Squiggly-Cub — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.14K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.93K

Hit rate

19.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,596

lifetime

Volume

$522.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

$1.14K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-29 22:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

74% 33% $-5,283

Other

24% 75% $-861

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	-1,183	$-964	66¢	$-787	+$177	06-18 00:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+39,118	$2,539	1¢	$215	$-2,324	06-26 23:47
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	+134	$95	95¢	$127	+$32	06-29 21:07
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	+134	$-2	5¢	$7	+$9	06-29 22:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	+1,500	$824	0¢	$4	$-820	06-19 10:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	177	$119.8K	162,327	122,640	+39,687	open	—	06-17 23:40
netanyahu out by march 31 854	18	$17.7K	9,184	9,184	+0	open	—	03-19 21:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	107	$17.4K	23,143	22,036	+1,107	open	—	03-01 17:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	86	$16.5K	149,111	55,152	+93,959	open	—	05-14 18:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	153	$16.0K	34,920	31,670	+3,250	open	—	04-05 23:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	68	$15.9K	51,018	20,799	+30,220	open	—	05-29 06:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	106	$14.9K	60,315	50,387	+9,928	open	—	03-30 19:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	82	$14.9K	47,632	42,686	+4,947	open	—	04-25 19:39
will axiom be accused of insider trading	63	$14.4K	10,654	10,490	+163	open	—	02-26 10:34
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	6	$14.2K	8,966	8,966	+0	open	—	06-25 00:11
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	78	$12.0K	11,215	11,215	+0	open	—	02-27 11:24
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	52	$11.5K	21,409	21,409	+0	open	—	04-05 13:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	25	$10.7K	36,826	26,016	+10,810	open	—	05-23 18:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	125	$9.8K	32,843	25,093	+7,750	open	—	04-21 20:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	112	$9.5K	74,732	40,613	+34,118	open	—	06-26 23:47
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	35	$9.4K	7,748	2,021	+5,727	open	—	03-01 09:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	31	$8.7K	16,082	16,082	+0	open	—	04-08 14:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	21	$7.4K	61,398	54,424	+6,974	open	—	05-07 17:49
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	24	$7.2K	6,625	6,625	-0	open	—	06-01 19:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	58	$7.2K	19,988	19,988	+0	open	—	04-07 23:53
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	91	$7.0K	28,455	28,455	+0	open	—	04-14 23:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	11	$6.2K	52,894	0	+52,894	open	—	05-09 11:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	10	$5.8K	3,167	3,167	+0	open	—	04-12 19:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	27	$5.7K	14,087	7,531	+6,557	open	—	05-25 19:40
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	225	$5.7K	47,834	48,144	-310	open	—	02-25 19:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	93	$5.6K	41,576	40,081	+1,495	open	—	04-07 22:47
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	12	$5.0K	3,393	3,393	+0	open	—	02-28 10:31
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	21	$5.0K	12,353	10,340	+2,013	open	—	03-12 21:39
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	42	$4.7K	6,521	6,521	+0	open	—	04-07 23:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	78	$4.6K	5,379	5,079	+300	open	—	01-31 00:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 22:14:02	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	376	25¢	$93	0x14baeb…
06-29 21:45:05	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0xf260fd…
06-29 21:45:05	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xd0996c…
06-29 21:22:34	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0xb76eff…
06-29 21:19:02	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	595	30¢	$178	0x3f817f…
06-29 21:07:52	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	134	71¢	$95	0x6ef76a…
06-29 21:05:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x9b15e6…
06-29 21:05:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x96ac5b…
06-29 21:05:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x4bdf2c…
06-29 21:05:38	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x50f3f9…
06-29 21:05:38	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x167150…
06-29 20:59:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x6c7544…
06-29 07:19:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	800	25¢	$200	0x054ea0…
06-29 07:12:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	446	25¢	$112	0x84ebd7…
06-28 07:00:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5,328	14¢	$746	0xc78bff…
06-26 23:47:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x672b5c…
06-26 23:45:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xa52c02…
06-26 23:44:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x74d12a…
06-26 23:43:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf0988c…
06-26 23:41:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa06790…
06-26 23:31:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4e5143…
06-26 23:28:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf143a9…
06-26 23:27:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf14fd8…
06-26 23:25:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	122	5¢	$6	0x4d2ec8…
06-26 23:24:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,100	5¢	$57	0xa229cf…
06-26 23:23:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xab8825…
06-26 23:22:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x252168…
06-26 23:21:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1e2577…
06-26 23:20:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0x0229fd…
06-26 23:17:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0xf64755…
06-26 23:14:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xb5ef7c…
06-26 23:14:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xce9bd3…
06-26 07:06:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,068	9¢	$99	0xa31e8c…
06-26 07:05:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,658	9¢	$154	0x403d6c…
06-26 04:27:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3,000	12¢	$372	0x95e3ef…
06-25 22:10:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	17,000	5¢	$799	0x1e3b9b…
06-25 22:09:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5,000	5¢	$250	0x24e737…
06-25 12:17:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	319	11¢	$35	0x3026b3…
06-25 12:17:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,181	11¢	$130	0x0a707a…
06-25 12:07:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	413	10¢	$41	0xad5872…
06-25 12:05:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	560	10¢	$55	0xcf5a50…
06-25 11:51:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	724	10¢	$70	0x87dc0c…
06-25 11:51:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,000	10¢	$98	0x0ac503…
06-25 11:43:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,000	10¢	$194	0x721298…
06-25 11:41:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,721	9¢	$153	0xf02348…
06-25 11:37:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	311	9¢	$27	0x70cff3…
06-25 11:34:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	927	9¢	$81	0xee3d0f…
06-25 11:22:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,216	8¢	$168	0x72989f…
06-25 11:17:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	45	9¢	$4	0x556c95…
06-25 11:17:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	268	9¢	$24	0xffd497…
06-25 11:10:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	780	9¢	$73	0x8f6ace…
06-25 11:07:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	992	9¢	$91	0x172c4b…
06-25 10:47:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3,000	7¢	$216	0xf0929d…
06-25 10:45:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	317	11¢	$34	0xde754e…
06-25 10:45:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xfa3043…
06-25 10:45:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	171	11¢	$18	0x57195e…
06-25 10:45:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3,163	11¢	$338	0x0c980a…
06-25 10:44:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3,521	11¢	$384	0xf7f017…
06-25 10:43:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3,000	9¢	$258	0x5ce832…
06-25 00:11:59	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	8,967	23¢	$2,062	0x89327b…
06-25 00:11:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	5,157	79¢	$4,074	0x1357da…
06-24 23:53:23	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x8865d8…
06-24 23:26:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x349382…
06-24 23:10:40	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	3,801	80¢	$3,041	0x2c686f…
06-24 11:08:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	867	79¢	$685	0xf3a30e…
06-24 11:08:08	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	867	24¢	$208	0xe0db57…
06-24 10:47:02	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	8,099	79¢	$6,398	0x4ad37e…
06-24 10:46:53	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	8,100	24¢	$1,944	0xa7ec0a…
06-21 23:31:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5,000	6¢	$300	0xe68723…
06-21 02:06:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5,000	8¢	$400	0xf01b9a…
06-20 23:02:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,191	6¢	$71	0xb7cfe2…
06-20 23:00:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0e4108…
06-20 23:00:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	729	6¢	$44	0x125a40…
06-20 22:58:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x573363…
06-20 22:58:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xa6ffe0…
06-20 22:46:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x0b4790…
06-20 22:46:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	205	6¢	$12	0x5a5d4e…
06-20 22:45:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,111	6¢	$67	0x3526d5…
06-20 22:44:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x7de590…
06-20 22:43:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x023e40…
06-20 22:42:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	608	6¢	$36	0x4d5e5d…
06-20 22:38:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	74	6¢	$4	0xdf2ef2…
06-20 22:34:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0xeb9b4a…
06-20 22:29:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x89a0c1…
06-20 22:28:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xe1de06…
06-20 22:27:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x8b5542…
06-20 22:06:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,327	7¢	$93	0x87e220…
06-20 22:05:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3,673	7¢	$257	0xd2e4db…
06-20 21:46:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4,210	7¢	$295	0x80eae0…
06-20 10:13:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3,709	10¢	$371	0x0a61d4…
06-19 21:47:56	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	784	55¢	$431	0x8cdf9f…
06-19 21:40:41	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0xa00aa8…
06-19 10:42:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,100	8¢	$88	0xf3e335…
06-19 10:41:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,174	8¢	$174	0x7f8522…
06-19 10:38:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	140	8¢	$11	0xfd4198…
06-19 10:36:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xb2be19…
06-19 10:36:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	750	8¢	$60	0x220fec…
06-19 10:35:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0xbae6d4…
06-19 10:34:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x1c1ca3…
06-19 10:34:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	347	8¢	$28	0x23dbb5…