Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?
open
Total volume
$216
Trades
38
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$119
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
79¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-28 23:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | — | $130 | $130 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $18 | $4 | +$14 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| Below median | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $16 | $16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | $106 | $103 |
| unranked | 8 | $25 | $4 | +$21 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faint-Pork 0x6b3a…2841 | No | +117 | $106 | $106 | 3 | 07-25 17:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | +75 | $14 | $15 | 2 | 07-28 14:52 |
| United-Cartel 0x56b3…3fa2 | Yes | +52 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-28 17:09 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +45 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-22 11:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-25 17:06 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-25 17:06 |
| Sugary-Dessert 0x294d…b362 | No | +10 | $7 | $25 | 3 | 06-10 05:57 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +5 | $-6 | $23 | 5 | 07-28 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-16 16:43 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $1 | 5 | 07-22 11:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 23:10:43 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe9bc37… |
| 07-28 23:10:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe9bc37… |
| 07-28 14:52:52 | (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xd31d45… |
| 07-28 14:52:52 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xd31d45… |
| 07-27 15:38:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 80 | 18¢ | $14 | 0x1d493b… |
| 07-27 15:38:10 | (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 18¢ | $14 | 0x1d493b… |
| 07-25 17:06:36 | Faint-Pork 0x6b3a…2841 | No | BUY | 34 | 91¢ | $31 | 0xad5b6e… |
| 07-25 17:06:36 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 34 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xad5b6e… |
| 07-25 17:06:34 | Faint-Pork 0x6b3a…2841 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x69612f… |
| 07-25 17:06:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x69612f… |
| 07-25 17:06:30 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xcb6dfb… |
| 07-25 17:06:30 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xcb6dfb… |
| 07-25 17:06:30 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xcb6dfb… |
| 07-25 17:06:30 | Faint-Pork 0x6b3a…2841 | No | BUY | 77 | 90¢ | $69 | 0xcb6dfb… |
| 07-22 11:23:03 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xbbf7e7… |
| 07-22 11:23:03 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xbbf7e7… |
| 07-22 11:23:03 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xbbf7e7… |
| 07-22 11:23:03 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xbbf7e7… |
| 07-20 05:09:18 | Stale-Blame 0x0ba7…f423 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xd461f5… |
| 07-20 05:09:18 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd461f5… |
| 06-16 16:43:17 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xfce262… |
| 06-16 16:43:17 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x04973d… |
| 06-16 16:43:17 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x04973d… |
| 06-16 16:43:17 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xfce262… |
| 06-10 10:46:34 | Old-Massage 0x8172…1d63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x06e50e… |
| 06-10 10:46:34 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x06e50e… |
| 06-10 05:57:19 | Sugary-Dessert 0x294d…b362 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x96b850… |
| 06-10 05:57:19 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x96b850… |
| 06-10 03:50:16 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xbc91f8… |
| 06-10 03:50:16 | Old-Massage 0x8172…1d63 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xbc91f8… |
| 06-10 03:50:16 | (anonymous) 0xfe48…5895 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbc91f8… |
| 06-10 03:50:16 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xbc91f8… |
| 06-10 03:50:16 | Sugary-Dessert 0x294d…b362 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xbc91f8… |
| 05-28 17:09:54 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xa4717f… |
| 05-28 17:09:54 | Sugary-Dessert 0x294d…b362 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xa4717f… |
| 05-28 17:09:54 | United-Cartel 0x56b3…3fa2 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 20¢ | $8 | 0xa4717f… |
| 05-28 17:09:40 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xdecbb1… |
| 05-28 17:09:40 | United-Cartel 0x56b3…3fa2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xdecbb1… |