Distinct-Kale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$411

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,020

lifetime

Volume

$114.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$112

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-06 23:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

32% 50% +$411

Other

30% — —

Crypto

24% — —

Tech

14% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	8	$12.5K	10,684	2,234	+8,450	open	—	06-28 08:24
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	36	$5.8K	1,850	5,700	-3,850	open	—	06-12 17:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$4.4K	2,935	2,000	+935	open	—	06-25 13:55
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	13	$4.3K	5,150	0	+5,150	open	—	06-23 23:43
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	12	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	07-06 15:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	12	$2.6K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	06-23 08:12
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$2.2K	0	2,310	-2,310	open	—	06-22 07:47
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	3	$2.2K	2,298	70	+2,228	open	—	02-19 14:04
russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	2	$2.1K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	06-13 11:52
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	7	$2.1K	2,613	145	+2,468	open	—	06-25 00:28
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$2.1K	0	2,250	-2,250	open	—	06-14 18:03
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$1.9K	700	1,400	-700	open	—	07-14 12:05
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$1.9K	0	1,985	-1,985	open	—	06-21 10:56
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.9K	0	2,000	-2,000	open	—	07-01 08:17
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	10	$1.9K	1,900	2,506	-606	open	—	06-14 21:47
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-13 21:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$1.7K	0	1,900	-1,900	open	—	07-01 09:51
will ethereum reach 2500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	4	$1.6K	2,107	0	+2,107	open	—	07-02 23:27
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	6	$1.5K	1,150	500	+650	open	—	06-12 15:20
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.4K	0	1,500	-1,500	open	—	07-01 08:17
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	6	$1.4K	950	750	+200	open	—	01-04 16:57
will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	6	$1.4K	1,290	116	+1,174	open	—	03-25 12:54
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	14	$1.3K	1,117	1,376	-259	open	—	06-12 18:31
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	5	$1.3K	900	900	+0	open	—	01-05 15:06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	22	$1.2K	1,700	2,100	-400	open	—	06-12 16:31
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	4	$1.2K	668	605	+63	open	—	06-24 16:43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$1.2K	850	700	+150	open	—	04-07 11:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	1,350	0	+1,350	open	—	06-30 07:40
will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	1	$1.1K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	06-23 15:28
will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	07-02 02:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 23:40:21	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x8b401b…
08-06 15:10:00	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x463b72…
08-06 05:05:53	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x5e05ec…
08-06 05:05:44	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	124	69¢	$86	0x1de016…
08-06 04:34:53	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xf3f929…
08-06 00:34:02	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	102	69¢	$70	0x08043a…
08-05 23:14:29	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	158	69¢	$109	0xa102d1…
08-05 20:55:14	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	123	95¢	$117	0x9927b2…
08-02 08:31:35	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	201	41¢	$83	0xd2e0fc…
08-02 08:11:18	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	134	41¢	$54	0x3e63cc…
08-02 08:09:12	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	48	41¢	$20	0x3933e2…
08-02 08:09:11	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	38	41¢	$16	0x40ccab…
08-02 07:51:32	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	135	37¢	$49	0x77f8a8…
08-01 15:35:29	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0xe33933…
08-01 15:35:17	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	600	94¢	$564	0x223a3a…
07-31 22:36:08	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	223	76¢	$169	0xa8188b…
07-31 22:35:32	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x810123…
07-31 22:35:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xad1235…
07-30 18:13:53	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in july 20260626154217433	No	SELL	94	97¢	$91	0xe3155c…
07-28 13:00:23	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in july 20260626154217433	No	SELL	50	83¢	$41	0xe3216f…
07-27 17:47:42	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in july 20260626154217433	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x1f7de6…
07-26 20:37:55	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in july 20260626154217433	No	SELL	60	78¢	$47	0x704b3c…
07-21 04:02:19	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	241	17¢	$41	0xdd00da…
07-21 02:37:07	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xfdc9e8…
07-17 15:04:33	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	130	47¢	$62	0x6e2f51…
07-16 10:12:31	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	80	54¢	$43	0xf3947f…
07-14 12:05:32	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1,400	93¢	$1,302	0x33eea2…
07-14 10:02:40	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 40m at auction 20260710183448005	No	BUY	128	49¢	$63	0x52e834…
07-14 04:15:22	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 35m at auction 20260710183448004	No	BUY	38	19¢	$7	0x25629e…
07-13 13:47:10	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 35m at auction 20260710183448004	No	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x64d073…
07-13 10:58:55	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 35m at auction 20260710183448004	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xb951ca…
07-13 08:53:23	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 25m at auction 20260710183448002	No	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0xc5e299…
07-13 08:51:14	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 25m at auction 20260710183448002	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xc2dd35…
07-13 05:51:07	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 25m at auction 20260710183448002	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x21f93f…
07-12 19:37:13	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 25m at auction 20260710183448002	No	BUY	208	7¢	$15	0x2ddb24…
07-12 18:08:13	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0xa5cc05…
07-12 16:18:29	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 25m at auction 20260710183448002	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xa41c29…
07-12 13:45:08	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 25m at auction 20260710183448002	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd7a6f6…
07-12 10:00:50	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 35m at auction 20260710183448004	No	BUY	150	29¢	$44	0xa1c6d9…
07-12 09:23:08	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 25m at auction 20260710183448002	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x8b74ec…
07-12 08:46:43	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 25m at auction 20260710183448002	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x081018…
07-12 08:39:19	will an artwork sell for 150 million by december 31	No	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x923a6c…
07-12 08:12:16	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in july 20260626154217433	No	SELL	40	49¢	$20	0x959f8e…
07-11 22:23:44	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	SELL	38	38¢	$14	0xda29cc…
07-11 22:21:02	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xc8be57…
07-11 22:13:05	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	43	32¢	$14	0x5ca693…
07-11 21:55:13	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x091545…
07-11 21:51:37	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	85	19¢	$16	0x410c05…
07-11 21:50:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x0139ef…
07-11 21:42:08	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x82c9fe…
07-11 19:20:53	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	57¢	$29	0x9fab26…
07-11 17:40:04	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x6dc608…
07-11 17:39:50	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	249	66¢	$164	0x596500…
07-11 17:32:52	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1db94a…
07-11 17:32:23	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0x162a92…
07-11 17:32:23	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x158d01…
07-11 16:49:26	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x487cff…
07-11 00:24:05	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	55	25¢	$14	0x0d9105…
07-11 00:24:01	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x863491…
07-11 00:23:55	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0xe82e7b…
07-10 20:25:59	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	71	25¢	$18	0x14d157…
07-10 20:21:13	Discord IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	150	57¢	$86	0x1a6a67…
07-10 19:46:52	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x9e8633…
07-10 16:24:05	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	90	86¢	$77	0xd9bd20…
07-10 13:44:47	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	32	15¢	$5	0xa351c5…
07-10 13:44:11	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	86	17¢	$15	0x1fc82f…
07-10 09:15:22	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in july 20260626154217433	No	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0xe70357…
07-10 07:55:55	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in july 20260626154217433	No	SELL	127	39¢	$50	0xd90ef6…
07-06 20:47:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	550	76¢	$418	0xc75c84…
07-06 16:19:40	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x018f44…
07-06 15:48:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0xf8bb77…
07-06 15:05:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	1,400	94¢	$1,316	0x6aa2b4…
07-06 14:16:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x90bec4…
07-06 14:15:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xc95b64…
07-06 14:14:05	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	87	77¢	$67	0xef01d6…
07-06 13:13:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xd8d6b1…
07-06 13:13:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x14114b…
07-06 13:13:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x2cdc26…
07-06 13:13:07	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xaaf7dc…
07-06 13:12:37	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xd3218a…
07-06 12:07:05	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	178	77¢	$137	0xab2ca8…
07-06 00:12:56	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	498	79¢	$393	0x4adc93…
07-05 14:36:14	Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	No	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x08ecc9…
07-04 20:18:58	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	500	8¢	$40	0x5c5a91…
07-04 18:53:41	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xe6ecde…
07-04 18:53:38	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xdd15b9…
07-04 18:53:29	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc35e70…
07-04 18:52:41	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xaa9363…
07-04 18:52:32	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	445	7¢	$31	0x85428f…
07-04 15:36:38	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x637a26…
07-04 15:36:34	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xca6495…
07-04 15:36:25	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0xdba6d6…
07-04 15:36:25	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x867413…
07-04 10:04:19	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x470232…
07-04 03:42:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	700	92¢	$644	0xcab392…
07-04 00:25:49	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x002a8c…
07-03 22:24:22	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	347	8¢	$28	0x25488d…
07-03 22:01:11	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	323	8¢	$26	0x9b532e…
07-03 16:03:04	Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xe26f82…
07-03 13:08:43	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	93	8¢	$7	0xaa43fb…