Affectionate-Solitaire 0xca972c…c75409
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.72K
Unrealized P&L
+$117
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved
1,033
Trades
21,848
lifetime
Volume
$472.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$5.69K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 00:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 225 days
Categories
Politics
77% 56% +$2,695
Other
17% 52% -$1,776
Crypto
3% 47% +$116
Sports
1% 61% +$738
Tech
1% 62% -$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 321 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,635 -$2,324 82¢ $-2174 +$150 10-29 17:16
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +581 $448 76¢ $445 -$3 10-29 23:59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +393 $379 98¢ $383 +$5 10-30 00:03
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +380 $351 84¢ $319 -$31 10-29 23:59
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -225 -$214 96¢ $-217 -$2 08-12 20:22
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? No +186 $184 98¢ $183 -$1 10-30 00:05
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +250 $170 72¢ $179 +$9 10-29 23:56
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +152 $147 96¢ $146 -$1 10-30 07:47
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +175 $147 82¢ $143 -$4 10-29 23:54
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +132 $122 92¢ $121 -$1 11-01 06:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +233 $124 50¢ $115 -$9 10-30 21:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +111 $108 97¢ $108 +$0 10-29 23:55
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +96 $94 96¢ $93 $0 10-30 05:22
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +108 $93 83¢ $89 -$4 11-01 06:24
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +84 $81 97¢ $81 +$0 10-30 00:03
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +80 $77 98¢ $79 +$1 10-29 23:54
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +121 $83 64¢ $77 -$6 10-30 23:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +186 $72 36¢ $68 -$4 10-29 22:44
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +68 $66 98¢ $67 +$1 10-30 03:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +103 $63 64¢ $66 +$2 10-30 06:03
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +93 $68 70¢ $64 -$4 10-31 20:57
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -65 -$63 98¢ $-64 -$1 06-06 08:58
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +623 $44 10¢ $60 +$16 10-29 23:27
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -56 -$54 100¢ $-56 -$2 08-14 10:04
Trump out as President before 2027? No +55 $53 96¢ $53 +$0 10-29 23:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +50 $48 100¢ $50 +$2 10-12 15:16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +418 $42 12¢ $49 +$7 10-28 06:55
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -50 -$46 96¢ $-48 -$3 10-29 17:18
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +47 $46 99¢ $46 +$0 08-21 07:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +46 $45 97¢ $44 $0 10-16 11:14