Realized P&L
-$3.79K
Unrealized P&L
+$847
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
1,280
Trades
15,640
lifetime
Volume
$508.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$122.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 03:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Politics
71% 53% -$16,139
Other
19% 52% +$13,352
Sports
10% 53% -$1,217
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$250
Crypto
0% 67% +$35
Tech
0% 0% -$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +10,101 $9,342 94¢ $9.5K +$168 10-16 19:30
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +10,044 $8,211 89¢ $9.0K +$774 08-20 21:03
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +10,024 $9,791 87¢ $8.7K -$1,100 10-18 21:48
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +10,178 $7,952 81¢ $8.2K +$271 09-04 19:33
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +7,604 $7,536 99¢ $7.5K +$11 10-20 08:09
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,860 $7,655 96¢ $7.5K -$113 10-15 20:52
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7,391 $7,183 94¢ $7.0K -$206 06-16 08:18
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,059 $6,699 95¢ $6.7K +$39 08-24 15:02
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6,758 $6,677 99¢ $6.7K -$17 10-21 13:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,701 $6,647 83¢ $6.4K -$229 08-20 09:39
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +6,549 $3,968 66¢ $4.3K +$338 08-20 02:06
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +4,288 $3,077 94¢ $4.0K +$958 06-21 18:21
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +3,800 $3,772 98¢ $3.7K -$65 09-27 05:18
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,434 $3,665 82¢ $3.7K -$14 06-07 16:04
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,143 $3,037 68¢ $3.5K +$435 10-20 02:56
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +3,200 $3,191 99¢ $3.2K -$18 10-01 23:18
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,228 $3,175 97¢ $3.1K -$30 08-31 17:10
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -2,685 -$2,684 100¢ $-2675 +$10 10-13 16:22
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,600 $2,589 100¢ $2.6K $0 10-19 22:12
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +2,439 $2,279 98¢ $2.4K +$102 10-19 08:58
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,924 $1,879 98¢ $1.9K -$2 07-10 07:36
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,684 $1,588 34¢ $1.6K +$17 06-07 18:51
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,595 $1,584 100¢ $1.6K +$9 09-15 02:33
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,170 $1,653 32¢ $1.4K -$298 09-11 16:17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +9,476 $600 12¢ $1.1K +$542 08-17 18:35
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,884 $991 18¢ $1.0K +$47 06-20 23:59
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +8,248 $385 12¢ $1.0K +$626 10-09 10:29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10,463 $1,540 10¢ $999 -$541 08-17 22:48
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +900 $860 95¢ $853 -$7 06-06 03:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10,027 $1,577 7¢ $717 -$860 06-27 16:41