Bold-Guerrilla 0x27214f…8ecf8a
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$45
Hit rate
45.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
6,993
lifetime
Volume
$36.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$211
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 07-21 22:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
58% 67% +$1
Other
27% 0% $-0
Crypto
11% — —
Sports
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 476 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +116 $90 70¢ $82 $-8 07-20 13:18
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -22 $-19 95¢ $-21 $-2 06-05 14:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -22 $-19 94¢ $-20 $-2 06-05 08:01
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +16 $14 100¢ $16 +$2 06-20 17:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -14 $-9 68¢ $-9 $-0 07-15 18:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -17 $-3 36¢ $-6 $-3 07-20 13:35
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -6 $-5 97¢ $-6 $-0 06-05 10:07
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 14:33
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 97¢ $-4 $-1 06-05 14:23
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -4 $-4 98¢ $-4 $-0 06-05 14:33
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -12 $14 30¢ $-3 $-18 07-20 07:15
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +43 $4 8¢ $3 $-1 07-02 14:13
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +13 $2 22¢ $3 +$1 07-06 22:08
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes +3 $3 100¢ $3 $-0 07-15 22:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -3 $1 78¢ $-3 $-3 06-17 18:09
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -3 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-08 11:41
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -2 $-2 98¢ $-2 $-0 06-05 14:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -13 $-4 18¢ $-2 +$2 06-21 11:46
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? Yes +4 $2 42¢ $2 $-1 07-11 18:55
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -19 $3 8¢ $-2 $-4 07-13 21:26
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +8 $4 18¢ $1 $-2 07-11 18:53
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2 $2 78¢ $1 $-0 07-15 22:56
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +6 $2 22¢ $1 $-0 07-11 18:53
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 +$0 07-15 22:56
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 14:24
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 08:13
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 07-21 21:29
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 08:02
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 14:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +4 $3 22¢ $1 $-2 07-11 18:53