Realized P&L
+$394
Unrealized P&L
+$42
Hit rate
75.0%
Resolved
15
Trades
12,918
lifetime
Volume
$333.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$1.72K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 05:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
83% 77% +$400
Other
11% 0% $-6
Crypto
3%
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 351 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,651 $1,204 74¢ $1.2K +$10 07-20 14:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +426 $66 26¢ $113 +$47 07-13 18:50
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +106 $96 100¢ $106 +$9 06-20 15:09
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -102 $-97 96¢ $-97 $-1 06-22 13:06
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +56 $51 94¢ $52 +$1 06-05 04:16
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -48 $-47 97¢ $-47 +$0 06-06 08:58
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-19 97¢ $-20 $-1 06-17 13:12
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -18 $-17 100¢ $-18 $-0 06-03 16:55
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -18 $-16 88¢ $-16 $-0 07-16 01:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-12 $-0 07-02 14:39
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -11 $-11 98¢ $-11 $-0 06-11 17:33
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +50 $10 20¢ $10 +$1 06-10 02:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +528 $30 $7 $-24 07-13 04:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 36¢ $0 +$0 06-22 00:34