Bold-Guerrilla 0x27214f…8ecf8a
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
93.5%
Resolved
6
Trades
172
lifetime
Volume
$497
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$149
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 12:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
74% 80% +$9
Other
26% 100% +$0
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -50 $-40 81¢ $-41 $-1 05-07 09:27
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -135 $-27 19¢ $-25 +$1 05-07 09:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +30 $23 72¢ $22 $-1 05-14 12:55
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +23 $8 44¢ $10 +$2 05-09 19:37
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +10 $10 93¢ $10 +$0 05-13 04:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -7 $-6 96¢ $-7 $-0 05-14 02:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 $-0 05-13 04:34
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-1 56¢ $-4 $-3 05-08 05:19
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? Yes +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 05-13 22:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +21 $8 12¢ $3 $-5 05-10 20:31
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 92¢ $2 $-0 05-09 19:33
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $-0 05-14 11:20
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -2 $-2 92¢ $-2 $-0 05-13 04:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 28¢ $-2 $-0 05-10 20:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -6 $-1 27¢ $-2 $-0 05-10 20:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Yes +5 $3 28¢ $1 $-2 05-08 19:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 05-14 10:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $-1 46¢ $-1 $-0 05-13 23:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 05-14 11:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Yes -2 $-1 74¢ $-1 $-0 05-13 02:53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6 $1 17¢ $1 $-0 05-14 01:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? No +2 $1 44¢ $1 $-0 05-10 16:30
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Yes +9 $2 8¢ $1 $-2 05-07 09:27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +2 $1 34¢ $1 $-0 05-09 23:01
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 05-09 19:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -1 $-1 8¢ $-0 +$1 05-10 04:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 $-0 05-13 03:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes -7 $-1 1¢ $-0 +$1 05-07 22:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No -0 $-0 98¢ $-0 +$0 05-12 15:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes +7 $2 0¢ $0 $-2 05-08 19:48