Alarmed-Expense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$101

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.1%

Resolved

532

Trades

791

lifetime

Volume

$1.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 07-21 08:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 26% -$86

Other

30% 56% +$8

Sports

7% 34% -$14

Politics

6% 46% -$9

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?	2	$31	24	24	+0	Yes	+$5	06-29 01:14
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	2	$28	18	18	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$8	05-26 08:36
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner	2	$26	16	16	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$6	05-15 09:06
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner	2	$23	14	14	+0	Dplus KIA	+$4	05-29 08:45
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	2	$22	13	13	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$4	05-26 07:52
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$16	21	0	+21	HANJIN BRION	+$5	05-15 09:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 02:25 UTC	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	06-20 02:30
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner	1	$13	19	0	+19	Kiwoom DRX	-$13	05-29 08:46
Games Total: O/U 3.5	1	$11	15	0	+15	Over	+$4	06-02 01:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$10	71	33	+38	No	-$2	05-20 15:39
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	1	$10	11	0	+11	Top Esports	+$1	05-02 10:25
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5	2	$9	6	6	+0	Over	+$3	05-27 01:11
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5	2	$9	6	6	+0	Over	+$3	05-27 01:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	4	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	06-18 03:56
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage	2	$8	33	0	+33	T1	-$8	07-21 08:18
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	1	$8	10	0	+10	Gen.G	+$2	05-14 09:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 08:40 UTC	1	$7	22	0	+22	Down	-$7	06-10 08:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-14 02:06
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner	2	$6	4	4	+0	Kiwoom DRX	+$2	05-20 09:26
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$6	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	05-26 06:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-14 02:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-15 08:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-26 06:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-15 08:04
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-29 07:22
Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osaka	2	$6	4	3	+0	Naomi Osaka	+$0	05-26 13:42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$6	7	7	+0	No	$0	05-29 07:45
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-26 06:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	-$1	05-29 07:45
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage	1	$5	10	0	+10	BNK FEARX	-$5	07-21 07:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 08:18:00	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x3e1100…
07-21 07:10:22	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7944fc…
07-21 07:04:36	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4afe57…
07-21 06:37:28	lol gen hle1 2026 07 21	Gen.G	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8b2ba7…
07-21 06:37:21	lol gen hle1 2026 07 21	Gen.G	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x02e645…
07-06 01:30:37	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x5aa686…
07-01 06:30:34	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x02b794…
07-01 06:25:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0cc473…
07-01 05:14:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcba4c3…
07-01 05:09:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xaa03ff…
07-01 05:04:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b30e9…
07-01 00:32:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdd44e7…
07-01 00:26:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb2045d…
07-01 00:21:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc9fc6f…
07-01 00:16:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2d61b7…
07-01 00:11:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x35fd19…
07-01 00:06:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x199bbd…
07-01 00:01:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfbc508…
06-30 23:56:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe1fea7…
06-30 23:51:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc8067b…
06-30 23:46:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x748447…
06-30 23:41:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcfe2b5…
06-30 23:36:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9a4354…
06-30 23:36:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x35800c…
06-30 23:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x29bdbc…
06-30 23:26:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd52f76…
06-30 23:21:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7f0777…
06-30 23:16:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbade8a…
06-30 23:11:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdfddb3…
06-30 23:06:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x06e2b5…
06-30 23:01:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x595b61…
06-30 23:01:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0b50dd…
06-30 22:56:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9e7656…
06-30 22:51:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2d3b1d…
06-30 22:46:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7cd346…
06-30 22:40:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x54515e…
06-30 22:35:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc701ba…
06-30 22:30:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x130410…
06-30 22:25:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x52d2ae…
06-30 22:20:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbdd60e…
06-30 22:15:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe7d2d7…
06-30 22:10:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd1c630…
06-30 22:05:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x567722…
06-30 22:00:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9581b4…
06-30 21:55:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf28c24…
06-30 21:50:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe4ea03…
06-30 21:45:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbe662f…
06-30 21:40:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf6614c…
06-30 21:35:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa77a63…
06-30 21:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x375cbb…
06-30 21:25:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbf5e66…
06-30 21:20:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf6d976…
06-30 21:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf96c4f…
06-30 21:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x804625…
06-30 21:04:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2bba9e…
06-30 20:59:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x00df2e…
06-30 20:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc0171e…
06-30 20:49:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd33e8d…
06-30 20:44:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6a13be…
06-30 20:39:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3697bd…
06-30 20:34:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2973a2…
06-30 20:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe21732…
06-30 20:19:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd5b3aa…
06-30 20:14:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x14075d…
06-30 20:14:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x93dd8a…
06-30 20:09:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2fd654…
06-30 20:04:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfef7c0…
06-30 19:59:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x342933…
06-30 19:54:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x54582e…
06-30 19:49:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2053ef…
06-30 19:44:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcefed0…
06-30 19:39:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd20e7b…
06-30 19:34:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3f3741…
06-30 19:29:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x48ff17…
06-30 19:24:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe75fc4…
06-30 19:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfc9c2e…
06-30 12:04:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf55c67…
06-30 11:59:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9c2ac4…
06-30 09:23:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc9a0b8…
06-30 09:08:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0cac79…
06-30 08:58:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6f0ac7…
06-30 08:53:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x152fe3…
06-30 08:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6ae431…
06-30 08:42:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	438	0¢	$1	0x7dcdb2…
06-30 08:42:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xcf6c7d…
06-30 08:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xee3733…
06-30 08:42:01	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbe737d…
06-30 08:41:53	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4d054b…
06-30 08:10:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x123183…
06-30 08:06:05	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb88da7…
06-30 08:05:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7fad92…
06-30 08:01:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x316910…
06-30 08:01:10	lol kc tl2 2026 06 30	Karmine Corp	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe67260…
06-30 07:55:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfc3d11…
06-30 07:50:35	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x570a94…
06-30 07:50:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7778fc…
06-30 07:45:32	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 first corner	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xae19db…
06-30 07:45:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xabdc10…
06-30 07:40:28	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x63f554…
06-30 07:40:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfc9eba…