Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62c8…2458e9
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5.77K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.94K
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
314
Trades
20,275
lifetime
Volume
$757.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$74.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 10-30 01:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 102 days
Categories
Politics
79% 74% -$19,811
Other
20% 83% +$13,904
Sports
1% 83% +$432
Tech
0% 90% -$301
Crypto
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 465 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +10,533 $9,691 94¢ $9.8K +$158 10-23 09:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +13,720 $9,514 57¢ $7.9K -$1,625 10-22 14:35
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7,709 $6,694 94¢ $7.3K +$591 10-22 11:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,932 $5,000 82¢ $4.9K -$106 09-14 00:38
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +3,597 $3,383 98¢ $3.5K +$132 06-12 14:38
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +3,460 $3,274 97¢ $3.4K +$91 10-26 11:41
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,070 $1,997 68¢ $2.8K +$765 08-09 13:31
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,635 $2,515 96¢ $2.5K +$18 10-29 09:57
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2,378 $1,843 94¢ $2.2K +$405 06-11 16:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2,395 $1,501 94¢ $2.2K +$745 07-03 11:42
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +2,148 $2,000 99¢ $2.1K +$117 09-18 12:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,080 $1,855 98¢ $2.0K +$187 10-30 02:02
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +1,973 $665 100¢ $2.0K +$1,307 09-14 18:41
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +2,145 $1,865 86¢ $1.9K -$9 10-22 15:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,883 $1,806 96¢ $1.8K +$6 10-21 11:15
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,780 $1,718 97¢ $1.7K +$16 10-30 00:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,640 $1,402 94¢ $1.5K +$132 10-29 17:46
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +1,726 $1,324 88¢ $1.5K +$203 10-21 20:00
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1,380 $1,358 99¢ $1.4K +$11 10-30 00:28
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,102 $1,002 60¢ $1.3K +$266 10-21 16:22
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,201 $1,165 98¢ $1.2K +$7 10-30 00:28
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,303 $1,133 86¢ $1.1K -$6 10-26 08:15
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +1,126 $1,056 99¢ $1.1K +$63 07-03 10:07
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,182 $1,000 94¢ $1.1K +$105 09-14 19:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,295 $1,000 84¢ $1.1K +$94 09-06 13:47
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,140 $1,056 95¢ $1.1K +$32 10-23 05:25
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,446 $952 69¢ $992 +$40 10-28 21:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,014 $793 90¢ $908 +$114 10-26 03:58
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +940 $863 94¢ $879 +$15 10-26 11:49
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +839 $736 95¢ $797 +$60 10-26 14:49