Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62c8…2458e9
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
-$79
Unrealized P&L
+$314
Hit rate
87.4%
Resolved (24h)
4
Trades (24h)
152
7,349 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.13K
$549.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$75
Open exposure
$22.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-10 16:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
85% 50% $-91
Other
15% 100% +$57
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 446 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +2,384 $2,247 94¢ $2.3K +$6 06-10 03:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,240 $1,507 74¢ $1.7K +$162 06-10 04:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1,616 $1,572 97¢ $1.6K $-8 06-06 01:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No +1,541 $1,505 98¢ $1.5K +$4 06-10 07:26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +1,600 $1,241 82¢ $1.3K +$79 06-09 07:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +1,815 $1,204 72¢ $1.3K +$93 06-10 06:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +1,240 $1,192 97¢ $1.2K +$16 06-08 16:31
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +1,200 $856 79¢ $948 +$92 06-09 21:28
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +917 $882 96¢ $885 +$3 06-10 11:44
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +883 $871 99¢ $875 +$4 06-10 13:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No +795 $781 98¢ $783 +$2 06-10 10:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +820 $750 94¢ $775 +$26 06-09 21:35
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +820 $761 92¢ $757 $-4 06-10 06:02
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +766 $732 95¢ $730 $-2 06-10 21:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No +735 $695 96¢ $702 +$7 06-10 06:33
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? No +660 $653 99¢ $655 +$2 06-10 20:37
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +758 $596 84¢ $633 +$37 06-03 19:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No +620 $613 99¢ $615 +$2 06-10 06:47
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +552 $538 97¢ $534 $-3 06-10 23:56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +519 $510 98¢ $509 $-1 06-10 06:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +520 $484 95¢ $492 +$8 06-05 12:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,340 $672 34¢ $449 $-223 06-09 17:19
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +480 $357 76¢ $362 +$5 06-10 07:34
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +320 $311 98¢ $314 +$4 06-04 07:07
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +219 $217 99¢ $217 +$0 06-10 01:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +220 $191 86¢ $188 $-3 06-04 16:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $182 92¢ $183 +$1 06-08 07:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +160 $149 94¢ $151 +$3 06-10 10:13
New pandemic in 2026? No +151 $133 90¢ $136 +$4 06-10 04:50
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +150 $133 88¢ $133 $-0 06-10 11:44