Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
90.0%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,649
lifetime
Volume
$7.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$50
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-15 11:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
72% 88% $-1
Politics
18% 0%
Crypto
5% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
2%
Tech
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No -9 $-9 99¢ $-9 $-0 06-05 13:36
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-7 69¢ $-9 $-2 05-28 17:51
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No -9 $-7 78¢ $-7 +$0 06-14 07:48
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027? No -6 $-6 93¢ $-6 $-0 06-05 15:20
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC? No +11 $8 54¢ $6 $-2 06-05 21:55
Japan recession in 2026? No -4 $-3 84¢ $-3 +$0 06-15 00:32
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No -3 $-2 82¢ $-3 $-0 05-27 21:32
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 $-0 05-27 21:32
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? No -2 $-2 93¢ $-2 $-0 06-02 04:55
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 11:36
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 91¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 08:20
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0050 by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 88¢ $-0 $-0 06-15 11:39
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? No -0 $-0 85¢ $-0 $-0 06-15 11:39
Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 92¢ $-0 $-0 06-15 11:37
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-0 99¢ $0 +$0 06-04 12:36
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? No -0 $-0 56¢ $-0 +$0 05-30 21:54
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-1 75¢ $0 +$1 06-10 09:02