Dramatic-Sheep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$26.8K

Hit rate

2.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,458

lifetime

Volume

$1.82M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$525

Open exposure

$76.6K

14 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

82% 25% $-85,224

Other

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+36,518	$3,918	74¢	$27.2K	+$23,288	07-02 10:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	-36,224	$-25,417	70¢	$-25538	$-121	06-19 23:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	-14,500	$-11,165	84¢	$-12107	$-942	06-18 19:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+31,329	$1,460	18¢	$5.5K	+$4,022	06-25 13:47
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,874	$1,351	54¢	$1.5K	+$187	05-31 08:06
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5,254	$1,206	26¢	$1.3K	+$134	07-02 07:53
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,484	$681	63¢	$935	+$254	06-14 22:38
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,250	$698	31¢	$698	+$0	06-26 10:00
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,497	$573	24¢	$599	+$26	06-23 08:08
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	-5,631	$-536	9¢	$-507	+$29	07-02 17:18
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+773	$356	46¢	$359	+$4	06-24 05:54
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,753	$344	8¢	$300	$-44	06-27 20:38
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	+116	$10	8¢	$10	$-1	06-30 23:41
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+41	$12	23¢	$9	$-2	05-30 19:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	64	$213.1K	222,986	0	+222,986	open	—	01-22 15:23
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	131	$174.7K	106,278	80,729	+25,550	open	—	03-23 09:06
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	98	$141.4K	131,397	50,846	+80,551	open	—	03-04 05:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	146	$75.2K	91,442	47,247	+44,195	open	—	07-02 10:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	4	$62.7K	0	65,008	-65,008	open	—	06-16 23:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	164	$61.8K	93,092	10,606	+82,485	open	—	05-31 15:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	10	$59.0K	67,235	69,780	-2,545	open	—	06-17 20:07
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	76	$57.8K	67,885	0	+67,885	open	—	02-25 07:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	21	$50.2K	51,576	4,968	+46,608	Yes	$-40,979	05-04 19:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	14	$47.2K	69,784	11,655	+58,129	Yes	$-30,180	05-08 19:20
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	344	$47.0K	120,350	128,826	-8,476	open	—	04-07 23:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	42	$45.3K	23,675	23,675	+0	open	—	04-24 05:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	226	$42.9K	50,829	0	+50,829	open	—	04-19 14:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	13	$42.5K	48,825	0	+48,825	open	—	05-31 15:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	66	$42.0K	55,243	0	+55,243	open	—	04-24 11:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	13	$39.1K	44,792	0	+44,792	open	—	05-29 15:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$37.9K	20,488	23,210	-2,722	open	—	04-09 20:23
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	118	$31.4K	67,775	43,029	+24,747	open	—	04-07 23:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	32	$29.1K	41,959	0	+41,959	open	—	04-21 17:43
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	83	$28.5K	33,444	0	+33,444	open	—	05-29 15:00
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	83	$26.3K	42,712	0	+42,712	open	—	04-21 21:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	23	$25.4K	0	36,224	-36,224	open	—	06-19 23:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	28	$23.1K	27,759	12,255	+15,504	open	—	06-19 20:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$22.2K	25,193	0	+25,193	open	—	04-17 23:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	11	$21.3K	30,651	0	+30,651	open	—	06-25 05:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	85	$20.0K	83,510	25,107	+58,402	open	—	06-18 00:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	59	$20.0K	20,140	0	+20,140	open	—	06-07 11:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	62	$19.8K	74,233	90,734	-16,501	open	—	06-21 00:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	17	$18.3K	20,409	20,409	+0	open	—	04-07 23:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	40	$17.2K	28,860	28,860	+0	open	—	04-07 23:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 17:18:46	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xd94758…
07-02 17:18:43	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,918	8¢	$332	0xd7d1f5…
07-02 13:21:17	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	485	96¢	$465	0xa8f372…
07-02 13:21:08	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0xa11de8…
07-02 10:56:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4,942	74¢	$3,657	0xe65915…
07-02 10:56:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	49	74¢	$36	0x805321…
07-02 10:56:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5,000	74¢	$3,700	0xd1b7ef…
07-02 10:52:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x16f4c3…
07-02 10:46:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xf16d03…
07-02 10:36:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xa743dd…
07-02 10:32:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0xeda10a…
07-02 10:19:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x88b68b…
07-02 10:13:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,540	74¢	$1,140	0x90daf0…
07-02 09:49:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,300	74¢	$962	0xa5d922…
07-02 09:32:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	205	74¢	$152	0x087351…
07-02 09:19:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	643	74¢	$476	0x341241…
07-02 09:10:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x4fa9cb…
07-02 09:06:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	461	74¢	$341	0x52bb15…
07-02 09:04:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x66ecd8…
07-02 08:56:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	40	74¢	$29	0xf4b13f…
07-02 08:39:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	77	74¢	$57	0x4061c2…
07-02 08:39:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x351c03…
07-02 08:33:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x52db93…
07-02 08:33:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x53eb38…
07-02 08:32:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x490a31…
07-02 08:32:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x482cc3…
07-02 08:12:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x79fe03…
07-02 08:07:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	437	74¢	$323	0xcc0aa3…
07-02 08:04:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x6ab936…
07-02 08:03:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x16f043…
07-02 08:02:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	990	74¢	$732	0x80e3e5…
07-02 07:53:31	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x7f506d…
07-02 07:53:23	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x69ca94…
07-02 07:51:44	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xea9faa…
07-02 07:45:05	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x9f52df…
07-02 07:06:40	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xe2a800…
07-02 05:11:35	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x1f937e…
07-01 23:02:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	113	71¢	$81	0x8dac5f…
07-01 23:00:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xd15202…
07-01 22:52:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,200	71¢	$852	0xd37bb2…
07-01 22:51:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	141	71¢	$100	0xdebbbf…
07-01 22:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x7d6e16…
07-01 22:47:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	141	71¢	$100	0x5c8649…
07-01 22:28:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	136	71¢	$97	0x1f0ba0…
07-01 22:16:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	141	71¢	$100	0x86a7db…
07-01 22:12:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xe7fbed…
07-01 21:55:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	282	71¢	$200	0x1e7572…
07-01 21:42:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xd875f3…
07-01 21:36:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0xa87379…
07-01 21:34:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	99	71¢	$70	0x9a8920…
07-01 21:26:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x2072b5…
07-01 21:19:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,099	71¢	$1,490	0x6673b7…
07-01 21:09:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x8548b5…
07-01 21:07:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3,235	71¢	$2,297	0xc4eb12…
07-01 20:53:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	166	71¢	$118	0x1fe445…
07-01 20:51:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x688b5f…
07-01 20:48:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	32	71¢	$23	0x487b27…
07-01 20:45:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	16	71¢	$11	0x12886a…
07-01 20:44:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	109	71¢	$77	0x3c9bc6…
07-01 20:44:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	16	71¢	$11	0x5be64f…
07-01 20:25:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xe57b42…
07-01 20:23:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	211	71¢	$150	0xb459a2…
07-01 19:55:29	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x6fb847…
07-01 19:55:28	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	23¢	$18	0x8c5533…
07-01 19:55:28	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x0dc29d…
07-01 19:50:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x74d39a…
07-01 19:45:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xd8b2ff…
07-01 19:44:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	291	71¢	$207	0x30ecef…
07-01 19:43:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,030	71¢	$731	0xd68b04…
07-01 19:36:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x00df62…
07-01 19:34:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x584016…
07-01 19:34:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x7b32f9…
07-01 19:34:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x1b206d…
07-01 19:34:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x128c6b…
07-01 19:24:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xdf63a2…
07-01 19:24:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x2e0d63…
07-01 19:24:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xc1ebb9…
07-01 19:24:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xabbba5…
07-01 19:22:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x1f1c89…
07-01 19:21:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x6dc4c7…
07-01 19:21:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xc2c658…
07-01 19:19:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	704	71¢	$500	0x7b83b5…
07-01 19:17:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xbad675…
07-01 19:17:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xed3f9d…
07-01 19:17:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x5a3956…
07-01 19:15:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xfb874e…
07-01 19:15:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x95dc87…
07-01 19:15:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x6dd446…
07-01 19:15:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x0e7192…
07-01 19:14:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x6dec3e…
07-01 19:14:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4,200	71¢	$2,982	0x8b1794…
07-01 19:11:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0xf4d2ed…
07-01 19:10:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xcdeb61…
07-01 19:10:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x8aff86…
07-01 19:10:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x6e3c97…
07-01 19:10:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xe191ba…
07-01 19:10:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x14bf3e…
07-01 19:10:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x03cda9…
07-01 19:10:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x9aa37e…
07-01 19:10:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x46f3bb…