Messy-String 0xb9a74e…2ef50f
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$433
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
56.5%
Resolved
238
Trades
829
lifetime
Volume
$17.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$861
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 02:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Sports
60% 43% +$314
Other
30% 41% +$200
Politics
10% 17% -$48
Crypto
0% 0% -$31
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,875 $240 4¢ $238 -$2 10-30 18:34
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,962 $262 6¢ $232 -$30 10-31 02:39
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $135 48¢ $146 +$10 10-30 20:21
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +100 $58 88¢ $88 +$30 06-14 13:37
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +152 $103 57¢ $87 -$17 06-04 02:18
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,000 $4 1¢ $21 +$17 09-26 16:23
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes -335 -$28 5¢ $-17 +$11 05-10 04:27
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8,100 $13 0¢ $12 -$1 10-30 18:33
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,496 $12 1¢ $10 -$2 05-27 20:11
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? Yes +725 $14 1¢ $5 -$9 10-30 14:10
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes +602 $6 1¢ $4 -$2 10-30 14:10
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes +400 $10 1¢ $3 -$8 10-30 22:40
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes +37 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-30 14:12