Realized P&L
+$3.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.33K
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
15
Trades
5,676
lifetime
Volume
$1.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$179
Open exposure
$9.37K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 09:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
60% 57% +$3,287
Other
39% 50% $-100
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +4,416 $-10,385 88¢ $3.9K +$14,271 07-10 14:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +17,775 $5,120 14¢ $2.4K $-2,720 06-23 10:15
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -2,062 $-478 78¢ $-1598 $-1,120 06-25 14:18
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? Yes +631 $258 56¢ $354 +$95 07-16 01:00
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +1,200 $630 22¢ $270 $-360 06-22 04:00
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -300 $-258 88¢ $-262 $-4 06-10 19:31
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,819 $947 12¢ $218 $-729 06-30 16:07
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +504 $143 22¢ $111 $-32 06-25 10:28
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? Yes +100 $55 80¢ $80 +$25 07-14 23:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +5,089 $2,184 $59 $-2,125 07-06 15:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -179 $-90 22¢ $-38 +$51 06-15 07:11
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +112 $57 34¢ $38 $-19 07-06 08:35
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $34 22¢ $22 $-11 05-29 09:54
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes +33 $13 55¢ $18 +$5 07-17 07:50
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? Yes +43 $9 27¢ $12 +$3 06-05 08:22