Responsible-Bidder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

Trades

824

lifetime

Volume

$8.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$1.19K

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 07-19 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

72% — —

Crypto

27% 79% +$38

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	No	+1,200	$1,137	96¢	$1.1K	+$12	07-07 17:52
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by August 31, 2026?	No	+37	$33	96¢	$35	+$2	07-03 04:59
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?	No	+5	$4	93¢	$5	+$1	06-17 02:21
Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	-12	$-1	15¢	$-2	$-1	06-23 18:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nocries play an hltv recorded match by june 30	19	$1.2K	1,226	212	+1,014	open	—	06-24 09:44
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	9	$1.1K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	07-07 17:52
FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	16	$707	503	532	-30	open	—	06-24 01:47
Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	11	$538	619	319	+300	open	—	06-22 07:33
Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?	12	$363	231	241	-10	open	—	06-20 19:32
Will Aurora make a roster change before July?	6	$335	293	243	+50	open	—	06-18 01:31
Will Karrigan retire by June 30?	3	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	06-14 19:21
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?	3	$132	75	75	+0	open	—	07-16 18:03
Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July?	6	$120	155	155	+0	open	—	06-18 22:30
cs2 mouz lgc 2026 06 11	4	$113	200	0	+200	open	—	06-11 05:07
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?	7	$102	196	196	+0	open	—	06-17 07:38
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?	7	$101	105	104	+1	open	—	06-15 06:06
will heroic make a roster change before august 20260610155544674	15	$93	153	180	-27	open	—	07-01 01:47
btc updown 5m 1773711000	27	$89	239	144	+95	open	—	03-17 01:33
will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	6	$83	73	73	+0	open	—	06-24 22:39
cs2 g2 big5 2026 06 08 game2	5	$73	95	7	+88	open	—	06-08 18:22
Will Astralis make a roster change before July?	4	$65	50	50	+0	open	—	06-23 17:17
russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026 20260609011545513	7	$63	102	63	+39	open	—	06-18 17:39
will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	10	$60	118	172	-53	open	—	07-14 17:33
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by June 30, 2026?	3	$58	42	19	+23	open	—	06-22 18:47
will any player break a device during iem cologne major 2026 stage 1	2	$49	100	0	+100	open	—	06-22 16:51
cs2 g2 big5 2026 06 08 total games 2pt5	8	$45	66	65	+1	open	—	06-08 17:58
cs2 tyloo lgc 2026 06 09 map handicap home 1pt5	5	$45	60	30	+30	open	—	06-09 04:08
btc updown 5m 1774375200	8	$40	67	30	+38	open	—	03-24 18:02
cs2 g2 big5 2026 06 08 game1	2	$39	62	0	+62	open	—	06-08 17:28
cs2 fal2 g2 2026 06 11	2	$37	60	0	+60	open	—	06-11 11:49
russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	2	$37	80	0	+80	open	—	06-27 16:52
btc updown 5m 1773715500	23	$36	85	28	+57	open	—	03-17 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	6	$35	42	0	+42	open	—	05-14 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$34	41	0	+41	open	—	05-14 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 13:01:00	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	No	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0x2e00b1…
07-16 18:03:59	Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?	No	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0xb3b37d…
07-14 17:33:26	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	84	12¢	$10	0x62ec0f…
07-14 17:21:14	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	46	12¢	$6	0xa7552f…
07-14 17:21:02	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x064c64…
07-08 16:17:56	will the mongolz make a roster change before september 20260623162853420	Yes	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0x1fdb85…
07-08 16:05:22	will the mongolz make a roster change before september 20260623162853420	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x4dbeff…
07-08 16:05:22	will the mongolz make a roster change before september 20260623162853420	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x098599…
07-08 00:55:04	will betboom make a roster change before september 20260623161949704	No	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x8411bd…
07-07 17:52:23	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	No	BUY	126	93¢	$117	0x838c54…
07-07 03:23:41	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	No	BUY	34	93¢	$32	0xa3a022…
07-07 02:26:44	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xc10817…
07-07 02:08:01	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x8acc38…
07-06 23:08:37	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	No	BUY	710	95¢	$675	0x7e70fc…
07-06 02:11:05	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x14cf67…
07-06 00:15:28	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x580e16…
07-04 20:25:53	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x38ca6c…
07-04 17:06:41	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0316fa…
07-03 04:59:25	Will Valve add first CS2 operation by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x462cc5…
07-02 16:18:37	will team aurora make a roster change before september 20260623160619339	No	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x05fd75…
07-02 08:13:26	will astralis make a roster change before september 20260623164319912	No	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x1472ae…
07-01 22:03:11	will team vitality make a roster change before september 20260623151753357	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x794c25…
07-01 20:55:53	will astralis make a roster change before september 20260623164319912	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x091d74…
07-01 01:47:02	will heroic make a roster change before august 20260610155544674	No	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0x933152…
06-29 20:56:52	will team spirit make a roster change before september 20260623154636967	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xfa5eb9…
06-29 20:41:52	will team spirit make a roster change before september 20260623154636967	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x30b77f…
06-29 20:40:38	will team spirit make a roster change before september 20260623154636967	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x7b2ec1…
06-29 19:42:13	will team spirit make a roster change before september 20260623154636967	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x8df8b4…
06-29 16:42:26	will team spirit make a roster change before september 20260623154636967	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0x73f1a8…
06-27 16:52:59	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x5e7902…
06-25 19:21:53	will astralis make a roster change before september 20260623164319912	No	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x3155c6…
06-25 09:33:56	will fut esports make a roster change before september 20260623164114963	No	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xc8b4e5…
06-25 05:54:59	will the mongolz make a roster change before september 20260623162853420	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x616b33…
06-25 02:01:29	will g2 esports make a roster change before september 20260623161043714	No	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xe051c5…
06-25 01:22:35	will betboom make a roster change before september 20260623161949704	No	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xe9d3ee…
06-25 00:47:02	will team spirit make a roster change before september 20260623154636967	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x050d81…
06-24 22:39:41	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	Yes	SELL	42	27¢	$11	0xfd7b97…
06-24 12:22:17	will noble launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	21	74¢	$16	0x8a2e6d…
06-24 09:44:32	will nocries play an hltv recorded match by june 30	No	BUY	700	87¢	$609	0xed83b8…
06-24 03:01:41	will nocries play an hltv recorded match by june 30	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x80d4e1…
06-24 02:59:19	will nocries play an hltv recorded match by june 30	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x42287a…
06-24 01:47:29	FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x321899…
06-23 18:16:32	Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xb261b7…
06-23 17:56:25	Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x64bc0c…
06-23 17:17:19	Will Astralis make a roster change before July?	No	SELL	34	63¢	$21	0x29d5a2…
06-23 14:56:05	Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x28bb84…
06-23 06:44:52	Will Astralis make a roster change before July?	No	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0x519053…
06-22 18:47:35	Will Valve add first CS2 operation by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xe47065…
06-22 16:51:56	will any player break a device during iem cologne major 2026 stage 1	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x3c9393…
06-22 12:11:14	Will Valve add first CS2 operation by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xbec887…
06-22 07:33:31	Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	No	SELL	319	20¢	$64	0x49732b…
06-22 04:05:17	Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0xe23ef4…
06-22 04:05:01	Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc85a29…
06-22 04:05:01	Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x73c1e1…
06-22 01:46:55	Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	150	72¢	$108	0x850377…
06-21 23:08:26	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	No	SELL	31	77¢	$24	0x0582a1…
06-21 12:47:49	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x709737…
06-21 04:33:05	Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	34	72¢	$24	0x274fbc…
06-20 19:32:16	Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?	No	SELL	145	97¢	$141	0x67b346…
06-20 18:36:19	Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x50f9ee…
06-19 20:24:16	Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0xfd251c…
06-19 08:49:26	Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0xa982c6…
06-18 22:30:16	Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July?	No	SELL	55	88¢	$48	0x1642e1…
06-18 17:39:29	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026 20260609011545513	No	SELL	28	39¢	$11	0x1ff3fe…
06-18 14:55:50	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026 20260609011545513	No	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0x8df058…
06-18 14:38:25	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026 20260609011545513	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x099526…
06-18 14:35:50	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026 20260609011545513	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xfd9f34…
06-18 13:47:31	Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	150	87¢	$130	0xd13333…
06-18 12:48:50	FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x3087e5…
06-18 09:29:22	Will FURIA make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x421bd4…
06-18 05:49:44	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x6033e8…
06-18 02:04:11	FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xc7fc9d…
06-18 02:03:40	FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x355e60…
06-18 02:02:22	FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x6f367b…
06-18 01:31:53	Will Aurora make a roster change before July?	No	SELL	48	60¢	$29	0xc2a1d7…
06-17 23:03:55	Will Aurora make a roster change before July?	No	SELL	45	60¢	$27	0x86f03c…
06-17 21:50:10	Will Aurora make a roster change before July?	No	SELL	150	60¢	$90	0x9273ec…
06-17 19:15:28	Will Aurora make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	93	64¢	$59	0xcead1e…
06-17 19:11:47	Will Aurora make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	150	65¢	$98	0x0ca563…
06-17 18:57:53	FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	146	88¢	$128	0x4620a4…
06-17 18:57:41	FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0x9f46a7…
06-17 09:00:10	FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0xa7ea59…
06-17 09:00:10	FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	No	SELL	72	16¢	$12	0xa7ea59…
06-17 07:38:01	Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?	Yes	SELL	196	17¢	$33	0xd628e2…
06-17 05:54:37	Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x3e245a…
06-17 02:21:31	Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xca8a36…
06-17 02:18:34	Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?	No	BUY	75	89¢	$67	0x5336a2…
06-17 02:12:31	Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?	Yes	BUY	61	19¢	$12	0x64d8d8…
06-17 02:10:25	Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xc6162b…
06-17 02:07:45	Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?	Yes	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x42feee…
06-17 02:01:45	Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x832387…
06-17 02:00:30	Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?	Yes	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x960e92…
06-17 01:59:52	Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?	Yes	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x2ee3bd…
06-17 00:27:17	will falcons make a roster change before august 20260610174825288	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x4174bf…
06-16 20:38:49	Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xa77289…
06-16 20:06:28	FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	No	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0x925c23…
06-16 18:52:52	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x44e008…
06-16 16:37:07	will heroic make a roster change before august 20260610155544674	Yes	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0x400844…
06-16 12:29:49	FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	No	SELL	51	11¢	$6	0xc7e2e1…
06-16 12:20:22	FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xf542ef…