Distinct-Kale 0x46a121…3e2736
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Realized P&L
+$411
Unrealized P&L
+$583
Hit rate
54.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
884
lifetime
Volume
$97.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$110
Open exposure
$27.4K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 09:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
32% 50% +$411
Other
31% — —
Crypto
21% — —
Tech
15% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +8,450 $8,059 100¢ $8.4K +$374 06-28 08:24
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +5,150 $4,327 86¢ $4.4K +$76 06-23 23:43
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,310 $-2,236 97¢ $-2241 $-5 06-22 07:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -2,250 $-2,113 94¢ $-2118 $-6 06-14 18:03
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,985 $-1,916 96¢ $-1912 +$4 06-21 10:56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,350 $1,170 86¢ $1.2K $-16 06-30 07:40
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -1,000 $-950 96¢ $-955 $-5 06-30 09:14
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -999 $-949 96¢ $-954 $-5 06-19 03:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +935 $865 100¢ $931 +$66 06-25 13:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $750 80¢ $805 +$55 06-25 11:41
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No -817 $-793 98¢ $-799 $-6 06-19 13:16
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +807 $542 72¢ $585 +$43 06-21 17:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $540 57¢ $575 +$35 06-14 06:14
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +513 $421 88¢ $449 +$28 06-14 09:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -600 $-354 63¢ $-378 $-24 06-23 08:12
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No +300 $295 99¢ $298 +$3 06-17 12:56
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +134 $118 92¢ $124 +$6 06-14 14:28
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +300 $138 38¢ $116 $-22 06-17 20:46
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +90 $87 100¢ $90 +$2 06-15 11:19
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +640 $69 10¢ $64 $-5 06-29 15:18
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 +$0 06-15 14:53
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No -86 $-29 28¢ $-24 +$6 06-19 21:40
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No +63 $21 0¢ $0 $-21 06-24 16:43