Realized P&L (24h)
-$0
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (24h)
4
Trades (24h)
205
630 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$5.03K
$19.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$15.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-15 09:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
48% 0% $-1
Other
40% 0% $-0
Sports
12%
Crypto
0% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? No -4,058 $-4,037 100¢ $-4054 $-17 05-14 23:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? No -3,107 $-3,080 99¢ $-3087 $-7 05-14 09:29
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? No -2,043 $-2,027 99¢ $-2030 $-3 05-13 21:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No -1,283 $-1,261 100¢ $-1280 $-19 05-15 07:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No -734 $-729 100¢ $-732 $-3 05-14 19:57
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No -626 $-624 100¢ $-625 $-1 05-13 20:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? No -431 $-421 98¢ $-423 $-1 05-15 07:01
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? No -385 $-383 100¢ $-383 $-0 05-14 23:19
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? No -322 $-321 100¢ $-321 +$0 05-14 23:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? No -310 $-305 99¢ $-306 $-2 05-14 21:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? No -282 $-278 99¢ $-280 $-2 05-13 13:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No -272 $-269 99¢ $-270 $-0 05-15 06:59
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -264 $-258 98¢ $-258 $-0 05-15 09:04
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? No -233 $-231 99¢ $-232 $-1 05-14 21:02
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? No -223 $-222 100¢ $-223 $-1 05-14 21:39
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? No -199 $-197 99¢ $-197 $-0 05-12 18:42
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? No -164 $-163 99¢ $-163 $-0 05-15 08:44
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? No -144 $-143 99¢ $-143 +$0 05-13 04:36
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? No -129 $-129 100¢ $-129 +$0 05-13 08:36
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? No -127 $-124 97¢ $-123 +$1 05-14 00:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes -111 $-109 98¢ $-109 $-0 05-14 18:19
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No -79 $-79 100¢ $-79 $-0 05-15 08:30
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -75 $-74 99¢ $-74 $-0 05-11 16:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No -68 $-67 99¢ $-68 $-1 05-12 16:32
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No -63 $-62 100¢ $-62 +$0 05-14 20:24
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? No -60 $-60 100¢ $-60 $-0 05-15 09:00
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? No -58 $-58 100¢ $-58 $-0 05-12 11:52
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? No -51 $-50 98¢ $-50 $-0 05-13 20:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? No -36 $-36 100¢ $-36 $-0 05-14 22:12
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -31 $-31 100¢ $-31 $-0 05-13 03:31