Realized P&L
-$134
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
13.2%
Resolved
727
Trades
107,559
lifetime
Volume
$2.81M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$35
1 position
First seen
2026-04-13
last 06-25 09:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
40%
18%
-$51
Sports
28%
11%
-$28
Politics
24%
34%
-$51
Crypto
7%
24%
-$3
Tech
0%
50%
-$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | -35 | -$35 | 100¢ | $-35 | $0 | 04-28 13:43 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 5,586 | $161.0K | 81,281 | 81,412 | -131 | No | -$2 | 05-13 19:29 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | 2,974 | $133.6K | 67,071 | 67,071 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-11 10:04 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 3,404 | $107.2K | 53,851 | 53,851 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-16 04:40 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,833 | $76.6K | 39,328 | 39,330 | -2 | No | $0 | 05-18 01:54 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | 2,077 | $67.9K | 34,197 | 34,197 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-17 09:08 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 2,419 | $64.4K | 32,554 | 32,554 | +0 | No | +$0 | 06-18 04:41 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | 1,742 | $58.1K | 29,611 | 29,611 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 05-25 19:03 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | 2,166 | $57.9K | 29,437 | 29,437 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-30 19:45 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,957 | $57.5K | 29,326 | 29,326 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-25 22:55 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 2,346 | $56.6K | 28,547 | 28,547 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-16 18:34 |
| Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | 1,559 | $56.1K | 28,211 | 28,211 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-16 08:17 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 1,943 | $56.1K | 28,402 | 28,402 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-16 18:26 |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,621 | $54.5K | 27,416 | 27,458 | -41 | No | $0 | 05-02 03:15 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 2,235 | $50.6K | 25,807 | 25,806 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 06-16 19:37 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | 1,344 | $49.8K | 25,167 | 25,167 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-27 14:40 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,085 | $48.7K | 24,536 | 24,683 | -147 | No | -$4 | 05-16 04:10 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 1,304 | $47.0K | 24,006 | 24,036 | -29 | No | $0 | 05-16 06:41 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,279 | $46.4K | 23,192 | 23,416 | -223 | No | -$2 | 04-30 22:23 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 1,926 | $46.4K | 23,590 | 23,590 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-24 21:53 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 1,663 | $46.1K | 23,687 | 23,687 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-23 03:10 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | 993 | $44.0K | 22,024 | 22,105 | -81 | No | -$1 | 05-12 08:02 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | 1,146 | $43.4K | 21,957 | 21,957 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-25 08:20 |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | 995 | $42.9K | 21,701 | 21,710 | -10 | No | $0 | 05-28 03:35 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 1,450 | $36.4K | 18,452 | 18,461 | -9 | Yes | $0 | 05-13 08:17 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,552 | $36.0K | 18,280 | 18,491 | -211 | No | -$3 | 05-12 04:59 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 1,449 | $33.6K | 17,002 | 17,000 | +2 | No | -$1 | 05-29 09:12 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1,908 | $28.8K | 14,592 | 14,592 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-23 17:10 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,186 | $28.7K | 14,400 | 14,441 | -40 | No | $0 | 05-03 22:47 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | 888 | $26.7K | 13,682 | 13,682 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-14 16:57 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | 884 | $25.0K | 12,586 | 12,586 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-24 15:12 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||