Unlined-Linseed-Advice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

47.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$58

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-14 02:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 40% $-17

Sports

9% 100% +$1

Politics

3% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?	No	+1,000	$1	0¢	$1	+$0	05-14 01:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	+20	$1	4¢	$1	$-0	05-13 23:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	+91	$1	1¢	$1	$-0	05-14 02:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	+333	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-12 21:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$10	30	0	+30	Down	$-10	05-14 00:38
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	2	$5	5	5	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$1	05-14 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	122	0	+122	Up	$-5	05-14 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Up	$-5	05-14 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-14 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-13 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-14 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	$-5	05-13 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-14 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$2	0	4	-4	Down	$-2	05-14 02:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	05-13 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-14 01:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-14 01:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$1	333	0	+333	open	—	05-12 21:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$1	91	0	+91	open	—	05-14 02:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 02:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x37daae…
05-14 02:00:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x58d63c…
05-14 01:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0xeb2ecc…
05-14 01:48:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x51ecb7…
05-14 01:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8888d3…
05-14 01:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3ef89e…
05-14 01:05:11	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	5	74¢	$3	0x264838…
05-14 00:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe2c28c…
05-14 00:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x5c9dec…
05-14 00:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc6ad7b…
05-14 00:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x899fb5…
05-14 00:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0e7ef5…
05-13 23:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc90ed8…
05-13 23:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf3300c…
05-13 23:11:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7629a7…
05-13 23:09:53	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbb3403…
05-12 21:25:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xfa7479…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	12	$2.31K	58	05-14 02:15
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	10	$3.39K	47	05-14 02:14
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	10	$1.85K	149	05-14 02:12
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	10	$1.10K	48	05-14 02:12
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	10	$1.07K	46	05-14 02:12
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	10	$909	75	05-14 02:11
Aged-Visit 0x2ea2…d3d7	10	$602	43	05-14 02:12
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	9	$620	22	05-14 02:10