Squiggly-Cub — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$53.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$14.3K

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

350

Trades

7,523

lifetime

Volume

$1.25M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$166

Open exposure

$45.8K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 00:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Politics

70% 46% +$58,185

Other

23% 49% -$14,428

Sports

6% 57% +$3,770

Crypto

1% 100% +$5,837

Tech

0% 67% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 339 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+80,319	$38,657	46¢	$36.9K	-$1,710	10-28 02:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	+13,378	$3,621	35¢	$4.6K	+$1,001	10-24 00:08
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+6,757	$2,736	45¢	$3.0K	+$274	10-03 02:39
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+43,837	$13,745	2¢	$658	-$13,088	10-27 23:12
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	+6,461	$492	4¢	$291	-$201	09-21 23:50
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+2,756	$258	5¢	$127	-$131	09-23 10:43
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+121	-$111	79¢	$96	+$207	09-16 13:42
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+121	-$123	21¢	$25	+$148	09-13 19:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	+2,200	$22	0¢	$6	-$16	10-13 19:41
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+3,000	$906	0¢	$4	-$901	10-27 15:16
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+0	-$78	72¢	$0	+$78	09-14 11:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	202	$129.4K	170,200	129,857	+40,343	Yes	+$18,780	06-17 23:40
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	80	$82.8K	46,400	51,217	-4,817	Yes	-$657	06-09 07:19
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	61	$57.6K	33,645	33,645	+0	Yes	+$1,863	09-21 03:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	50	$51.1K	89,973	9,654	+80,319	open	—	10-28 02:06
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	136	$41.0K	26,813	26,813	+0	No	+$2,139	06-14 21:11
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	111	$25.5K	51,335	36,261	+15,075	No	+$15,210	10-25 21:09
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	45	$24.0K	38,822	7,383	+31,440	Yes	-$16,936	10-25 20:33
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	228	$20.4K	104,399	104,399	+0	No	+$2,413	07-15 20:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	97	$19.2K	53,833	37,745	+16,089	No	-$3,688	05-29 06:26
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	71	$18.6K	17,655	17,655	+0	open	—	09-14 11:58
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	50	$18.1K	47,712	6,533	+41,180	Yes	-$14,823	09-20 17:08
netanyahu out by march 31 854	18	$17.7K	9,184	9,184	+0	No	+$142	03-19 21:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	107	$17.4K	23,143	22,036	+1,107	Yes	+$2,483	03-01 17:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	86	$16.5K	149,111	55,152	+93,959	No	+$4,042	05-14 18:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	153	$16.0K	34,920	31,670	+3,250	Yes	-$3,059	04-05 23:13
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	60	$15.6K	35,365	29,365	+6,000	No	-$3,028	09-06 20:23
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	106	$14.9K	60,315	50,387	+9,928	No	-$2,117	03-30 19:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	82	$14.9K	47,632	42,686	+4,947	No	-$3,027	04-25 19:39
will axiom be accused of insider trading	63	$14.4K	10,654	10,490	+163	Yes	+$218	02-26 10:34
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	6	$14.2K	8,966	8,966	+0	No	+$38	06-25 00:11
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	34	$14.1K	14,820	12,386	+2,435	No	+$1,720	07-24 03:39
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	30	$13.7K	43,837	0	+43,837	open	—	10-27 23:12
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	122	$13.7K	71,936	71,936	+0	No	-$2,131	07-14 20:47
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	26	$12.6K	9,000	16,200	-7,200	Yes	-$5,177	10-25 21:09
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	78	$12.0K	11,215	11,215	+0	Yes	+$225	02-27 11:24
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	52	$11.5K	21,409	21,409	+0	Yes	+$199	04-05 13:48
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	40	$11.2K	11,121	10,879	+242	open	—	09-16 13:42
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	37	$10.8K	18,342	12,448	+5,895	Yes	-$389	08-12 04:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	25	$10.7K	36,826	26,016	+10,810	No	-$1,353	05-23 18:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	125	$9.8K	32,843	25,093	+7,750	No	+$8	04-21 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:06:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	30,000	41¢	$12,300	0x0419b0…
10-28 02:06:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xc63f79…
10-28 02:06:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xb042bd…
10-28 02:06:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	13,112	43¢	$5,638	0x75169e…
10-28 00:36:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7,000	56¢	$3,920	0x182c6a…
10-27 23:12:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3,670	7¢	$257	0xc2c537…
10-27 23:11:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	170	7¢	$12	0xdc3107…
10-27 23:11:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	330	7¢	$23	0x22489e…
10-27 23:10:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	180	7¢	$13	0xfe0ad0…
10-27 23:10:12	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x9895ee…
10-27 23:10:12	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x81df8e…
10-27 23:10:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,000	7¢	$140	0x642994…
10-27 23:09:48	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe66029…
10-27 23:08:38	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5,416	8¢	$433	0xaa9773…
10-27 22:50:12	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,312	9¢	$118	0xee6d13…
10-27 22:47:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xff8cec…
10-27 22:47:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	191	54¢	$103	0x2d3f5e…
10-27 22:46:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	561	54¢	$303	0xa0fb81…
10-27 22:46:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	109	54¢	$59	0xd327fc…
10-27 22:46:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x83db0f…
10-27 22:46:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	160	54¢	$86	0xfde545…
10-27 22:46:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xe02f3b…
10-27 22:46:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	563	54¢	$304	0x3b06cc…
10-27 22:46:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8,596	54¢	$4,642	0xfb2b9f…
10-27 22:44:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	272	55¢	$150	0xe3bc97…
10-27 22:44:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2,180	55¢	$1,199	0xb85e67…
10-27 22:44:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	77	55¢	$42	0xf1f292…
10-27 22:44:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	222	55¢	$122	0x3aa1bc…
10-27 22:44:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	195	55¢	$107	0x3d34d9…
10-27 22:44:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2,000	55¢	$1,100	0xcf5df6…
10-27 22:44:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	53	55¢	$29	0x391c73…
10-27 22:31:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	624	62¢	$387	0xadb0f4…
10-27 22:31:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	300	62¢	$186	0x5d84d1…
10-27 22:30:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	300	62¢	$186	0x93e158…
10-27 22:30:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x4be56a…
10-27 22:30:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	44	62¢	$27	0x137dd9…
10-27 22:30:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	300	62¢	$186	0xdd4556…
10-27 22:30:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x61e36e…
10-27 22:30:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	222	62¢	$138	0xd5fc90…
10-27 22:30:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x780910…
10-27 22:30:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	300	62¢	$186	0x93ebed…
10-27 22:30:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	12	62¢	$8	0xfb03c5…
10-27 22:30:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0xe85e3b…
10-27 22:30:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	99	62¢	$61	0x1551d6…
10-27 22:30:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	33	62¢	$20	0x494f10…
10-27 22:30:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x3a7946…
10-27 22:30:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2,040	62¢	$1,265	0x244eb6…
10-27 22:30:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	51	62¢	$32	0xc54b8a…
10-27 22:30:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	300	62¢	$186	0x509208…
10-27 22:30:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	180	62¢	$112	0xdaa7c3…
10-27 22:30:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	39	62¢	$24	0x90909a…
10-27 22:30:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x009cf3…
10-27 22:16:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xd267e8…
10-27 22:15:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,980	14¢	$417	0x7af9f4…
10-27 22:12:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10,000	62¢	$6,200	0x370e49…
10-27 22:12:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x886b74…
10-27 22:12:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2,445	62¢	$1,516	0xc40d09…
10-27 22:11:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4,000	15¢	$600	0x8867e4…
10-27 22:07:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8,000	16¢	$1,280	0x4f9449…
10-27 15:16:39	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	235	30¢	$71	0x3f3804…
10-27 15:16:38	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xec8fcb…
10-27 15:16:38	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x7d7a76…
10-27 15:16:38	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	180	30¢	$54	0x4e5a91…
10-27 15:16:38	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	134	30¢	$40	0x35603c…
10-27 15:16:38	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	75	30¢	$23	0x1d7dc4…
10-27 15:11:12	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xc71c93…
10-27 15:11:12	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	144	30¢	$43	0x7f345b…
10-27 15:10:51	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x4c02b4…
10-27 15:10:50	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xd8d262…
10-27 15:10:50	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7e724b…
10-27 15:10:50	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x47e90b…
10-27 15:08:59	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0xd45c77…
10-27 15:08:59	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	110	30¢	$33	0x881bbf…
10-27 15:08:57	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	87	30¢	$26	0xbba955…
10-27 11:43:20	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,579	30¢	$477	0x33aba9…
10-27 10:22:03	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xc8951c…
10-26 23:22:23	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	69¢	$686	0xd9b606…
10-26 23:22:12	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5,188	69¢	$3,580	0x80b170…
10-26 04:12:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,600	70¢	$1,117	0x512df7…
10-26 04:06:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	394	70¢	$277	0x4cd7d5…
10-26 04:05:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xcbb7b9…
10-26 04:05:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	600	70¢	$421	0xff0be4…
10-26 04:01:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,395	70¢	$1,676	0x95be15…
10-26 04:01:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,013	70¢	$705	0x159985…
10-25 22:28:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	BUY	460	13¢	$60	0xc48c50…
10-25 22:09:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	178	0¢	$0	0xcd4c99…
10-25 22:07:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0xc4208f…
10-25 22:07:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	766	0¢	$1	0xa2b81b…
10-25 22:06:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x22c0ed…
10-25 22:05:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x64925d…
10-25 22:05:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0x007476…
10-25 22:03:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0xab08dd…
10-25 22:03:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x9016ba…
10-25 22:03:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	363	1¢	$2	0xec021e…
10-25 22:03:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	363	0¢	$1	0x1ee929…
10-25 22:03:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xba6f60…
10-25 22:03:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xafe123…
10-25 22:03:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0xf99427…
10-25 22:03:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$0	0x898329…
10-25 22:02:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	293	1¢	$2	0xee1400…