Realized P&L (7d)
+$11.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$419
Hit rate
94.7%
Resolved (7d)
33
Trades (7d)
94
5,254 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$37.1K
$1.10M lifetime
Avg / trade
$209
Open exposure
$29.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 23:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 216 days
Categories
Other
50% 60% +$56,610
Politics
28% 65% +$22,919
Tech
12% 59% -$1,266
Crypto
5% 59% +$2,934
Sports
4% 50% +$1,971
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$178
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +5,001 $2,772 70¢ $3.5K +$754 11-06 13:16
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +5,336 $2,382 54¢ $2.9K +$473 10-30 12:59
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -2,045 -$2,010 99¢ $-2032 -$21 05-07 16:50
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,811 97¢ $1.9K +$120 10-07 19:53
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,101 $1,967 27¢ $1.9K -$75 11-05 04:42
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027? No +1,835 $1,487 88¢ $1.6K +$119 11-05 13:12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,501 -$1,450 99¢ $-1479 -$29 08-20 18:23
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,295 $842 88¢ $1.1K +$304 10-25 17:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,000 $836 98¢ $976 +$141 09-21 11:34
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +1,851 $800 52¢ $972 +$172 06-13 10:01
Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30? Yes +971 $818 97¢ $941 +$123 11-04 14:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -950 -$850 96¢ $-912 -$63 07-13 12:15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +1,851 $905 48¢ $879 -$26 09-28 00:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,255 $927 37¢ $845 -$82 11-04 15:39
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +8,628 $2,080 8¢ $733 -$1,347 10-29 17:35
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +707 $408 90¢ $633 +$225 07-23 00:13
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +1,779 $56 32¢ $560 +$505 10-29 10:27
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? Yes +545 $400 99¢ $540 +$140 11-04 01:01
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No -550 -$633 98¢ $-539 +$94 10-29 17:54
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,893 $1,913 11¢ $514 -$1,399 09-24 09:48
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -500 -$483 98¢ $-491 -$7 09-04 03:22
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No -500 -$523 94¢ $-471 +$53 10-15 11:08
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? Yes +581 $286 78¢ $456 +$170 10-24 12:56
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? No +432 $419 97¢ $420 +$1 06-16 10:44
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? No -400 -$427 98¢ $-394 +$34 10-29 17:51
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? No +400 $363 97¢ $390 +$26 10-23 19:49
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -400 -$356 96¢ $-385 -$29 09-26 16:18
Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat? No +368 $200 97¢ $358 +$158 10-22 20:18
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +1,087 $250 30¢ $321 +$71 10-02 15:11
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +5,006 $1,321 6¢ $300 -$1,021 09-11 03:47