Realized P&L
+$190
Unrealized P&L
+$39
Hit rate
97.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
573
lifetime
Volume
$2.00K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$579
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 07-22 06:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
37% 75% $-4
Politics
37% 100% +$194
Other
22%
Tech
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +293 $193 66¢ $195 +$1 07-22 00:49
Benedict Wong as Wong? Yes +101 $60 64¢ $65 +$5 07-22 08:34
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Mayweather +94 $55 57¢ $54 $-1 07-21 20:58
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? No +104 $37 50¢ $52 +$15 05-30 22:07
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC? Yes +204 $35 16¢ $34 $-1 07-22 03:50
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +108 $28 26¢ $28 $-1 07-22 06:32
Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year? No +29 $21 90¢ $26 +$5 05-31 00:14
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts? Yes +33 $17 55¢ $18 +$1 07-19 21:46
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? No +45 $17 34¢ $16 $-1 07-22 05:09
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.? No +17 $9 86¢ $15 +$5 05-30 23:45
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +16 $10 82¢ $13 +$3 05-30 17:03
Will the SHOWER Act become law this year? No +12 $9 90¢ $11 +$2 05-30 17:03
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? No +12 $7 76¢ $9 +$2 06-16 21:25
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +41 $10 22¢ $9 $-1 07-19 21:50
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? No +12 $6 72¢ $9 +$2 05-30 23:55
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +10 $7 72¢ $7 +$0 07-22 01:28
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? Yes +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 07-22 06:17
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? Yes +6 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 07-21 21:00
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? Yes +6 $3 62¢ $4 +$0 07-21 22:57
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation? No +3 $2 84¢ $2 +$0 06-11 22:16
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? Yes +5 $2 44¢ $2 $-0 07-21 23:01
Will Jay Z release an album in 2026? No +5 $2 30¢ $2 $-1 07-21 22:37
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? No +2 $0 40¢ $1 +$0 07-21 23:56