Trained-Sniffle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$576

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,954

lifetime

Volume

$566.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$192

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 12:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Politics

25% 100% +$280

Tech

12% — —

Sports

8% 100% +$296

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	35	$26.4K	25,534	5,564	+19,970	open	—	02-02 00:21
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	53	$24.0K	22,375	8,375	+14,000	open	—	07-09 15:25
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	26	$23.7K	24,600	1,700	+22,900	open	—	02-02 15:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$21.9K	24,890	0	+24,890	open	—	06-02 15:56
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	7	$18.9K	18,567	567	+18,000	open	—	02-09 10:44
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	6	$17.0K	17,004	0	+17,004	open	—	01-21 00:18
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	04-30 10:47
will the us strike somalia next 656	13	$11.3K	11,442	0	+11,442	open	—	01-25 21:12
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	6	$10.2K	10,220	0	+10,220	open	—	01-23 13:39
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	37	$9.2K	15,384	6,368	+9,016	open	—	06-27 15:57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	20	$8.9K	7,568	7,568	+0	open	—	06-12 16:13
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	34	$8.6K	9,150	4,886	+4,264	open	—	01-28 22:44
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	12	$8.1K	8,174	0	+8,174	open	—	01-07 23:27
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 90 114	46	$7.6K	9,362	536	+8,826	open	—	02-09 14:51
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	32	$7.5K	5,934	5,934	+0	open	—	07-01 19:24
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	26	$7.1K	5,752	5,644	+108	open	—	01-21 04:31
will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	2	$6.5K	5,000	1,500	+3,500	open	—	01-24 15:17
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	55	$6.0K	4,080	4,880	-800	open	—	01-27 05:29
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	10	$5.8K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	02-09 22:34
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	11	$5.5K	5,700	700	+5,000	open	—	02-14 21:41
maduro in us custody by january 31	4	$5.5K	5,500	0	+5,500	open	—	01-03 15:34
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	20	$5.3K	5,260	2,675	+2,585	open	—	07-20 00:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	21	$5.0K	4,600	10,412	-5,812	open	—	06-12 19:24
us strike on somalia by february 28	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-10 15:26
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	9	$4.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-15 11:55
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	52	$4.8K	6,744	0	+6,744	open	—	01-22 20:20
will trump be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	2	$4.6K	4,634	0	+4,634	open	—	01-10 15:22
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	16	$4.5K	5,436	1,839	+3,596	open	—	06-25 18:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	14	$4.5K	3,550	1,775	+1,775	open	—	01-15 14:16
will tim walz activate the national guard in mn by march 31	27	$4.1K	8,306	2,353	+5,953	open	—	01-09 00:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:04:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	600	60¢	$360	0xff62f8…
08-10 13:12:09	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x7e5e9c…
08-10 13:02:24	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x315a6c…
08-10 13:02:03	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	195	59¢	$115	0x30d3f0…
08-10 12:47:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	BUY	1,121	37¢	$415	0x3d979c…
08-10 12:34:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xf3f6cd…
08-10 12:27:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	800	61¢	$488	0x0c343d…
08-10 11:45:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	BUY	55	37¢	$20	0xb73950…
08-10 11:42:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x6b9884…
08-10 01:16:45	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	SELL	1,460	27¢	$394	0xeede14…
08-09 22:28:36	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0xc36c01…
08-09 19:52:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	797	61¢	$486	0x648d5d…
08-09 19:32:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xbaa578…
08-09 17:07:24	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	204	47¢	$96	0x4f0ec7…
08-09 17:05:06	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	93	47¢	$44	0xc29134…
08-09 13:54:57	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x6f97a2…
08-09 12:39:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	411	32¢	$132	0x8d6a20…
08-09 12:29:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	189	32¢	$60	0xc96fae…
08-09 02:00:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	6,983	17¢	$1,180	0x0b8b3b…
08-09 01:45:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0xae2dda…
08-08 23:44:52	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	Yes	BUY	300	41¢	$123	0x52ba92…
08-02 15:32:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0x2b7fa8…
08-02 15:23:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xf24969…
08-02 15:18:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	170	89¢	$151	0x7ddc2b…
08-02 15:00:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	89¢	$8	0x6e0e4e…
08-02 14:36:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	192	89¢	$171	0x821905…
07-31 21:31:57	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	132	7¢	$9	0xeb002c…
07-31 21:30:53	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x32192f…
07-28 22:53:26	us bank failure by december 31 2026 20260720194747677	Yes	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0xf23c8d…
07-27 22:50:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	74¢	$154	0x1d7d88…
07-27 22:49:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	179	74¢	$132	0x7112f1…
07-27 22:10:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xde1ac6…
07-27 22:10:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x4a5e3b…
07-27 22:09:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xe1f1dd…
07-27 21:59:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xef4f97…
07-27 21:59:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$0	0x668f9d…
07-27 16:06:43	us bank failure by december 31 2026 20260720194747677	Yes	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xb41f61…
07-27 13:02:10	us bank failure by december 31 2026 20260720194747677	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x39bc62…
07-27 08:23:21	us bank failure by december 31 2026 20260720194747677	Yes	BUY	71	72¢	$51	0x49f586…
07-26 19:21:49	us bank failure by december 31 2026 20260720194747677	Yes	BUY	157	72¢	$113	0x162498…
07-24 20:34:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,206	73¢	$880	0xed1b6f…
07-24 19:12:22	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	49	18¢	$9	0xcc2ac6…
07-24 19:11:33	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xaf6f74…
07-24 19:11:31	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0x83126e…
07-24 16:52:46	FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	No	SELL	342	98¢	$336	0x0e4ac1…
07-24 13:13:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	700	55¢	$385	0x694028…
07-23 00:13:24	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	75	87¢	$65	0x207265…
07-22 23:28:27	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x2a0cee…
07-22 22:14:07	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	4,402	15¢	$655	0x71fd3c…
07-22 21:56:51	will tesla say software during earnings call 20260713183304170	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x4478e6…
07-22 21:56:25	will tesla say software during earnings call 20260713183304170	No	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0x49e9c0…
07-22 21:54:48	will tesla say china during earnings call 20260713183304176	No	BUY	759	10¢	$73	0xaaf9ae…
07-22 21:37:30	will tesla say robot during earnings call 20260713183304182	Yes	BUY	190	98¢	$187	0xa38dfd…
07-22 21:34:37	will tesla say optimus during earnings call 20260713183304175	Yes	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0xdba0d8…
07-22 21:33:39	will tesla say energy during earnings call 20260713183304178	Yes	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0xd8fe24…
07-22 21:14:04	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694 787	Yes	SELL	386	66¢	$255	0x6215dd…
07-22 21:13:33	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694 787	Yes	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x2ca36b…
07-22 21:13:22	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694 787	Yes	SELL	55	66¢	$36	0x1b2444…
07-22 21:12:42	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693 459	Yes	SELL	467	49¢	$229	0x6d45de…
07-22 18:59:12	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x057f8a…
07-22 12:51:03	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693 459	Yes	BUY	42	29¢	$12	0xf84122…
07-22 12:49:54	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693 459	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x31708c…
07-22 12:48:39	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693 459	Yes	BUY	42	29¢	$12	0xf5b10a…
07-22 12:48:10	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693 459	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x0923b1…
07-22 12:47:57	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693 459	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x03e206…
07-22 12:47:24	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693 459	Yes	BUY	41	29¢	$12	0xcade40…
07-22 12:40:04	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694 787	Yes	BUY	92	49¢	$45	0xe0cd6a…
07-22 11:26:15	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x6447e9…
07-22 10:29:30	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x35eca0…
07-22 01:15:57	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xd601d1…
07-22 01:03:24	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x5ce015…
07-21 21:45:33	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,155	6¢	$68	0x3fbb35…
07-21 21:36:51	will tesla say spacex during earnings call 20260713183304179	Yes	BUY	106	53¢	$56	0x4ad9e0…
07-21 17:30:52	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0x79326b…
07-21 11:09:57	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	SELL	111	51¢	$57	0x42fe7b…
07-21 10:43:16	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x1abc84…
07-20 16:44:15	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	542	57¢	$309	0x0d7442…
07-20 16:43:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	732	57¢	$417	0x453c1c…
07-20 16:43:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x1a231b…
07-20 15:58:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	54¢	$216	0x45c9ec…
07-20 15:01:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0xf10263…
07-20 14:54:57	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	885	62¢	$549	0x6abab2…
07-20 14:54:48	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x1232b4…
07-20 14:54:31	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x24cb82…
07-20 14:50:25	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	167	66¢	$110	0xd28350…
07-20 14:49:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xcd41b3…
07-20 14:49:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	183	66¢	$121	0xd9b511…
07-20 14:49:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	288	61¢	$176	0x9ce562…
07-20 14:48:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xac2721…
07-20 14:48:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	141	66¢	$93	0x913d85…
07-20 14:47:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x083a06…
07-20 14:47:33	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0xe9e0e9…
07-20 14:46:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x9324ec…
07-20 14:46:57	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x38c2ca…
07-20 14:45:45	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	61¢	$305	0xbeed86…
07-20 14:43:46	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	69¢	$276	0x732e06…
07-20 14:41:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	495	29¢	$144	0xbc555e…
07-20 14:33:57	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7f8271…
07-20 14:33:49	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xfab7dd…
07-20 14:33:48	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xfe31fe…