Stunning-Beetle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.8%

Resolved

Trades

59,549

lifetime

Volume

$1.52M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-25 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

41% 21% $-2

Politics

33% 20% $-18

Sports

17% 25% $-4

Crypto

8% 0% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 3616 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4,527	$128.5K	65,017	65,148	-131	No	$-2	04-27 16:54
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,812	$76.1K	39,118	39,120	-2	open	—	04-28 07:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2,119	$56.9K	28,877	28,987	-110	open	—	05-30 19:45
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2,613	$54.3K	27,315	27,357	-41	open	—	04-28 07:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1,328	$49.5K	25,041	25,020	+21	open	—	05-27 14:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1,302	$47.0K	24,006	23,994	+12	open	—	05-16 06:41
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2,227	$45.5K	22,733	22,956	-223	open	—	04-27 20:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1,607	$45.3K	23,331	23,257	+74	open	—	06-23 03:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	992	$44.0K	21,973	22,105	-133	No	$-1	05-12 08:02
Trump out as President by May 31?	974	$42.7K	21,584	21,597	-13	open	—	05-28 03:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1,658	$41.6K	21,086	21,197	-111	open	—	06-24 21:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1,421	$32.9K	16,623	16,659	-36	open	—	05-29 09:12
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	992	$26.6K	13,480	13,489	-9	Yes	$-0	04-27 21:50
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,197	$25.2K	12,757	12,968	-211	No	$-4	04-26 18:16
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	873	$24.8K	12,504	12,465	+39	open	—	06-24 15:12
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,234	$21.4K	10,776	10,923	-147	open	—	04-27 13:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	726	$20.7K	10,523	10,523	+0	open	—	06-21 02:25
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	846	$18.7K	9,416	9,416	+0	open	—	05-15 05:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	799	$18.2K	9,255	9,269	-14	open	—	06-25 08:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	707	$18.1K	9,169	9,169	+0	open	—	04-29 21:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	768	$17.8K	9,053	9,101	-48	open	—	04-30 23:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	460	$17.7K	9,012	9,011	+0	open	—	04-29 06:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	700	$17.6K	8,888	8,860	+27	open	—	05-30 14:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	446	$16.7K	8,398	8,398	+0	open	—	05-14 23:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	738	$16.5K	8,306	8,413	-108	open	—	06-01 06:05
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	594	$15.3K	7,812	7,812	+0	open	—	06-22 07:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	399	$15.1K	7,728	7,728	+0	open	—	05-23 05:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	510	$14.7K	7,441	7,441	+0	open	—	05-12 17:11
Trump out as President by June 30?	507	$13.5K	6,780	6,792	-12	open	—	06-25 08:20
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	411	$12.3K	6,209	6,221	-12	open	—	05-11 18:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 09:30:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x1a171e…
06-25 09:30:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x60ce37…
06-25 08:59:49	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb688db…
06-25 08:59:34	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x54a436…
06-25 08:35:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf9b4ca…
06-25 08:34:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0ef2a…
06-25 08:34:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7b2290…
06-25 08:34:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x46077d…
06-25 08:34:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc592fe…
06-25 08:34:29	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xea78d0…
06-25 08:34:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd4d9af…
06-25 08:34:19	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf52f81…
06-25 08:34:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb3581e…
06-25 08:34:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x61e816…
06-25 08:33:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8fea3e…
06-25 08:33:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x647979…
06-25 08:33:19	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xeddd04…
06-25 08:33:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4bea42…
06-25 08:33:07	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xa2ba6f…
06-25 08:33:07	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9e8d5b…
06-25 08:33:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7274c…
06-25 08:32:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x321188…
06-25 08:32:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xba17b1…
06-25 08:32:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x680177…
06-25 08:32:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2cc44e…
06-25 08:32:20	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x473468…
06-25 08:32:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8ef368…
06-25 08:32:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5d689f…
06-25 08:32:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x8af8b1…
06-25 08:32:02	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc97e97…
06-25 08:25:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x00b3d6…
06-25 08:20:56	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xcd09ae…
06-25 08:19:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xdfd4d9…
06-25 08:19:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x8629ff…
06-25 08:19:20	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6def1e…
06-25 08:19:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x2353e0…
06-25 08:18:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7c4174…
06-25 08:18:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x570c77…
06-25 08:18:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x1d5a4c…
06-25 08:18:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe3e0e3…
06-25 08:18:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x707d4f…
06-25 08:18:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb6e194…
06-25 08:18:25	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3c2979…
06-25 08:18:23	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x52c92d…
06-25 08:18:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x824288…
06-25 08:18:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x63f96a…
06-25 08:18:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1f2c1e…
06-25 08:18:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xbe63d3…
06-25 08:18:07	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x033c4f…
06-25 08:18:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3781ed…
06-25 08:18:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x10486a…
06-25 08:18:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6512d8…
06-25 08:18:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x546000…
06-25 08:17:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x78fc96…
06-25 08:17:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3e9a19…
06-25 08:17:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x384f81…
06-25 08:17:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x119373…
06-25 08:17:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2f8ec5…
06-25 08:17:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfc9afd…
06-25 08:17:02	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0a543e…
06-25 08:11:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x00ba16…
06-25 08:00:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe52730…
06-25 07:35:52	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x32f34e…
06-25 07:16:17	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x632105…
06-25 07:12:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x494c4c…
06-25 07:11:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x643d9e…
06-25 07:11:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1567d5…
06-25 07:05:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x119019…
06-25 07:05:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x97ca9a…
06-25 07:00:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6cacb1…
06-25 06:55:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7a89a5…
06-25 06:55:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1b2ae6…
06-25 06:54:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf54c3c…
06-25 06:48:43	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xcf05a2…
06-25 06:38:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfde4cc…
06-25 06:38:46	bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfab2b4…
06-25 06:31:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0073ef…
06-25 06:31:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf7786e…
06-25 06:27:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x21f5f7…
06-25 06:18:43	bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d73bc…
06-25 06:18:41	bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x68b7be…
06-25 06:18:35	bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf54268…
06-25 06:00:07	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0x8bafaa…
06-25 05:53:23	bitcoin above 64k on june 25 2026	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x480eeb…
06-25 05:52:40	bitcoin above 64k on june 25 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x370432…
06-25 05:40:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x79d1fd…
06-25 04:50:20	bitcoin above 64k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1947e0…
06-25 04:13:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x37627f…
06-25 04:08:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb7e2ab…
06-25 04:08:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xec1f2b…
06-25 04:08:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8d33fe…
06-25 03:30:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc91f76…
06-25 03:27:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xfaa2d3…
06-25 03:12:43	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe2a1cb…
06-25 03:10:43	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc178d6…
06-25 03:10:05	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x95b180…
06-25 03:09:29	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc3f4ac…
06-25 03:02:02	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x3db63c…
06-25 02:53:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0ae986…
06-25 02:52:50	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x9b5a94…