Bold-Guerrilla 0x27214f…8ecf8a
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
45.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
5,148
lifetime
Volume
$27.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$197
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 07-01 18:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
71% 67% +$1
Crypto
14% — —
Other
13% 0% $-0
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +82 $30 28¢ $23 $-8 06-29 16:30
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -22 $-19 94¢ $-21 $-2 06-05 14:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -22 $-19 94¢ $-20 $-2 06-05 08:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +39 $19 44¢ $17 $-2 07-01 20:06
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +16 $14 100¢ $16 +$2 06-20 17:51
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes +12 $15 66¢ $8 $-6 07-01 12:26
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -6 $-5 96¢ $-6 $-0 06-05 10:07
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-29 14:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +81 $9 6¢ $5 $-4 07-01 14:10
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +55 $9 10¢ $5 $-4 07-01 17:50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -5 $-5 95¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 14:33
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +6 $5 75¢ $5 $-0 06-30 00:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5 $-10 86¢ $-5 +$5 06-17 05:44
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? Yes +11 $6 42¢ $4 $-1 07-01 12:26
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +44 $8 10¢ $4 $-3 07-01 07:20
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 95¢ $-4 $-0 06-05 14:23
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +46 $6 10¢ $4 $-2 07-01 14:15
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +17 $5 24¢ $4 $-1 07-01 17:54
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -4 $-4 100¢ $-4 $-0 06-01 21:21
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -4 $-4 98¢ $-4 $-0 06-05 14:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +14 $5 24¢ $3 $-1 07-01 06:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -13 $-4 25¢ $-3 +$1 06-21 11:46
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +13 $3 22¢ $3 $-0 07-01 17:54
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +6 $4 42¢ $3 $-1 07-01 06:08
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +6 $3 45¢ $3 $-0 07-01 06:08
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -3 $-2 96¢ $-2 $-0 06-29 12:21
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -3 $-2 93¢ $-2 $-0 06-08 11:41
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $3 8¢ $2 $-1 07-01 06:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -3 $1 70¢ $-2 $-3 06-17 18:09
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 $-0 06-05 14:33