Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62c8…2458e9
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$34
Unrealized P&L
+$3.07K
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved
7
Trades
10,886
lifetime
Volume
$596.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$18.6K
20 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 07-20 15:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
82% 50% $-91
Other
17% 100% +$57
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 446 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +6,380 $3,806 99¢ $6.3K +$2,494 06-29 01:56
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +2,882 $2,716 96¢ $2.8K +$40 06-12 14:38
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2,040 $1,899 95¢ $1.9K +$39 07-03 08:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,900 $1,688 92¢ $1.7K +$50 07-03 11:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +1,707 $1,624 98¢ $1.7K +$43 06-19 03:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2,104 $1,329 78¢ $1.7K +$323 07-03 11:42
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +778 $613 88¢ $681 +$68 06-11 16:27
New pandemic in 2026? No +524 $468 94¢ $490 +$22 06-30 16:44
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +462 $416 90¢ $418 +$3 07-03 11:10
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +334 $316 95¢ $316 $-0 07-03 10:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +260 $225 90¢ $233 +$8 06-11 13:07
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No +125 $121 98¢ $122 +$1 06-21 00:17
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +80 $74 90¢ $72 $-2 07-11 01:33
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +53 $49 94¢ $50 +$1 07-12 17:35
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +121 $75 42¢ $50 $-25 06-03 21:15
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +50 $42 88¢ $44 +$2 07-14 16:00
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +35 $31 96¢ $33 +$2 06-24 03:55
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$1 06-15 20:41
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 95¢ $11 +$0 07-14 12:58
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 +$0 06-05 15:49