Realized P&L
+$3.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.93K
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
15
Trades
5,239
lifetime
Volume
$856.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$164
Open exposure
$18.1K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
58% 57% +$3,287
Other
41% 50% $-100
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +10,767 $-5,676 72¢ $7.8K +$13,481 06-30 20:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +17,775 $5,120 20¢ $3.5K $-1,654 06-23 10:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2,121 $1,951 99¢ $2.1K +$158 06-26 07:02
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -2,062 $-478 79¢ $-1629 $-1,151 06-25 14:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3,538 $1,982 32¢ $1.2K $-832 06-26 23:15
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,819 $947 28¢ $500 $-447 06-30 16:07
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -300 $-258 87¢ $-261 $-3 06-10 19:31
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +1,200 $630 21¢ $252 $-378 06-22 04:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +200 $186 100¢ $200 +$14 06-13 16:01
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +200 $183 100¢ $199 +$16 06-19 08:51
French election called by June 30, 2026? No +173 $170 100¢ $172 +$2 06-24 00:25
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +504 $143 25¢ $126 $-17 06-25 10:28
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +115 $83 99¢ $113 +$30 06-26 03:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -179 $-90 30¢ $-53 +$37 06-15 07:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -5,652 $-740 $-31 +$709 06-20 13:22
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $34 28¢ $28 $-6 05-29 09:54
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? Yes -153 $-109 12¢ $-18 +$90 05-30 22:06
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? Yes +43 $9 27¢ $12 +$3 06-05 08:22
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-02 08:56
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? No +205 $12 $3 $-9 06-24 14:28
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +2,388 $112 $2 $-110 06-21 22:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -300 $-16 $-1 +$15 06-13 12:38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes +504 $20 $1 $-19 06-16 10:54