Realized P&L
+$394
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
102
Trades
2,681
lifetime
Volume
$8.63K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$1.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 09-25 06:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
64% 50% +$65
Politics
16% 43% +$178
Crypto
9% 68% +$76
Sports
7% 67% +$75
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +293 $193 78¢ $227 +$34 07-22 00:49
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +329 $180 62¢ $203 +$22 08-02 10:31
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +119 $62 100¢ $118 +$56 05-31 03:07
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +126 $80 76¢ $96 +$17 08-09 15:14
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +161 $121 58¢ $93 -$27 08-11 18:11
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +114 $89 81¢ $93 +$4 09-19 21:52
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +108 $80 84¢ $91 +$11 08-04 18:31
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +186 $99 40¢ $75 -$23 08-23 09:04
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? No +112 $77 62¢ $70 -$7 08-07 14:47
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes +102 $66 60¢ $61 -$5 05-08 13:36
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +90 $70 58¢ $52 -$18 08-11 15:48
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +144 $50 34¢ $50 -$1 09-17 21:22
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +84 $15 32¢ $27 +$12 08-08 12:37
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +28 $15 86¢ $25 +$10 08-16 11:03
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No +28 $21 87¢ $24 +$3 09-19 19:05
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +20 $8 98¢ $20 +$12 05-31 05:24
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +108 $28 17¢ $18 -$10 07-22 06:32
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +102 $19 16¢ $16 -$3 05-08 16:27
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +47 $9 32¢ $15 +$5 08-23 09:04
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +41 $10 36¢ $15 +$5 07-19 21:50
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +15 $11 59¢ $9 -$2 08-04 00:36
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +9 $5 98¢ $9 +$4 09-24 23:03
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +102 $19 6¢ $7 -$13 05-08 14:49
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +36 $7 16¢ $6 -$1 06-02 20:43
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +72 $14 8¢ $5 -$8 06-16 21:26
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$1 09-19 22:01
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +120 $35 4¢ $5 -$30 05-30 21:08
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +109 $54 4¢ $4 -$49 08-16 18:12
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +6 $4 66¢ $4 $0 09-20 20:00
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes +36 $7 9¢ $3 -$4 05-09 04:01