Grubby-Chandelier 0x2c3928…a056dc
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$136.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$15.1K
Hit rate
74.0%
Resolved
968
Trades
13,452
lifetime
Volume
$5.31M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$395
Open exposure
$125.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-26 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 224 days
Categories
Politics
71% 70% +$174,444
Other
18% 62% -$9,764
Crypto
5% 71% +$1,090
Tech
3% 50% +$189
Sports
2% 34% -$29,129
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30,000 $22,500 78¢ $23.5K +$1,050 10-25 07:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +17,366 $13,063 82¢ $14.3K +$1,264 10-22 18:38
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +12,419 $11,054 95¢ $11.8K +$762 09-08 21:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +10,099 $8,481 94¢ $9.5K +$1,062 10-18 12:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +7,669 $4,189 88¢ $6.8K +$2,578 10-06 03:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +6,294 $3,828 94¢ $5.9K +$2,057 10-17 00:15
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +5,553 $2,696 100¢ $5.5K +$2,848 09-18 21:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +7,013 $5,318 68¢ $4.8K -$514 10-18 23:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5,555 -$7,483 84¢ $-4638 +$2,845 10-07 19:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +5,378 $3,468 72¢ $3.8K +$377 10-25 19:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +6,796 $3,927 55¢ $3.7K -$223 10-09 11:15
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +4,026 $3,383 88¢ $3.5K +$140 10-15 02:19
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +5,520 $3,762 52¢ $2.9K -$892 10-01 18:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +3,266 $2,401 78¢ $2.5K +$130 10-24 19:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +2,372 $1,075 96¢ $2.3K +$1,203 10-24 18:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +7,013 $2,096 32¢ $2.2K +$113 10-18 00:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +3,180 $1,492 69¢ $2.2K +$702 09-20 01:49
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? No +2,027 $314 100¢ $2.0K +$1,703 09-04 22:41
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,272 $2,118 88¢ $2.0K -$106 09-19 00:04
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +3,382 $2,474 57¢ $1.9K -$547 09-30 20:56
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +1,766 $1,311 96¢ $1.7K +$392 06-08 21:19
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +4,331 $2,109 31¢ $1.3K -$767 09-12 00:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +2,916 $1,254 46¢ $1.3K +$73 10-09 21:09
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +1,067 $254 96¢ $1.0K +$765 09-28 13:49
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 No +14,238 $2,431 6¢ $783 -$1,648 10-25 20:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,938 $129 22¢ $660 +$531 10-17 19:25
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +659 $157 97¢ $636 +$479 06-18 19:58
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? Yes +12,992 $2,070 5¢ $630 -$1,440 09-08 07:26
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +598 $557 96¢ $574 +$17 08-25 01:33
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +4,026 $343 12¢ $503 +$160 10-18 09:27