Realized P&L
-$107.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.18K
Hit rate
43.7%
Resolved
428
Trades
1,776
lifetime
Volume
$1.18M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$664
Open exposure
$22.9K
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 10-28 03:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Politics
74% 65% -$74,568
Other
22% 73% -$30,448
Sports
3% 64% -$3,239
Crypto
1% 86% +$380
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% 0% -$63
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +17,023 $14,466 72¢ $12.3K -$2,125 09-17 12:31
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +3,498 $2,980 98¢ $3.4K +$465 10-27 22:15
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +2,400 $2,088 75¢ $1.8K -$298 09-14 14:36
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,246 $1,317 56¢ $1.3K -$63 09-23 16:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +1,106 $1,000 92¢ $1.0K +$18 10-28 07:34
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +748 $701 94¢ $700 -$2 10-28 07:38
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +568 $500 90¢ $509 +$9 10-27 12:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +602 $500 82¢ $490 -$10 10-27 12:02
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +400 $368 96¢ $384 +$16 10-28 03:19
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +169 $100 68¢ $116 +$16 05-06 06:30
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +150 $108 72¢ $109 +$1 10-27 14:25
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +144 $100 74¢ $107 +$7 05-01 15:38
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +123 $100 80¢ $99 -$1 05-01 15:39
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +137 $100 64¢ $87 -$13 05-01 15:38
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +90 $85 96¢ $86 +$1 10-27 22:20
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +100 $74 78¢ $78 +$4 08-15 08:46
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +126 $100 60¢ $76 -$24 05-01 15:40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +578 $100 11¢ $62 -$38 05-02 07:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +300 $73 17¢ $50 -$23 06-09 04:04
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +231 $50 18¢ $42 -$8 05-02 07:34
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $121 4¢ $22 -$98 09-21 05:52
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 05-03 07:07
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $10 70¢ $9 -$1 05-01 15:37
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes +91 $10 1¢ $1 -$9 05-04 21:56