Realized P&L (90d)
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
42
42 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$119
$119 lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$121
25 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 05:49
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
85%
Politics
6%
Sports
6%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +24 $15 62¢ $15 $-0 05-09 02:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No +18 $13 80¢ $14 +$1 05-08 21:56
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes +18 $12 64¢ $12 $-0 05-08 13:34
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? No +12 $7 64¢ $8 +$0 05-08 23:51
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No +12 $7 57¢ $7 $-0 05-08 21:56
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? No +6 $5 81¢ $5 +$0 05-08 20:45
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? Yes +12 $5 40¢ $5 $-0 05-08 13:10
Will Rob Adkerson be the Republican nominee for GA-11? Yes +12 $3 38¢ $5 +$1 05-08 22:16
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat? Yes +6 $4 74¢ $4 $-0 05-08 20:36
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +6 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 05-08 15:37
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +12 $5 36¢ $4 $-0 05-08 13:29
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +6 $4 70¢ $4 +$1 05-09 03:14
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $4 66¢ $4 $-0 05-09 02:50
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes +18 $3 19¢ $3 +$0 05-09 04:00
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? Yes +6 $3 55¢ $3 $-0 05-08 21:10
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? No +6 $3 55¢ $3 $-0 05-08 21:10
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +6 $3 52¢ $3 $-0 05-08 15:37
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? Yes +6 $3 49¢ $3 +$0 05-09 05:49
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes +6 $3 48¢ $3 +$0 05-08 18:27
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? No +6 $3 44¢ $3 +$0 05-08 15:57
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? No +18 $4 13¢ $2 $-1 05-08 23:21
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +12 $2 16¢ $2 $-0 05-08 16:27
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes +6 $2 24¢ $1 $-0 05-08 18:07
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 05-08 14:15
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? Yes +6 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 05-08 15:22