Grubby-Mantel 0x5d189e…ec4972
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$30.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$30.4K
Hit rate
53.1%
Resolved
225
Trades
297,848
lifetime
Volume
$1.59M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$75.7K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 04:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Sports
63% 38% +$12,508
Politics
29% 100% +$0
Other
9% 37% -$42,762
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,191,120 -$9,889 2¢ $-23822 -$13,933 10-18 22:32
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -41,000 -$2,542 15¢ $-6006 -$3,464 04-28 13:23
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -716,110 -$18,753 1¢ $-5013 +$13,740 06-29 00:56
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,738,784 $11,393 0¢ $4.3K -$7,046 07-13 20:11
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +282,935 $3,333 1¢ $3.8K +$486 10-21 13:46
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,491,581 -$12,296 0¢ $-3729 +$8,567 09-11 07:28
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,055,289 $9,297 0¢ $3.7K -$5,603 07-13 17:54
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +441,202 $4,800 1¢ $3.1K -$1,712 07-13 02:13
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -228,528 -$2,197 1¢ $-3085 -$888 10-04 03:35
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -322,544 -$3,912 1¢ $-2903 +$1,009 10-24 07:22
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,052,731 $6,712 0¢ $2.6K -$4,080 07-13 22:49
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,467,163 $7,508 0¢ $2.2K -$5,307 07-29 19:13
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +2,040 $280 99¢ $2.0K +$1,748 07-04 17:00
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,024,386 $5,689 0¢ $1.5K -$4,153 07-13 19:51
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +442,816 $2,923 0¢ $1.3K -$1,594 07-13 22:22
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +429,266 $3,005 0¢ $1.3K -$1,717 07-13 05:31
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -158,988 -$1,807 1¢ $-1192 +$615 10-27 03:16
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +453,402 $2,392 0¢ $680 -$1,712 07-13 18:01
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +440,367 $2,083 0¢ $661 -$1,422 07-13 05:44
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +394,979 $3,752 0¢ $592 -$3,160 07-13 10:40
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +379,418 $2,091 0¢ $569 -$1,522 07-13 22:36
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +227,500 $1,521 0¢ $569 -$952 07-13 21:00
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -28,388 -$630 1¢ $-383 +$247 06-08 09:51
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +5,000 $350 8¢ $375 +$25 09-13 17:55
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +19,445 -$64 1¢ $107 +$171 07-21 03:16
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -772 -$193 6¢ $-46 +$147 06-13 02:38
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,480 -$1,008 0¢ $-7 +$1,001 10-27 05:27
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +303 -$167 2¢ $6 +$174 08-03 06:17
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes +3,459 $76 0¢ $5 -$71 05-25 06:33