Realized P&L (90d)
-$2.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$261
Hit rate
55.4%
Resolved (90d)
889
Trades (90d)
2,759
15,548 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$119.0K
$498.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$123.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-22 01:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Politics
73% 53% -$16,139
Other
17% 52% +$14,042
Sports
10% 53% -$1,183
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$250
Crypto
0% 67% +$35
Tech
0% 0% -$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +10,024 $9,791 96¢ $9.6K -$183 10-18 21:48
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +10,101 $9,342 95¢ $9.6K +$209 10-16 19:30
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +10,044 $8,211 84¢ $8.5K +$251 08-20 21:03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +10,178 $7,952 81¢ $8.3K +$322 09-04 19:33
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,860 $7,655 96¢ $7.6K -$74 10-15 20:52
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +7,604 $7,536 98¢ $7.5K -$61 10-20 08:09
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7,391 $7,183 98¢ $7.2K +$49 06-16 08:18
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,059 $6,699 95¢ $6.7K -$3 08-24 15:02
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6,758 $6,677 99¢ $6.7K -$13 10-21 13:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,701 $6,647 84¢ $6.5K -$171 08-20 09:39
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +6,549 $3,968 64¢ $4.2K +$246 08-20 02:06
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +3,800 $3,772 99¢ $3.8K -$10 09-27 05:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +4,288 $3,077 85¢ $3.6K +$565 06-21 18:21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,434 $3,665 82¢ $3.6K -$49 06-07 16:04
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,143 $3,037 66¢ $3.4K +$383 10-20 02:56
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +3,200 $3,191 100¢ $3.2K +$4 10-01 23:18
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,228 $3,175 98¢ $3.2K -$14 08-31 17:10
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -2,685 -$2,684 100¢ $-2680 +$4 10-13 16:22
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,600 $2,589 99¢ $2.6K -$3 10-19 22:12
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +2,439 $2,279 97¢ $2.4K +$81 10-19 08:58
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,924 $1,879 97¢ $1.9K -$7 07-10 07:36
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,684 $1,588 36¢ $1.7K +$82 06-07 18:51
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,595 $1,584 100¢ $1.6K +$7 09-15 02:33
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,170 $1,653 31¢ $1.3K -$361 09-11 16:17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10,027 $1,577 12¢ $1.2K -$353 06-27 16:41
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +9,476 $600 12¢ $1.2K +$556 08-17 18:35
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,884 $991 18¢ $1.1K +$94 06-20 23:59
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +10,062 $1,699 11¢ $1.1K -$643 10-18 22:15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10,463 $1,540 9¢ $895 -$645 08-17 22:48
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +900 $860 95¢ $855 -$5 06-06 03:37