Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62c8…2458e9
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5.77K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.91K
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
314
Trades
20,458
lifetime
Volume
$760.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$75.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 10-31 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 102 days
Categories
Politics
79% 74% -$19,811
Other
20% 83% +$13,904
Sports
1% 83% +$432
Tech
0% 90% -$301
Crypto
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 465 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +10,533 $9,691 94¢ $10.0K +$263 10-23 09:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +13,720 $9,514 57¢ $7.8K -$1,694 10-22 14:35
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7,709 $6,694 94¢ $7.2K +$553 10-22 11:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,932 $5,000 82¢ $4.9K -$106 09-14 00:38
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +3,597 $3,383 98¢ $3.5K +$143 06-12 14:38
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +3,460 $3,274 97¢ $3.4K +$86 10-26 11:41
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,070 $1,997 67¢ $2.7K +$718 08-09 13:31
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,735 $2,611 96¢ $2.6K +$19 10-31 01:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2,395 $1,501 94¢ $2.3K +$757 07-03 11:42
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2,378 $1,843 94¢ $2.2K +$405 06-11 16:27
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +2,148 $2,000 99¢ $2.1K +$133 09-18 12:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,100 $1,874 98¢ $2.1K +$186 10-30 08:03
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +1,973 $665 100¢ $2.0K +$1,307 09-14 18:41
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,940 $1,886 98¢ $1.9K +$18 10-31 01:18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +2,145 $1,865 86¢ $1.8K -$30 10-22 15:51
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,860 $1,796 98¢ $1.8K +$26 10-30 22:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,883 $1,806 97¢ $1.8K +$12 10-21 11:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,640 $1,402 94¢ $1.5K +$148 10-29 17:46
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1,520 $1,497 99¢ $1.5K +$15 10-31 00:55
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +1,726 $1,324 86¢ $1.5K +$169 10-21 20:00
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,102 $1,002 59¢ $1.2K +$230 10-21 16:22
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,363 $1,184 84¢ $1.2K -$33 10-30 23:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,182 $1,000 97¢ $1.1K +$147 09-14 19:19
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +1,126 $1,056 99¢ $1.1K +$62 07-03 10:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,295 $1,000 86¢ $1.1K +$107 09-06 13:47
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,140 $1,056 96¢ $1.1K +$42 10-23 05:25
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,446 $952 68¢ $988 +$36 10-28 21:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,014 $793 96¢ $979 +$185 10-26 03:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,230 $954 42¢ $948 -$6 10-31 01:08
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +940 $863 94¢ $879 +$15 10-26 11:49