Trained-Sniffle 0xd5b97d…7fe44e
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$576
Unrealized P&L
+$822
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
2,882
lifetime
Volume
$557.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$193
Open exposure
$10.9K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 16:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
50% — —
Politics
26% 100% +$280
Tech
12% — —
Sports
8% 100% +$296
Crypto
4% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No -2,091 $-1,903 90¢ $-1889 +$14 06-23 17:22
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +6,837 $2,392 24¢ $1.6K $-785 06-29 19:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1,271 $826 83¢ $1.1K +$229 06-16 10:57
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,608 $745 58¢ $941 +$196 07-13 20:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +714 $300 99¢ $705 +$405 05-28 23:13
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -950 $-850 70¢ $-660 +$189 07-13 12:15
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No +803 $425 61¢ $490 +$65 07-01 09:41
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +793 $482 57¢ $456 $-26 06-04 21:27
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +1,500 $475 29¢ $435 $-40 07-18 23:59
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No -490 $-965 88¢ $-431 +$533 07-01 19:24
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? No +432 $419 97¢ $421 +$2 06-16 10:44
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -1,273 $-349 32¢ $-414 $-65 07-09 07:29
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +500 $200 74¢ $370 +$170 06-04 16:17
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +800 $220 32¢ $260 +$40 07-07 23:52
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -300 $-219 68¢ $-203 +$17 06-19 01:15
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? Yes +579 $369 27¢ $156 $-212 07-05 15:45
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +600 $258 18¢ $108 $-150 06-10 18:08
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? Yes +188 $90 54¢ $101 +$11 07-05 19:37
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +103 $86 92¢ $95 +$8 06-26 14:12
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes -784 $177 12¢ $-94 $-272 06-30 15:18
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +52 $-14 38¢ $20 +$34 07-06 15:50
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$1 07-03 14:52
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +0 $-458 60¢ $0 +$458 07-10 15:06