Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
24
lifetime
Volume
$264
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$119
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 05:00
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
87%
Other
13%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +43 $33 94¢ $41 +$7 05-05 23:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? No -33 $-32 95¢ $-32 $-0 05-06 05:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -105 $-20 16¢ $-17 +$3 05-05 22:55
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -19 $-18 92¢ $-17 +$0 05-05 22:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -25 $-11 42¢ $-11 +$1 05-06 00:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes -25 $-6 $-2 +$4 05-05 14:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -1 $-0 38¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 23:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes -2 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-06 01:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -1 $-0 16¢ $-0 +$0 05-06 03:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 58¢ $-0 $-0 05-05 22:40