Realized P&L
+$411
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
54.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
996
lifetime
Volume
$111.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$26.1K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-17 15:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
31% 50% +$411
Other
31%
Crypto
24%
Tech
14%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +5,150 $4,327 86¢ $4.4K +$76 06-23 23:43
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,310 $-2,236 97¢ $-2251 $-15 06-22 07:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -2,250 $-2,113 96¢ $-2150 $-37 06-14 18:03
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,985 $-1,916 97¢ $-1933 $-18 06-21 10:56
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,000 $-1,900 96¢ $-1928 $-28 07-01 08:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,900 $-1,748 94¢ $-1795 $-47 07-01 09:51
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No -1,500 $-1,432 97¢ $-1451 $-19 07-01 08:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,350 $1,170 92¢ $1.2K +$65 06-30 07:40
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,065 $-1,023 97¢ $-1034 $-11 07-03 16:03
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -1,000 $-950 96¢ $-963 $-13 06-30 09:14
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -999 $-949 96¢ $-959 $-10 06-19 03:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $760 83¢ $830 +$70 07-06 20:47
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No -817 $-793 98¢ $-797 $-4 06-19 13:16
Trump out as President before 2027? No -700 $-658 92¢ $-648 +$10 07-14 12:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $540 64¢ $645 +$105 06-14 06:14
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +807 $542 70¢ $569 +$27 06-21 17:42
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +513 $421 92¢ $469 +$49 06-14 09:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $750 46¢ $455 $-295 06-25 11:41
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -498 $-393 82¢ $-408 $-15 07-06 00:12
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? No -277 $-268 97¢ $-269 $-1 07-02 12:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -600 $-354 34¢ $-201 +$153 06-23 08:12
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +2,449 $193 $184 $-10 07-12 18:08
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +300 $138 48¢ $144 +$6 06-17 20:46
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +134 $118 92¢ $123 +$5 06-14 14:28
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No +140 $120 86¢ $120 $-0 07-10 19:46
Discord IPO before 2027? No -150 $-86 68¢ $-102 $-16 07-10 20:21
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No -86 $-29 30¢ $-25 +$4 06-19 21:40
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No +29 $11 43¢ $13 +$1 07-05 14:36
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-30 22:14