Trained-Sniffle 0xd5b97d…7fe44e
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$74.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.25K
Hit rate
76.6%
Resolved
715
Trades
5,094
lifetime
Volume
$997.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$196
Open exposure
$52.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 21:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 208 days
Categories
Other
54% 60% +$56,990
Politics
23% 65% +$11,347
Tech
12% 60% +$1,153
Crypto
6% 58% +$2,928
Sports
5% 50% +$1,971
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$85
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +9,497 $8,381 92¢ $8.8K +$403 10-20 13:25
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +5,000 $4,400 94¢ $4.7K +$275 08-29 08:04
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +7,831 $3,811 55¢ $4.3K +$496 10-26 21:08
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +5,401 $3,076 78¢ $4.2K +$1,164 10-22 19:32
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,738 $2,664 70¢ $3.3K +$676 10-21 19:31
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -2,045 -$2,010 99¢ $-2019 -$9 05-07 16:50
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +2,054 $158 97¢ $2.0K +$1,829 06-23 17:22
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,811 93¢ $1.9K +$53 10-07 19:53
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +1,851 $905 86¢ $1.6K +$687 09-28 00:14
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +9,172 $2,189 17¢ $1.6K -$630 10-23 21:24
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +1,921 $1,008 78¢ $1.5K +$500 10-23 03:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,501 -$1,450 97¢ $-1463 -$13 08-20 18:23
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,000 $1,280 68¢ $1.4K +$70 10-19 18:16
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +21,739 $1,500 6¢ $1.3K -$196 10-14 18:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1,271 $826 99¢ $1.3K +$435 06-16 10:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,587 $1,008 68¢ $1.1K +$79 10-18 16:08
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,893 $1,913 22¢ $1.1K -$861 09-24 09:48
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,000 $836 94¢ $945 +$109 09-21 11:34
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -950 -$850 92¢ $-879 -$29 07-13 12:15
will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138 No +910 $520 94¢ $855 +$335 06-18 19:23
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,200 $858 70¢ $840 -$18 09-23 01:20
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +3,605 $957 22¢ $811 -$146 09-22 22:28
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +31,867 $815 2¢ $781 -$35 10-16 19:55
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +833 $500 81¢ $675 +$175 09-21 18:42
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +707 $408 90¢ $637 +$229 07-23 00:13
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,295 $842 48¢ $622 -$220 10-25 17:28
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,364 $600 44¢ $607 +$7 10-22 20:21
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +5,006 $1,321 11¢ $551 -$771 09-11 03:47
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +799 $329 68¢ $540 +$211 10-22 18:23
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +1,784 $57 28¢ $500 +$442 10-22 00:19