Realized P&L (30d)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
1
Trades (30d)
27
27 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$271
$271 lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$232
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 07:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
87%
Other
13% 100% +$3
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by May 7? No +100 $93 97¢ $97 +$4 05-05 19:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +43 $33 94¢ $41 +$8 05-05 23:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? No -33 $-32 95¢ $-32 $-0 05-06 05:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -105 $-20 18¢ $-19 +$1 05-05 22:55
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -19 $-18 92¢ $-17 +$0 05-05 22:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -25 $-11 44¢ $-11 +$0 05-06 00:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes -130 $-7 $-8 $-1 05-06 06:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No -5 $-6 86¢ $-4 +$2 05-06 04:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes -25 $-6 $-1 +$4 05-05 14:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -3 $-0 20¢ $-0 $-0 05-06 07:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -1 $-0 38¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 23:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 60¢ $-0 $-0 05-05 22:40