Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
581
lifetime
Volume
$21.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$19.8K
20 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-11 11:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Sports
53% 0% $-0
Other
45%
Politics
2% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 367 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? No -10,970 $-10,925 100¢ $-10943 $-18 05-11 08:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? No -3,890 $-3,810 98¢ $-3822 $-12 05-11 05:09
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? No -3,217 $-3,211 100¢ $-3212 $-2 05-11 10:12
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? No -622 $-616 99¢ $-617 $-2 05-11 05:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? No -404 $-393 97¢ $-391 +$2 05-10 20:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? No -255 $-254 100¢ $-254 $-0 05-11 11:02
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No -110 $-110 100¢ $-110 $-0 05-11 03:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? No -106 $-104 98¢ $-104 +$0 05-09 20:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? No -89 $-87 98¢ $-88 $-0 05-11 09:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes -66 $-65 97¢ $-64 +$0 05-10 00:12
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? No -42 $-41 100¢ $-42 $-0 05-11 00:14
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? No -40 $-40 100¢ $-40 +$0 05-11 03:38
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? No -34 $-34 100¢ $-34 $-0 05-10 02:32
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? No -30 $-30 100¢ $-30 $-0 05-11 00:44
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? No -20 $-20 99¢ $-20 $-0 05-11 04:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? No -18 $-18 99¢ $-18 $-0 05-09 20:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No -12 $-12 99¢ $-12 $-0 05-10 12:35
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 +$0 05-10 01:13
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 05-11 00:19
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 05-10 08:23