Realized P&L
+$70
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
74.6%
Resolved
364
Trades
1,951
lifetime
Volume
$20.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$2.88K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 00:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Other
77% 71% -$84
Crypto
11% 75% +$55
Sports
5% 60% +$61
Politics
4% 78% +$35
Tech
4% 67% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +278 $259 98¢ $271 +$12 09-21 22:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +222 $207 98¢ $218 +$11 09-02 17:09
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -200 -$195 98¢ $-197 -$1 09-24 02:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +230 $190 82¢ $190 $0 11-05 18:03
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +190 $169 98¢ $186 +$17 09-23 17:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +180 $165 94¢ $168 +$3 10-28 01:34
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +130 $124 97¢ $127 +$2 10-31 18:17
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +130 $119 95¢ $124 +$5 10-02 15:49
Rippling IPO before 2027? No +126 $111 97¢ $123 +$12 09-29 15:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +140 $120 88¢ $122 +$3 10-08 16:30
US recession by end of 2026? No +100 $92 96¢ $96 +$4 09-03 16:14
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +100 $90 92¢ $92 +$2 11-06 00:16
Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026? No +100 $84 88¢ $88 +$4 10-31 16:17
will manchester city be relegated from the premier league in 2026 27 No +140 $116 58¢ $82 -$34 09-29 17:04
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +79 $69 98¢ $77 +$7 11-05 22:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +80 $75 96¢ $77 +$1 10-27 06:13
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +75 $62 97¢ $73 +$11 11-03 22:25
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +74 $50 90¢ $67 +$18 06-04 19:26
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? No +60 $51 98¢ $59 +$8 11-01 02:58
Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027? No +80 $59 72¢ $57 -$1 10-12 16:10
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +53 $41 96¢ $51 +$10 09-04 08:02
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No +50 $46 98¢ $49 +$2 10-08 02:48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$41 97¢ $-48 -$7 07-13 18:11
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 95¢ $47 +$1 10-15 14:54
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +50 $46 92¢ $46 +$0 11-02 21:45
Stripe IPO before 2027? No -35 -$39 97¢ $-34 +$4 11-03 23:37
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -35 $36 87¢ $-30 -$67 09-04 12:34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -30 -$29 98¢ $-30 $0 09-21 17:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? No +40 $24 68¢ $27 +$3 09-15 18:45
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? No +21 $18 92¢ $20 +$2 10-27 06:56