Realized P&L (30d)
-$1.09K
Unrealized P&L
+$911
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved (30d)
353
Trades (30d)
791
15,555 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$45.1K
$499.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$122.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-22 01:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Politics
73% 53% -$16,139
Other
17% 52% +$14,042
Sports
10% 53% -$1,183
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$250
Crypto
0% 67% +$35
Tech
0% 0% -$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +10,101 $9,342 95¢ $9.6K +$269 10-16 19:30
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +10,024 $9,791 89¢ $8.9K -$915 10-18 21:48
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +10,044 $8,211 86¢ $8.6K +$422 08-20 21:03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +10,178 $7,952 81¢ $8.2K +$282 09-04 19:33
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,860 $7,655 97¢ $7.6K -$66 10-15 20:52
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +7,604 $7,536 98¢ $7.5K -$53 10-20 08:09
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7,391 $7,183 95¢ $7.0K -$158 06-16 08:18
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,059 $6,699 94¢ $6.7K -$31 08-24 15:02
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6,758 $6,677 99¢ $6.7K -$10 10-21 13:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,701 $6,647 85¢ $6.5K -$102 08-20 09:39
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +6,549 $3,968 69¢ $4.5K +$528 08-20 02:06
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +4,288 $3,077 92¢ $3.9K +$848 06-21 18:21
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +3,800 $3,772 99¢ $3.7K -$23 09-27 05:18
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,434 $3,665 83¢ $3.7K +$29 06-07 16:04
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,143 $3,037 67¢ $3.4K +$409 10-20 02:56
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +3,200 $3,191 100¢ $3.2K -$2 10-01 23:18
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,228 $3,175 98¢ $3.2K +$2 08-31 17:10
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -2,685 -$2,684 100¢ $-2681 +$3 10-13 16:22
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,600 $2,589 99¢ $2.6K -$4 10-19 22:12
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +2,439 $2,279 98¢ $2.4K +$100 10-19 08:58
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,924 $1,879 98¢ $1.9K -$2 07-10 07:36
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,595 $1,584 100¢ $1.6K +$9 09-15 02:33
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,684 $1,588 31¢ $1.5K -$119 06-07 18:51
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,170 $1,653 32¢ $1.4K -$298 09-11 16:17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +9,476 $600 12¢ $1.2K +$580 08-17 18:35
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +8,248 $385 12¢ $1.0K +$630 10-09 10:29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,884 $991 17¢ $983 -$9 06-20 23:59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10,463 $1,540 9¢ $905 -$635 08-17 22:48
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +900 $860 95¢ $857 -$3 06-06 03:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10,027 $1,577 8¢ $807 -$770 06-27 16:41