Narrow-Peninsula 0xaec386…6222df
whale cold 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$65.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$447
Hit rate
73.5%
Resolved
1,023
Trades
4,262
lifetime
Volume
$1.41M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$332
Open exposure
$31.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 16:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 209 days
Categories
Politics
45% 74% -$38,037
Other
43% 68% -$25,499
Crypto
10% 66% +$1,358
Sports
2% 73% -$2,929
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$22
Tech
0% 100% +$58
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? No +10,114 $9,438 100¢ $10.1K +$650 10-08 07:10
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,357 $3,020 54¢ $4.5K +$1,451 10-05 14:14
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +2,634 $1,969 79¢ $2.1K +$111 09-19 11:32
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -2,000 -$1,581 90¢ $-1800 -$219 05-29 15:51
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1,729 $1,418 86¢ $1.5K +$61 08-26 22:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,500 $1,185 82¢ $1.2K +$52 09-17 19:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,200 $948 97¢ $1.2K +$212 06-08 11:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1,538 $1,000 66¢ $1.0K +$23 10-02 23:09
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,059 $1,000 96¢ $1.0K +$14 05-21 21:11
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,511 $1,000 62¢ $932 -$68 06-08 18:13
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $660 68¢ $675 +$15 10-27 16:06
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +596 $446 100¢ $595 +$149 09-17 23:18
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,817 $500 13¢ $498 -$2 09-17 23:42
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $460 98¢ $488 +$28 05-23 14:46
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +500 $400 88¢ $442 +$43 09-03 19:44
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +583 $500 70¢ $411 -$89 09-27 13:37
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -339 -$28 98¢ $-332 -$304 04-30 17:42
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -9,056 -$226 4¢ $-326 -$100 04-28 22:39
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +396 $329 77¢ $305 -$24 09-18 14:07
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +330 $241 82¢ $272 +$31 09-15 22:33
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +228 $200 99¢ $225 +$25 10-14 23:58
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +911 $596 24¢ $221 -$375 10-27 16:06
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,000 -$158 11¢ $-211 -$53 09-17 23:42
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +241 $200 78¢ $189 -$11 10-14 23:55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,000 $280 9¢ $181 -$99 06-01 14:00
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +4,632 $2,058 3¢ $148 -$1,910 08-22 20:58
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +179 $125 82¢ $148 +$22 09-18 12:41
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +300 $222 40¢ $119 -$103 06-03 23:18
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +100 $70 82¢ $82 +$12 09-18 12:41
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +250 $67 31¢ $77 +$9 05-19 14:23