Squiggly-Cub — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.14K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,760

lifetime

Volume

$564.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$150

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 22:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

73% 33% $-5,283

Other

23% 75% $-861

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	177	$119.8K	162,327	122,640	+39,687	open	—	06-17 23:40
netanyahu out by march 31 854	18	$17.7K	9,184	9,184	+0	open	—	03-19 21:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	107	$17.4K	23,143	22,036	+1,107	open	—	03-01 17:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	86	$16.5K	149,111	55,152	+93,959	open	—	05-14 18:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	153	$16.0K	34,920	31,670	+3,250	open	—	04-05 23:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	68	$15.9K	51,018	20,799	+30,220	open	—	05-29 06:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	106	$14.9K	60,315	50,387	+9,928	open	—	03-30 19:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	82	$14.9K	47,632	42,686	+4,947	open	—	04-25 19:39
will axiom be accused of insider trading	63	$14.4K	10,654	10,490	+163	open	—	02-26 10:34
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	6	$14.2K	8,966	8,966	+0	open	—	06-25 00:11
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	78	$12.0K	11,215	11,215	+0	open	—	02-27 11:24
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	52	$11.5K	21,409	21,409	+0	open	—	04-05 13:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	25	$10.7K	36,826	26,016	+10,810	open	—	05-23 18:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	125	$9.8K	32,843	25,093	+7,750	open	—	04-21 20:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	112	$9.5K	74,732	40,613	+34,118	open	—	06-26 23:47
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	35	$9.4K	7,748	2,021	+5,727	open	—	03-01 09:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	31	$8.7K	16,082	16,082	+0	open	—	04-08 14:23
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	21	$7.7K	16,981	16,981	+0	open	—	07-28 22:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	21	$7.4K	61,398	54,424	+6,974	open	—	05-07 17:49
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	24	$7.2K	6,625	6,625	-0	open	—	06-01 19:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	58	$7.2K	19,988	19,988	+0	open	—	04-07 23:53
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	91	$7.0K	28,455	28,455	+0	open	—	04-14 23:31
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	27	$6.5K	6,705	6,705	+0	open	—	07-26 16:27
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	19	$6.3K	21,001	0	+21,001	open	—	08-01 21:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	11	$6.2K	52,894	0	+52,894	open	—	05-09 11:37
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	28	$6.2K	11,532	8,531	+3,000	open	—	07-07 19:00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	10	$5.8K	3,167	3,167	+0	open	—	04-12 19:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	27	$5.7K	14,087	7,531	+6,557	open	—	05-25 19:40
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	225	$5.7K	47,834	48,144	-310	open	—	02-25 19:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	93	$5.6K	41,576	40,081	+1,495	open	—	04-07 22:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 22:16:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	1,280	11¢	$141	0x396451…
08-10 22:16:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1,038	7¢	$73	0xdfb35e…
08-10 12:32:18	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	2,691	13¢	$350	0x6a3535…
08-10 12:30:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xca1ad0…
08-10 12:30:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	700	4¢	$27	0xd8ba0f…
08-10 12:30:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	700	12¢	$84	0x0e6b8a…
08-10 00:06:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	1,191	16¢	$191	0x0f6a27…
08-09 01:45:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	272	15¢	$41	0xae2dda…
08-09 01:08:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	228	15¢	$34	0xcbd0b6…
08-08 17:07:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	1,000	17¢	$170	0x2cea56…
08-06 03:59:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	1,223	34¢	$420	0x8b677d…
08-06 03:59:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	204	35¢	$71	0xf5f3a1…
08-04 22:29:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	5,741	3¢	$177	0x031e8f…
08-04 13:20:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	207	3¢	$7	0x2d230e…
08-04 13:13:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	174	3¢	$6	0x562296…
08-04 12:21:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	168	15¢	$25	0xd77841…
08-04 12:20:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x263cc2…
08-04 12:20:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	4,830	15¢	$725	0x46f910…
08-03 01:13:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	5,000	12¢	$600	0x809df1…
08-02 21:34:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	10,000	12¢	$1,200	0xeaec3a…
08-02 16:23:20	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4,697	7¢	$329	0xb9d45c…
08-01 21:38:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	5,000	26¢	$1,300	0x890c7b…
08-01 20:48:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	1,436	30¢	$431	0x18893d…
08-01 20:48:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x2b9a5e…
08-01 20:46:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x15c4ef…
08-01 20:45:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xf1a079…
08-01 20:45:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x72aa35…
08-01 20:45:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	2,548	30¢	$765	0x1aa424…
08-01 20:45:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x09508e…
08-01 20:40:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	830	31¢	$257	0x5e8959…
08-01 20:34:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x60bbf1…
08-01 20:34:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	2,000	31¢	$620	0x1a1cfa…
08-01 20:33:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	538	31¢	$167	0x09676a…
08-01 20:33:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xfb0372…
08-01 20:33:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	1,624	31¢	$503	0x32ec3f…
08-01 20:32:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	1,065	32¢	$341	0xd679c5…
08-01 20:25:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	2,970	31¢	$921	0x797bb8…
08-01 20:25:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xc68bba…
08-01 20:24:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x1fe160…
08-01 20:24:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	2,936	33¢	$961	0x39b15e…
07-30 01:50:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,500	28¢	$700	0xefd591…
07-28 22:45:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	770	25¢	$191	0xf7311b…
07-28 22:45:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	2,500	25¢	$620	0x8354f7…
07-28 22:45:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	2,000	25¢	$498	0xf119fb…
07-28 22:42:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	3,000	28¢	$837	0xe29313…
07-28 22:36:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	3,279	18¢	$603	0xcf8085…
07-28 22:30:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	1,904	21¢	$398	0x806848…
07-28 22:30:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0x9b7b1d…
07-28 22:30:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	968	21¢	$202	0xa3108a…
07-28 22:29:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	105	21¢	$22	0xb66aa4…
07-28 22:27:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	513	19¢	$95	0x9d15b3…
07-28 22:27:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	987	19¢	$184	0xadbb4e…
07-28 22:25:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	107	19¢	$20	0x13de7d…
07-28 22:25:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	1,433	19¢	$269	0x9409ce…
07-28 22:21:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	4,752	24¢	$1,117	0x8c6f9a…
07-28 22:18:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	1,514	27¢	$407	0x9ae89e…
07-28 22:18:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	2,285	27¢	$615	0xcc5e46…
07-28 22:15:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	3,433	23¢	$783	0x1906ef…
07-28 22:15:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	567	23¢	$129	0xedfc3b…
07-26 16:27:13	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	3,039	62¢	$1,884	0x071a8b…
07-26 16:25:48	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0x1f51a3…
07-26 16:09:49	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0xc15733…
07-26 14:40:00	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0xee8780…
07-26 13:09:46	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x4d2d2c…
07-26 12:05:01	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	139	63¢	$88	0x847813…
07-26 11:48:30	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	63	63¢	$40	0x66ce00…
07-26 11:46:37	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	160	63¢	$101	0xc1998a…
07-26 11:32:58	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x8bacce…
07-26 07:14:43	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x57cbd7…
07-26 07:13:58	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x4961a4…
07-26 06:42:37	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0x3fefdd…
07-26 06:22:15	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xca2f54…
07-26 05:22:04	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	159	63¢	$100	0x5a1d4a…
07-26 05:16:48	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	238	63¢	$150	0xc0be56…
07-26 04:53:22	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x6fc493…
07-26 04:47:15	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x99fde4…
07-26 03:48:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	496	63¢	$313	0x59d777…
07-25 21:48:42	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	376	14¢	$53	0x120fc9…
07-25 21:48:33	iran full airspace closure by july 27	Yes	SELL	2,113	7¢	$148	0x4aa1d6…
07-25 21:47:49	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	37	14¢	$5	0xf429e0…
07-25 21:45:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	1,910	24¢	$457	0xe8b212…
07-25 21:39:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	395	13¢	$51	0xe964db…
07-25 21:39:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	1,515	12¢	$185	0x681b46…
07-25 21:33:43	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	4,794	15¢	$703	0x1257bd…
07-25 21:30:07	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0xc52edc…
07-25 21:29:42	iran full airspace closure by july 27	Yes	BUY	2,113	7¢	$148	0x5e8e4e…
07-25 21:22:55	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	4,894	15¢	$734	0xcb84ee…
07-25 21:22:07	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	2,258	14¢	$314	0x134d4b…
07-25 03:36:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	2,000	19¢	$380	0x71d547…
07-25 01:21:52	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	300	23¢	$69	0xd6e7a1…
07-24 21:51:25	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	622	35¢	$216	0x7e5d00…
07-24 21:03:15	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	2,000	25¢	$500	0xb22812…
07-24 21:02:07	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	299	35¢	$105	0x10434a…
07-24 21:02:00	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x9d389e…
07-24 21:01:57	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	1,923	35¢	$673	0x17c1b7…
07-24 20:51:21	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	984	24¢	$236	0x31b47e…
07-24 18:20:16	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	1,096	50¢	$548	0xbd65da…
07-24 15:58:55	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	3,000	51¢	$1,530	0xcf5bdf…
07-24 15:25:24	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	207	53¢	$110	0xc20a67…
07-24 15:07:09	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	177	51¢	$90	0x03c446…