Realized P&L
+$70
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
74.6%
Resolved
364
Trades
1,945
lifetime
Volume
$20.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$2.68K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 16:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Other
77% 71% -$84
Crypto
10% 75% +$55
Sports
5% 60% +$61
Politics
4% 78% +$35
Tech
3% 67% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +278 $259 97¢ $271 +$11 09-21 22:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +222 $207 98¢ $218 +$11 09-02 17:09
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -200 -$195 98¢ $-196 -$1 09-24 02:47
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +190 $169 98¢ $186 +$17 09-23 17:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +180 $165 94¢ $168 +$3 10-28 01:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +150 $125 88¢ $133 +$8 10-08 16:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +140 $120 92¢ $130 +$10 10-08 16:30
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +130 $124 97¢ $126 +$2 10-31 18:17
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +130 $119 95¢ $123 +$5 10-02 15:49
Rippling IPO before 2027? No +126 $111 96¢ $121 +$10 09-29 15:05
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +114 $104 98¢ $111 +$7 10-05 08:15
US recession by end of 2026? No +100 $92 96¢ $96 +$4 09-03 16:14
will manchester city be relegated from the premier league in 2026 27 No +140 $116 57¢ $80 -$36 09-29 17:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +80 $75 98¢ $78 +$3 10-27 06:13
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +75 $62 97¢ $73 +$11 11-03 22:25
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +74 $50 90¢ $67 +$18 06-04 19:26
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? No +60 $51 98¢ $59 +$7 11-01 02:58
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +53 $41 96¢ $51 +$10 09-04 08:02
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No +50 $46 98¢ $49 +$2 10-08 02:48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$41 97¢ $-49 -$7 07-13 18:11
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 95¢ $47 +$1 10-15 14:54
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +50 $46 92¢ $46 +$0 11-02 21:45
Stripe IPO before 2027? No -35 -$39 97¢ $-34 +$4 11-03 23:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? No +40 $24 82¢ $33 +$9 09-15 18:45
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -35 $36 91¢ $-32 -$68 09-04 12:34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -30 -$29 98¢ $-30 $0 09-21 17:57
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +20 $18 98¢ $20 +$2 09-02 16:25
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 11-01 07:11
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 86¢ $17 $0 11-01 03:01
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +20 $18 78¢ $16 -$2 09-29 18:28