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x30c265…
06-25 07:45:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9bd60a…
06-25 07:45:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9ac870…
06-25 07:45:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x76f250…
06-25 07:45:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5f28c8…
06-25 07:44:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xf08354…
06-25 07:44:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xeddc38…
06-25 07:44:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaf6db8…
06-25 07:44:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x84d936…
06-25 07:44:43	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xc39d56…
06-25 07:44:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe42dea…
06-25 07:44:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfbe644…
06-25 07:35:52	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x32f34e…
06-25 07:16:17	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x632105…
06-25 06:56:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x8674d9…
06-25 06:56:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x24c4db…
06-25 06:56:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x41a7de…
06-25 06:56:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x0a0137…
06-25 06:55:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x46381f…
06-25 06:55:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x83a901…
06-25 06:55:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b2ae6…
06-25 06:54:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xff8f76…
06-25 06:54:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf54c3c…