Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62c8…2458e9
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$34
Unrealized P&L
+$2.35K
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved
7
Trades
10,592
lifetime
Volume
$590.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$44.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-30 12:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
83% 50% $-91
Other
17% 100% +$57
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 446 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +4,299 $4,115 100¢ $4.3K +$177 06-21 09:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +6,380 $3,806 66¢ $4.2K +$373 06-29 01:56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +4,045 $3,895 100¢ $4.0K +$146 06-28 01:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No +3,711 $3,637 100¢ $3.7K +$70 06-26 22:24
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +2,882 $2,716 96¢ $2.8K +$37 06-12 14:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +2,432 $2,047 100¢ $2.4K +$380 06-21 23:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +1,935 $1,293 100¢ $1.9K +$640 06-11 16:27
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,980 $1,843 94¢ $1.9K +$11 06-29 18:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No +1,823 $1,783 100¢ $1.8K +$38 06-15 06:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1,776 $1,723 100¢ $1.8K +$51 06-11 14:56
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +1,713 $1,696 100¢ $1.7K +$15 06-19 04:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +1,707 $1,624 96¢ $1.6K +$19 06-19 03:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,986 $1,245 70¢ $1.4K +$154 06-30 15:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,600 $1,424 86¢ $1.4K $-48 06-30 07:27
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +1,351 $1,325 100¢ $1.4K +$25 06-30 15:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +1,341 $1,285 100¢ $1.3K +$55 06-16 12:42
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +1,251 $1,210 100¢ $1.2K +$38 06-30 04:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +1,240 $1,192 100¢ $1.2K +$47 06-08 16:31
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +967 $930 100¢ $964 +$35 06-11 14:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No +881 $873 100¢ $880 +$7 06-17 05:35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +778 $613 84¢ $650 +$37 06-11 16:27
New pandemic in 2026? No +524 $468 90¢ $474 +$6 06-30 16:44
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +442 $397 92¢ $405 +$7 06-30 16:45
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +320 $311 100¢ $319 +$9 06-04 07:07
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +301 $285 95¢ $287 +$2 06-30 12:34
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +239 $236 100¢ $238 +$2 06-22 22:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +260 $225 90¢ $235 +$10 06-11 13:07
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No +125 $121 98¢ $123 +$1 06-21 00:17
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? No +102 $101 100¢ $101 +$0 06-27 16:39
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No +71 $69 99¢ $70 +$1 06-12 22:04