Affectionate-Solitaire 0xca972c…c75409
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$394
Unrealized P&L
-$580
Hit rate
75.0%
Resolved
15
Trades
12,202
lifetime
Volume
$314.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$4.36K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 23:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
84% 77% +$400
Other
11% 0% $-6
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 351 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,504 $1,483 100¢ $1.5K +$19 06-29 23:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,175 $-1,025 86¢ $-1005 +$20 06-17 05:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -480 $-475 100¢ $-479 $-4 06-13 20:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +404 $290 99¢ $401 +$111 06-15 04:46
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +389 $301 97¢ $376 +$74 06-28 22:04
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +106 $96 100¢ $106 +$9 06-20 15:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +100 $95 100¢ $100 +$5 06-03 08:55
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -102 $-97 94¢ $-96 +$0 06-22 13:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +426 $58 15¢ $62 +$4 06-21 16:05
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +56 $32 100¢ $55 +$23 06-15 18:19
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +56 $51 93¢ $52 +$1 06-05 04:16
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -48 $-47 95¢ $-46 +$1 06-06 08:58
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-19 95¢ $-19 $-0 06-17 13:12
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -18 $-17 100¢ $-18 $-0 06-03 16:55
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 $-0 06-27 22:02
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -11 $-11 98¢ $-11 $-0 06-11 17:33
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +50 $10 20¢ $10 +$1 06-10 02:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +399 $141 1¢ $3 $-138 06-21 01:53
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -71 $80 3¢ $-2 $-82 06-28 22:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +252 $34 0¢ $1 $-33 06-15 16:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +729 $7 0¢ $1 $-7 06-14 20:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +250 $6 0¢ $0 $-6 06-02 21:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -118 $615 0¢ $-0 $-615 06-19 21:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 44¢ $0 +$0 06-22 00:34
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +64 $-42 0¢ $0 +$42 06-16 13:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +66 $6 0¢ $0 $-6 06-05 21:56