Dramatic-Sheep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,992

lifetime

Volume

$1.94M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$486

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 10:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

80% 25% $-85,224

Other

20% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	64	$213.1K	222,986	0	+222,986	open	—	01-22 15:23
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	131	$174.7K	106,278	80,729	+25,550	open	—	03-23 09:06
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	98	$141.4K	131,397	50,846	+80,551	open	—	03-04 05:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	146	$75.2K	91,442	47,247	+44,195	open	—	07-02 10:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	4	$62.7K	0	65,008	-65,008	open	—	06-16 23:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	164	$61.8K	93,092	10,606	+82,485	open	—	05-31 15:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	10	$59.0K	67,235	69,780	-2,545	open	—	06-17 20:07
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	76	$57.8K	67,885	0	+67,885	open	—	02-25 07:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	21	$50.2K	51,576	4,968	+46,608	Yes	$-40,979	05-04 19:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	14	$47.2K	69,784	11,655	+58,129	Yes	$-30,180	05-08 19:20
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	344	$47.0K	120,350	128,826	-8,476	open	—	04-07 23:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	42	$45.3K	23,675	23,675	+0	open	—	04-24 05:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	226	$42.9K	50,829	0	+50,829	open	—	04-19 14:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	13	$42.5K	48,825	0	+48,825	open	—	05-31 15:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	66	$42.0K	55,243	0	+55,243	open	—	04-24 11:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	13	$39.1K	44,792	0	+44,792	open	—	05-29 15:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$37.9K	20,488	23,210	-2,722	open	—	04-09 20:23
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	2	$31.5K	38,000	0	+38,000	open	—	07-07 20:30
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	118	$31.4K	67,775	43,029	+24,747	open	—	04-07 23:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	32	$29.1K	41,959	0	+41,959	open	—	04-21 17:43
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	83	$28.5K	33,444	0	+33,444	open	—	05-29 15:00
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	83	$26.3K	42,712	0	+42,712	open	—	04-21 21:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	23	$25.4K	0	36,224	-36,224	open	—	06-19 23:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	28	$23.1K	27,759	12,255	+15,504	open	—	06-19 20:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$22.2K	25,193	0	+25,193	open	—	04-17 23:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	11	$21.3K	30,651	0	+30,651	open	—	06-25 05:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	48	$21.0K	43,894	55,995	-12,101	open	—	08-09 11:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	85	$20.0K	83,510	25,107	+58,402	open	—	06-18 00:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	59	$20.0K	20,140	0	+20,140	open	—	06-07 11:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	62	$19.8K	74,233	90,734	-16,501	open	—	06-21 00:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 10:42:42	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,020	94¢	$959	0x847f46…
08-12 10:35:58	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,667	94¢	$1,567	0x5494dc…
08-12 10:35:36	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,550	94¢	$1,457	0x2288ed…
08-12 10:16:00	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	763	94¢	$718	0x6e435c…
08-12 04:31:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,000	91¢	$5,484	0x657ba2…
08-11 15:00:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	66	45¢	$30	0x306ae5…
08-11 09:33:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	SELL	716	22¢	$160	0x37dccd…
08-11 09:33:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	SELL	369	22¢	$82	0x537f9c…
08-11 08:59:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	2,257	48¢	$1,083	0x01d1f1…
08-10 16:56:55	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,100	47¢	$980	0x0c49bb…
08-09 11:58:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xee070c…
08-09 08:39:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9e2df9…
08-09 07:59:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xb8a94f…
08-09 07:57:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x3b3796…
08-09 07:37:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2d1d5d…
08-09 06:06:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	1,085	7¢	$79	0x103fe2…
08-09 05:58:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x859df4…
08-09 05:46:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x36f904…
08-09 04:04:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	71	43¢	$30	0x246dff…
08-09 03:50:36	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x8791d4…
08-06 20:06:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	1,000	43¢	$430	0xc3e930…
08-06 19:06:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	BUY	2,257	14¢	$316	0x3401cc…
08-06 12:10:30	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	81	44¢	$35	0xadb039…
08-05 15:55:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0x52c9e6…
08-05 07:57:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	1,000	41¢	$410	0x1536f8…
08-05 06:33:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	1,000	47¢	$467	0x737dad…
08-05 03:06:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	203	43¢	$87	0xd3cd34…
08-05 02:26:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	755	43¢	$324	0xc01421…
08-05 02:22:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0xca0335…
08-04 15:37:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	391	32¢	$125	0x4d12f2…
08-04 15:37:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	567	32¢	$181	0x172191…
08-04 15:24:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xe58339…
08-04 14:43:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x6e58d3…
08-04 13:24:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	20,000	17¢	$3,400	0x9e54a8…
08-04 07:38:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0xde1528…
08-04 02:17:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2,108	14¢	$295	0x6ba7df…
08-04 02:08:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x608892…
08-04 02:01:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x0e9a04…
08-04 02:00:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x858931…
08-04 02:00:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	122	14¢	$17	0xc7fd7c…
08-04 02:00:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x8424c4…
08-04 02:00:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x44e4c5…
08-04 01:59:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	600	14¢	$84	0x9ec0fc…
08-04 01:59:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	223	14¢	$31	0x6f735f…
08-04 01:59:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	400	14¢	$56	0xac580c…
08-04 01:55:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x8213ce…
08-04 01:54:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x1168bb…
08-04 01:54:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0xe10e32…
08-04 01:53:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x917a05…
08-04 01:53:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x413691…
08-04 01:53:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xfaadeb…
08-04 01:53:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	357	14¢	$50	0x2d13dc…
08-04 01:53:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	98	14¢	$14	0x784be4…
08-04 01:53:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x3ce705…
08-04 01:53:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x6b3f2b…
08-04 01:53:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x8637c9…
08-04 01:53:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x6c48a2…
08-04 01:52:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x2767ec…
08-04 01:52:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xd62756…
08-04 01:52:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	42	14¢	$6	0xc3cb7b…
08-04 01:52:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	98	14¢	$14	0xc5506e…
08-04 01:52:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,000	14¢	$140	0x7e89b6…
08-04 01:52:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	46	14¢	$6	0x76186a…
08-04 01:52:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x136b9f…
08-04 01:52:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,610	14¢	$225	0xf7efbe…
08-04 01:52:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	98	14¢	$14	0x24fe7c…
08-04 01:52:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x1f52af…
08-04 01:52:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x5e9514…
08-04 01:52:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0xeb115d…
08-04 01:52:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0xe0b73f…
08-04 01:52:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x9b651e…
08-04 01:52:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x5e1227…
08-04 01:52:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,000	14¢	$140	0x2377ff…
08-04 01:52:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	163	14¢	$23	0xb1a31a…
08-04 01:52:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	25	14¢	$3	0x0ca1e4…
08-04 01:52:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x2046e3…
08-04 01:51:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	143	14¢	$20	0xda18d5…
08-04 01:51:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	500	14¢	$70	0x7020df…
08-04 01:51:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0x5903aa…
08-04 01:51:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	98	14¢	$14	0x1c611d…
08-04 01:51:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0xb64946…
08-04 01:51:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	44	14¢	$6	0x044aaf…
08-04 01:51:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0x0cbbe0…
08-04 01:51:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x39598f…
08-04 01:51:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x2d7fdc…
08-04 01:51:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0xb06e80…
08-04 01:51:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	45	14¢	$6	0x4e5af1…
08-04 01:51:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x985b4d…
08-04 01:51:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x8dad3a…
08-04 01:51:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x5df7f2…
08-04 01:51:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x35b3ee…
08-04 01:51:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xd304b5…
08-04 01:51:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2,000	14¢	$280	0x1a4b52…
08-04 01:51:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xefe8aa…
08-04 01:51:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xd63f0e…
08-04 01:51:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x8f32dd…
08-04 01:51:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0x48669e…
08-04 01:51:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	8,499	14¢	$1,190	0x08c633…
08-03 04:49:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	32	51¢	$16	0xa5a0a0…
08-03 01:00:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	968	51¢	$494	0xa22448…