Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
+$488
Hit rate
20.9%
Resolved
3
Trades
647
lifetime
Volume
$82.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$127
Open exposure
$5.55K
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 06-30 12:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
82% 0% $-1
Politics
17% 50% $-16
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +2,560 $1,523 79¢ $2.0K +$500 06-11 14:48
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +1,378 $983 69¢ $951 $-33 06-05 06:08
SHEIN IPO before 2027? No +1,088 $756 76¢ $823 +$68 06-30 12:27
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +849 $689 90¢ $769 +$80 06-16 11:30
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +892 $540 46¢ $406 $-134 06-04 15:42
Glean IPO before 2027? No +298 $251 86¢ $258 +$6 06-02 20:57
Vanta IPO before 2027? No +161 $140 88¢ $142 +$3 06-02 23:47
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +122 $101 82¢ $101 $-1 06-06 00:52
Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +49 $37 60¢ $29 $-8 05-30 00:15
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No +20 $17 90¢ $18 +$1 06-09 05:37
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? Yes +50 $11 27¢ $14 +$3 06-06 00:33
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? Yes +18 $13 72¢ $13 $-0 05-29 23:41
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -27 $-10 28¢ $-7 +$3 06-19 17:34