Affectionate-Solitaire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$394

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

14,116

lifetime

Volume

$362.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

82% 77% +$400

Other

12% 0% $-6

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 351 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	225	$16.4K	14,789	15,964	-1,174	open	—	06-17 15:37
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	94	$15.3K	7,927	7,927	+0	open	—	02-13 04:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	233	$14.2K	10,963	8,928	+2,035	open	—	08-07 03:43
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	83	$8.4K	18,804	17,748	+1,056	open	—	03-03 17:27
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	205	$7.6K	7,744	7,817	-72	open	—	04-08 01:27
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	103	$7.1K	4,872	4,894	-23	open	—	02-28 00:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	73	$6.6K	3,388	3,458	-71	open	—	04-16 19:57
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	131	$6.2K	6,389	6,357	+32	open	—	02-28 04:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	172	$5.7K	3,940	5,004	-1,064	open	—	06-16 03:25
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	74	$5.2K	4,551	4,304	+248	open	—	07-20 21:28
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	258	$5.2K	5,398	5,398	+0	open	—	03-31 01:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	127	$5.0K	5,438	4,330	+1,107	open	—	04-08 00:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	315	$4.8K	7,999	8,308	-309	open	—	05-31 01:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	70	$4.7K	23,274	7,606	+15,667	Yes	+$235	05-09 18:43
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	15	$4.7K	2,427	2,427	+0	open	—	02-10 00:05
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	238	$4.7K	5,306	5,161	+145	open	—	08-10 21:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	305	$4.5K	5,276	5,651	-375	open	—	04-07 23:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	228	$4.5K	5,159	6,401	-1,242	open	—	03-12 20:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	119	$4.3K	5,132	4,551	+581	open	—	04-08 00:41
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	49	$3.9K	2,809	1,782	+1,027	open	—	04-21 00:02
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	50	$3.4K	1,820	1,820	-0	open	—	02-22 18:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	128	$3.3K	3,245	3,241	+4	open	—	04-22 09:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	72	$3.3K	8,309	2,265	+6,044	open	—	06-04 00:04
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	109	$3.3K	2,164	2,274	-110	open	—	02-07 03:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	147	$3.2K	4,587	4,267	+320	open	—	03-31 02:09
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	89	$3.1K	2,500	1,793	+707	open	—	03-24 13:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	88	$3.1K	4,920	4,920	+0	open	—	06-23 09:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	110	$2.9K	2,837	3,084	-247	open	—	04-25 00:31
will the us invade iran by march 31	81	$2.8K	1,795	1,795	+0	open	—	03-31 13:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	102	$2.7K	5,551	3,946	+1,605	open	—	04-25 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 21:22:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x871911…
08-10 20:48:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x8f1426…
08-10 20:39:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	66	17¢	$11	0x1b613b…
08-10 20:34:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xce1828…
08-10 19:35:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xdf0e58…
08-10 19:02:42	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x741e83…
08-10 18:55:42	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	88	9¢	$8	0x9fa45c…
08-10 18:52:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0xc43aa4…
08-10 18:37:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x1fafce…
08-10 18:26:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	329	16¢	$53	0x25c113…
08-10 18:26:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	127	16¢	$20	0x4fced4…
08-10 18:11:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe5c094…
08-10 17:59:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc6e4cd…
08-10 17:59:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xebc9e9…
08-10 17:34:22	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xb5336f…
08-10 17:27:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x1f586c…
08-10 17:14:01	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x58034c…
08-10 16:51:21	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x6842dd…
08-10 16:04:46	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x32dafd…
08-10 16:04:45	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x7565db…
08-10 16:04:45	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x4ed63a…
08-10 16:04:45	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x4b2aab…
08-10 16:04:43	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xeeb073…
08-10 16:04:42	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd750cf…
08-10 16:04:42	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa67d0b…
08-10 16:04:42	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x62650c…
08-10 16:04:42	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x17c06c…
08-10 16:04:40	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xd25c4a…
08-10 16:04:21	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x46a422…
08-10 16:02:42	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	BUY	26	44¢	$11	0xc06879…
08-10 16:02:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x6d7046…
08-10 16:01:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	145	4¢	$5	0xb99bb6…
08-10 15:41:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	380	4¢	$15	0x53ec51…
08-10 15:34:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x960476…
08-10 15:17:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xacd0e6…
08-10 14:23:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	58	5¢	$3	0x0edf3d…
08-10 14:12:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x0d82e4…
08-10 13:46:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x87a7d7…
08-10 12:50:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x5f251c…
08-10 11:39:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x79d87f…
08-10 11:39:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xd2fe25…
08-10 11:33:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x7f5010…
08-10 11:22:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x4faba5…
08-10 11:18:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xfb9567…
08-10 11:02:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x202e30…
08-10 10:24:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0xaeda8a…
08-10 10:23:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x11e3b0…
08-10 10:11:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xc33b0e…
08-10 08:50:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x23fafa…
08-10 08:29:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x6c4db8…
08-10 08:26:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xe5c9c3…
08-10 08:21:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x90b8d0…
08-10 08:21:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x73f562…
08-10 07:31:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$6	0xe1ee67…
08-10 07:05:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xdc64cd…
08-10 06:41:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xe02629…
08-10 06:37:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x6b09a2…
08-10 06:36:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	47	5¢	$2	0xcc228f…
08-10 06:36:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x2b15a7…
08-10 05:49:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	188	13¢	$24	0xf5fa6f…
08-10 05:47:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xfeafae…
08-10 02:10:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x6ad1c7…
08-10 02:03:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	155	4¢	$7	0xfc3ef2…
08-10 02:03:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	155	4¢	$7	0x1fc625…
08-10 01:53:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa4cdf2…
08-10 01:24:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	278	6¢	$17	0x46cda5…
08-10 01:13:58	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x797cfe…
08-10 01:13:57	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xa94fce…
08-10 01:13:57	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x23f50f…
08-10 01:13:57	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x15d0cc…
08-10 01:13:55	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x7b20c7…
08-10 01:13:55	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x1b9cc1…
08-10 01:13:55	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x040064…
08-10 01:13:54	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xe238ff…
08-10 01:13:54	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x36e1d3…
08-10 01:13:52	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xcfeee2…
08-10 01:13:52	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x31d8ad…
08-10 01:13:51	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x1d4795…
08-10 01:13:51	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x1a8c6e…
08-10 01:13:49	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xdff6ba…
08-10 01:13:49	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xc95065…
08-10 01:13:49	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x354a8c…
08-10 01:13:48	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xd17773…
08-10 01:13:48	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x4b4167…
08-10 01:13:48	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x0783da…
08-10 01:13:46	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$0	0xda842c…
08-10 01:13:12	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xc5fe62…
08-10 01:13:12	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x110395…
08-10 01:13:10	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xccee5f…
08-10 01:13:10	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xc02898…
08-10 01:13:09	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xc58346…
08-10 01:13:09	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x814d1a…
08-10 01:13:09	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x20c329…
08-10 01:13:07	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xf30e96…
08-10 01:13:07	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x64e5ea…
08-10 01:13:06	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$0	0xc5627c…
08-10 01:12:27	btc updown 5m 1786324200	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x94829a…
08-10 00:06:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	51	15¢	$8	0xa0c476…
08-10 00:06:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x0c389c…
08-09 23:54:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x787bff…