Realized P&L
-$107.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.88K
Hit rate
43.7%
Resolved
428
Trades
1,751
lifetime
Volume
$1.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$669
Open exposure
$16.2K
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 10-26 22:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Politics
74% 65% -$74,568
Other
22% 73% -$30,448
Sports
3% 64% -$3,239
Crypto
1% 86% +$380
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% 0% -$63
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +17,023 $14,466 72¢ $12.2K -$2,295 09-17 12:31
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +2,400 $2,088 75¢ $1.8K -$299 09-14 14:36
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,246 $1,317 54¢ $1.2K -$95 09-23 16:25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +520 $297 53¢ $277 -$20 08-21 15:19
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +169 $100 68¢ $116 +$16 05-06 06:30
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +144 $100 74¢ $106 +$6 05-01 15:38
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +123 $100 79¢ $98 -$2 05-01 15:39
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +137 $100 60¢ $83 -$17 05-01 15:38
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +126 $100 62¢ $78 -$22 05-01 15:40
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +100 $74 77¢ $77 +$3 08-15 08:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +578 $100 12¢ $70 -$30 05-02 07:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +300 $73 17¢ $50 -$23 06-09 04:04
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +231 $50 19¢ $44 -$6 05-02 07:34
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $121 6¢ $32 -$88 09-21 05:52
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 05-03 07:07
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $10 68¢ $9 -$1 05-01 15:37
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes +91 $10 1¢ $1 -$9 05-04 21:56