Realized P&L
+$3.19K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.39K
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
15
Trades
4,451
lifetime
Volume
$657.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$148
Open exposure
$13.2K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 17:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
60% 57% +$3,287
Other
39% 50% $-100
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -6,161 $-4,500 76¢ $-4651 $-151 06-09 10:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,014 $2,778 38¢ $2.6K $-148 06-05 23:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +12,061 $4,232 20¢ $2.4K $-1,880 06-09 17:29
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +2,656 $1,811 66¢ $1.8K $-58 06-08 01:23
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -2,265 $-594 50¢ $-1144 $-549 06-01 09:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -859 $-683 39¢ $-335 +$348 06-09 11:04
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +314 $199 50¢ $155 $-44 06-05 17:47
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? Yes -153 $-109 27¢ $-41 +$67 05-30 22:06
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $34 35¢ $35 +$1 05-29 09:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +306 $21 11¢ $32 +$12 05-31 15:04
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +96 $25 24¢ $23 $-2 05-30 20:32
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +200 $16 $19 +$2 06-09 11:11
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? Yes +43 $9 42¢ $18 +$9 06-05 08:22
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-02 08:56