Realized P&L
-$3.06K
Unrealized P&L
-$519
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved
1,236
Trades
15,555
lifetime
Volume
$499.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$121.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-22 01:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Politics
73% 53% -$16,139
Other
17% 52% +$14,042
Sports
10% 53% -$1,183
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$250
Crypto
0% 67% +$35
Tech
0% 0% -$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +10,024 $9,791 96¢ $9.7K -$123 10-18 21:48
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +10,101 $9,342 94¢ $9.5K +$168 10-16 19:30
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +10,044 $8,211 83¢ $8.4K +$161 08-20 21:03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +10,178 $7,952 82¢ $8.3K +$388 09-04 19:33
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,860 $7,655 96¢ $7.6K -$78 10-15 20:52
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +7,604 $7,536 98¢ $7.5K -$46 10-20 08:09
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7,391 $7,183 98¢ $7.2K +$27 06-16 08:18
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,059 $6,699 95¢ $6.7K +$11 08-24 15:02
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6,758 $6,677 99¢ $6.7K -$17 10-21 13:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,701 $6,647 84¢ $6.5K -$175 08-20 09:39
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +6,549 $3,968 61¢ $4.0K +$46 08-20 02:06
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +3,800 $3,772 100¢ $3.8K +$9 09-27 05:18
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,434 $3,665 82¢ $3.6K -$40 06-07 16:04
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +4,288 $3,077 79¢ $3.4K +$297 06-21 18:21
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,143 $3,037 65¢ $3.3K +$306 10-20 02:56
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +3,200 $3,191 100¢ $3.2K +$4 10-01 23:18
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,228 $3,175 98¢ $3.2K -$11 08-31 17:10
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,600 $2,589 99¢ $2.6K -$7 10-19 22:12
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +2,439 $2,279 96¢ $2.4K +$73 10-19 08:58
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,924 $1,879 97¢ $1.9K -$4 07-10 07:36
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,684 $1,588 39¢ $1.8K +$225 06-07 18:51
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,595 $1,584 100¢ $1.6K +$7 09-15 02:33
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +10,062 $1,699 16¢ $1.6K -$140 10-18 22:15
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,170 $1,653 34¢ $1.4K -$215 09-11 16:17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +9,476 $600 13¢ $1.2K +$628 08-17 18:35
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,884 $991 18¢ $1.1K +$82 06-20 23:59
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10,027 $1,577 11¢ $1.1K -$504 06-27 16:41
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10,463 $1,540 10¢ $1.0K -$530 08-17 22:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +24,832 $2,028 4¢ $968 -$1,060 08-24 08:45
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +900 $860 95¢ $855 -$4 06-06 03:37