Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
1,286
lifetime
Volume
$11.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$650
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 00:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
87%
Politics
4%
Crypto
3%
Sports
3% 100% +$12
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +95 $85 91¢ $86 +$1 07-21 14:45
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +86 $69 89¢ $76 +$8 06-28 15:04
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +80 $75 94¢ $75 $-0 07-12 16:36
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +54 $48 97¢ $52 +$4 07-14 16:11
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 92¢ $46 $-0 07-12 16:36
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -85 $-6 53¢ $-45 $-39 06-27 00:28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-41 88¢ $-44 $-3 07-13 18:11
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $46 88¢ $44 $-2 07-14 19:03
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +44 $27 78¢ $34 +$8 06-04 19:26
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +30 $26 88¢ $27 +$0 07-15 05:50
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? No +25 $21 88¢ $22 +$1 07-20 11:39
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No +20 $18 97¢ $19 +$1 06-24 20:01
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +15 $13 86¢ $13 $-0 07-12 22:40
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? No +15 $13 84¢ $13 $-1 07-21 14:39
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.? No +14 $12 86¢ $12 +$0 07-19 21:23
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 07-14 01:51
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$0 07-16 02:37
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +10 $6 65¢ $6 +$0 07-16 02:12
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? No +5 $4 91¢ $5 +$0 07-14 15:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $7 44¢ $4 $-3 07-08 22:53
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? Yes +5 $4 69¢ $3 $-0 07-13 16:42
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? No -2 $-4 94¢ $-2 +$2 07-18 07:04
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 07-22 00:24
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 07-15 09:53