Realized P&L
+$132
Unrealized P&L
+$1.17K
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved
23
Trades
9,042
lifetime
Volume
$3.03M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$335
Open exposure
$54.5K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-09 18:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
78% 78% $-1,026
Other
13% 92% +$250
Crypto
7%
Tech
1%
Sports
1% 100% +$908
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 329 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -15,000 $-14,505 97¢ $-14512 $-7 06-01 11:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -9,983 $-8,063 80¢ $-8036 +$27 05-28 13:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? No +5,555 $5,516 99¢ $5.5K +$0 06-09 13:54
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes +5,638 $4,826 82¢ $4.7K $-174 06-05 13:45
Anthropic CEO arrested? No -4,577 $-4,526 99¢ $-4540 $-14 06-04 23:56
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +20,000 $5,780 22¢ $4.3K $-1,480 06-05 21:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No +2,950 $2,922 99¢ $2.9K +$8 06-09 08:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +4,164 $1,374 62¢ $2.6K +$1,187 05-30 02:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +14,128 $1,587 18¢ $2.5K +$956 06-09 20:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2,288 $1,716 82¢ $1.9K +$159 06-09 16:27
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +1,766 $1,311 70¢ $1.2K $-66 06-08 21:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +5,555 $667 18¢ $972 +$306 06-04 19:57
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +1,766 $263 30¢ $521 +$258 06-08 21:25
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +836 $233 30¢ $247 +$14 06-08 21:23
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +22 $21 95¢ $21 $-0 06-05 15:37