Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62c8…2458e9
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$34
Unrealized P&L
+$399
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved
7
Trades
7,271
lifetime
Volume
$549.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$22.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-10 00:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
85% 50% $-91
Other
15% 100% +$57
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 446 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +2,384 $2,247 94¢ $2.3K +$6 06-10 03:43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1,616 $1,572 97¢ $1.6K $-6 06-06 01:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,220 $1,493 70¢ $1.5K +$50 06-10 00:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No +1,521 $1,485 99¢ $1.5K +$15 06-10 02:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +1,600 $1,241 88¢ $1.4K +$159 06-09 07:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +1,795 $1,190 74¢ $1.3K +$130 06-10 03:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +1,240 $1,192 98¢ $1.2K +$29 06-08 16:31
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +1,200 $856 78¢ $942 +$86 06-09 21:28
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +897 $863 97¢ $868 +$5 06-09 23:36
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +863 $852 99¢ $855 +$4 06-10 02:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +820 $750 94¢ $767 +$17 06-09 21:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No +775 $762 99¢ $765 +$3 06-09 17:50
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +800 $743 92¢ $737 $-6 06-10 03:27
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +746 $713 96¢ $719 +$7 06-09 17:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No +695 $657 94¢ $657 $-0 06-10 02:06
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? No +640 $633 99¢ $636 +$3 06-10 02:10
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +758 $596 80¢ $610 +$14 06-03 19:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No +600 $593 99¢ $595 +$2 06-10 01:26
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +552 $537 98¢ $540 +$3 06-10 03:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,340 $672 38¢ $516 $-156 06-09 17:19
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +518 $510 99¢ $512 +$2 06-10 03:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +520 $484 96¢ $500 +$16 06-05 12:01
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +460 $342 76¢ $347 +$5 06-09 12:31
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +320 $311 98¢ $314 +$4 06-04 07:07
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +219 $217 99¢ $217 +$0 06-10 01:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +220 $191 88¢ $192 +$2 06-04 16:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $182 92¢ $183 +$1 06-08 07:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +140 $130 94¢ $132 +$3 06-09 16:40
New pandemic in 2026? No +148 $130 88¢ $131 +$1 06-10 02:58
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +131 $117 90¢ $118 +$1 06-10 02:29