True-Grandparent 0xde7be6…9b5f4b
whale hot 2W streak
3Unusual bets: 1 position →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.00M
Unrealized P&L
+$18.2K
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved
494
Trades
23,727
lifetime
Volume
$19.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$828
Open exposure
$1.18M
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-21
last 10-28 15:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 153 days
Categories
Politics
58% 41% +$1,675,819
Other
21% 37% -$529,890
Sports
19% 39% -$217,848
Crypto
3% 100% +$71,886
Tech
0% 44% +$3,811
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 425 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +461,465 $318,484 55¢ $251.5K -$66,985 10-27 23:07
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +276,809 $163,572 68¢ $186.8K +$23,274 10-24 20:03
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +245,592 $106,930 57¢ $140.7K +$33,794 10-22 15:07
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +127,843 $120,080 96¢ $123.2K +$3,096 09-25 22:59
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +88,609 $46,161 56¢ $49.2K +$3,017 10-21 01:39
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +79,610 $51,365 60¢ $48.2K -$3,201 10-28 07:35
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +46,483 $28,748 78¢ $36.0K +$7,277 10-05 15:17
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +35,329 $17,960 96¢ $34.0K +$16,079 05-19 21:55
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +278,312 $27,048 11¢ $29.2K +$2,175 09-17 03:42
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +100,000 $28,000 26¢ $26.5K -$1,500 10-07 21:59
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +34,570 $14,308 66¢ $23.0K +$8,681 06-29 22:31
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +74,289 $21,943 29¢ $21.2K -$770 10-21 12:33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +539,930 $60,598 4¢ $20.8K -$39,811 09-23 11:11
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +30,187 $10,450 66¢ $20.1K +$9,625 09-24 11:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -21,026 -$19,554 94¢ $-19869 -$315 09-12 23:53
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50,000 $18,500 38¢ $19.2K +$675 05-10 22:08
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +21,676 $18,208 72¢ $15.6K -$2,601 10-17 16:30
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +48,978 $10,825 26¢ $13.0K +$2,154 10-28 15:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15,515 $9,810 80¢ $12.5K +$2,679 07-30 01:51
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +31,057 $7,352 35¢ $10.7K +$3,393 10-24 03:45
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +16,147 $1,599 66¢ $10.7K +$9,139 09-24 11:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +9,666 $6,380 96¢ $9.3K +$2,900 09-16 18:24
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20,447 $8,813 43¢ $8.8K -$31 10-07 17:12
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +8,266 $4,852 100¢ $8.3K +$3,402 05-04 18:45
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +17,678 $7,248 44¢ $7.9K +$619 09-21 15:03
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +7,779 $4,028 99¢ $7.7K +$3,673 10-27 20:00
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +9,093 $6,753 77¢ $7.0K +$249 10-02 18:47
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +8,294 $6,018 77¢ $6.4K +$368 10-02 18:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +100,000 $12,000 5¢ $5.0K -$7,000 10-22 04:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5,050 $706 96¢ $4.8K +$4,117 10-23 21:40