Taut-Tepee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

866

lifetime

Volume

$1.81M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.09K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-13 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$1,302

Other

28% — —

Sports

12% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	98	$221.6K	111,111	111,111	-0	open	—	05-11 07:53
nba cle mem 2026 04 06	11	$205.3K	118,139	118,138	+1	open	—	04-06 18:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	24	$191.6K	110,807	91,867	+18,940	open	—	04-30 08:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	23	$143.6K	75,664	75,664	+0	open	—	04-07 13:13
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	94	$134.0K	255,109	255,109	+0	open	—	03-31 12:47
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	19	$119.6K	67,339	66,778	+561	open	—	04-15 03:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$108.2K	109,198	0	+109,198	open	—	05-15 09:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$88.7K	56,476	56,476	+0	open	—	05-10 20:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	9	$86.9K	43,666	43,666	+0	open	—	05-16 07:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	12	$80.5K	81,270	0	+81,270	No	+$768	05-10 22:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	21	$65.4K	67,659	0	+67,659	open	—	05-23 19:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	44	$58.8K	59,455	0	+59,455	open	—	05-13 08:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	26	$57.8K	30,036	30,036	+0	open	—	05-22 09:31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	60	$42.8K	41,963	41,963	+0	open	—	04-16 19:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$41.9K	42,288	0	+42,288	open	—	05-15 21:45
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	34	$32.7K	99,923	99,922	+1	open	—	03-28 21:35
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	7	$26.6K	14,329	14,328	+1	open	—	03-13 21:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	27	$20.1K	13,972	133,739	-119,767	open	—	06-13 07:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$17.4K	18,334	0	+18,334	open	—	05-22 09:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	3	$9.5K	5,840	5,839	+1	open	—	04-12 06:47
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	1	$9.2K	10,863	0	+10,863	open	—	06-11 05:13
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$8.2K	5,622	5,622	+0	open	—	03-23 15:55
nba lal det 2026 03 23	10	$5.2K	5,836	5,836	+0	open	—	03-23 07:16
cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	2	$4.6K	3,700	3,700	+0	open	—	03-27 16:35
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	19	$3.7K	9,050	9,050	+0	open	—	02-27 07:13
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$3.2K	1,729	1,729	+0	open	—	03-27 14:58
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	18	$3.1K	3,600	3,600	+0	open	—	03-22 18:13
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	40	$2.6K	2,321	3,320	-999	open	—	02-16 06:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$2.5K	2,549	2,549	+0	open	—	06-13 18:37
cbb miaoh tenn 2026 03 20	7	$2.3K	2,881	2,881	+0	open	—	03-20 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 18:07:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	3,067	27¢	$829	0x93a7e5…
07-13 16:43:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	3,067	28¢	$859	0x8b5f73…
06-13 18:37:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,549	42¢	$1,071	0x04f9f5…
06-13 11:10:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,584	56¢	$887	0x69e9a0…
06-13 11:10:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	56¢	$38	0xe292d2…
06-13 11:10:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xa1212b…
06-13 11:10:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xb720fc…
06-13 11:10:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	429	56¢	$240	0xe15407…
06-13 11:10:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	450	56¢	$252	0x4bdf29…
06-13 07:48:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	41,530	14¢	$5,942	0x2a8a0a…
06-13 07:48:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	46,395	15¢	$7,094	0x3e1c29…
06-13 07:46:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$1	0x70ea82…
06-13 07:46:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x08823b…
06-13 07:46:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x50b131…
06-13 07:46:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xac9028…
06-13 07:46:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	35	17¢	$6	0xaabec9…
06-13 07:36:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	14,452	17¢	$2,407	0xe406be…
06-13 07:36:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x4dc5a0…
06-13 07:32:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xda21dd…
06-13 07:32:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x92444a…
06-13 07:32:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xe09012…
06-13 07:32:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	4,899	17¢	$839	0x79b901…
06-13 07:32:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x6c148c…
06-13 07:32:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	12,368	17¢	$2,130	0xdceb2a…
06-13 07:32:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xb20f3d…
06-11 05:13:48	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	10,863	85¢	$9,234	0xda7f9a…
06-10 05:52:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x3a04ba…
06-09 21:10:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	13,972	5¢	$699	0x841a18…
06-09 16:42:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x59b42a…
06-09 16:42:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0xcdd93e…
06-09 16:42:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,200	7¢	$154	0x5bf1b0…
06-09 16:41:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x990ee3…
06-09 16:41:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3,000	7¢	$210	0xe2c7ce…
06-09 16:41:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xb9c19a…
06-09 16:41:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5,785	7¢	$405	0xdca15c…
06-09 16:40:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	215	7¢	$15	0xd8ef26…
06-09 16:40:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,673	7¢	$117	0x437954…
05-23 19:19:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	9,216	98¢	$9,000	0xf19c16…
05-22 10:47:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	13,950	97¢	$13,588	0xbd2c60…
05-22 10:47:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$487	0x6ddd98…
05-22 10:26:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xabd271…
05-22 10:18:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1,881	97¢	$1,832	0x2b3aee…
05-22 10:15:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	767	97¢	$747	0x203134…
05-22 10:14:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xbdf029…
05-22 10:04:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	211	97¢	$205	0x075de7…
05-22 09:45:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x52b1cc…
05-22 09:42:38	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	325	96¢	$313	0x7b64f5…
05-22 09:41:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1,264	97¢	$1,231	0xec870c…
05-22 09:38:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1,264	97¢	$1,231	0x8392d1…
05-22 09:38:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0d97a3…
05-22 09:37:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x093d19…
05-22 09:37:11	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xbcae0e…
05-22 09:33:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x267289…
05-22 09:33:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x0ed9e4…
05-22 09:33:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x707433…
05-22 09:33:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xef3aeb…
05-22 09:31:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	30,036	96¢	$28,858	0x4d8a6f…
05-19 09:15:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	818	96¢	$787	0x9bfda6…
05-19 09:11:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	11,768	96¢	$11,297	0x2d1d93…
05-16 21:52:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	16,699	96¢	$16,097	0x0b9427…
05-16 21:25:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	4,000	96¢	$3,856	0x2db4bb…
05-16 21:25:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xa9fa0e…
05-16 21:21:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x581cf2…
05-16 21:19:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	139	96¢	$134	0x6bed6e…
05-16 21:11:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,111	96¢	$1,071	0x99c2c6…
05-16 21:08:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	138	96¢	$133	0x86701a…
05-16 21:03:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	205	96¢	$198	0x5d64de…
05-16 21:03:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	181	96¢	$174	0x38bdd6…
05-16 20:49:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x82eefb…
05-16 20:45:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,382	96¢	$1,332	0xaeca70…
05-16 20:30:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	205	96¢	$198	0xec3346…
05-16 20:30:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	181	96¢	$174	0x6dee8b…
05-16 20:22:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	206	96¢	$199	0xe36245…
05-16 20:22:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x24d031…
05-16 19:25:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x1fefdb…
05-16 19:24:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x8dde7d…
05-16 19:18:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc6f52e…
05-16 19:17:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf46159…
05-16 18:58:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	225	96¢	$217	0x60a4a1…
05-16 18:48:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x7be762…
05-16 18:46:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	139	96¢	$134	0x7b1d85…
05-16 18:39:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	4,940	96¢	$4,762	0x501290…
05-16 18:30:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$27	0x569186…
05-16 18:26:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xbcbdc9…
05-16 17:17:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	14,730	96¢	$14,140	0x0974cf…
05-16 17:07:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	270	96¢	$260	0x8b5a5c…
05-16 07:29:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	806	100¢	$805	0xd8e1b2…
05-16 07:27:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	10,858	96¢	$10,445	0x0962e1…
05-16 07:26:51	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10,000	95¢	$9,500	0xf5c4dd…
05-15 21:45:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	782	99¢	$775	0x8e3eae…
05-15 21:45:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4,196	99¢	$4,154	0x85e406…
05-15 21:45:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	37,310	99¢	$36,974	0x5d6b29…
05-15 15:35:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	42,861	100¢	$42,818	0x610d40…
05-15 09:11:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	53,000	100¢	$52,894	0x5f1a35…
05-15 08:53:47	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	8,000	95¢	$7,600	0x4d43a3…
05-13 09:03:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	53,333	99¢	$52,746	0x5b9585…
05-13 08:57:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x366c73…
05-13 08:51:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x3c4c55…
05-13 08:46:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4aa470…
05-13 08:40:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5,982	100¢	$5,964	0x3a9006…