Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.85K

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

37.0%

Resolved

Trades

238

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-04-04

last 08-12 05:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Politics

85% 27% -$7,025

Other

8% 12% -$373

Crypto

4% 20% -$51

Sports

3% 0% -$404

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		+5,380	$30	0¢	$16	-$13	08-12 05:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	2	$5.3K	0	14,884	-14,884	Yes	-$9,584	06-14 22:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$3.5K	7,174	7,174	+0	Yes	+$3,083	04-07 22:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$392	369	369	+0	Yes	+$346	05-09 06:25
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	4	$348	1,473	214	+1,259	No	-$8	04-15 21:43
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 8	2	$288	295	281	+14	No	+$88	04-08 13:17
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$193	56,068	0	+56,068	No	-$193	06-26 15:22
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	31	$179	71,354	0	+71,354	No	-$179	06-18 18:04
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	2	$150	117	117	+0	Yes	+$81	06-15 20:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$136	7,151	7,151	+0	No	-$98	06-01 07:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	7	$111	2,273	0	+2,273	Yes	-$111	06-21 07:27
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	6	$111	4,615	0	+4,615	No	-$111	06-26 15:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	2	$109	3,590	0	+3,590	No	-$109	06-26 15:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$103	3,154	0	+3,154	No	-$103	04-11 06:41
will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	3	$102	1,642	1,642	+0	No	-$33	08-10 07:45
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$72	52	52	+0	Yes	+$32	06-15 17:56
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	3	$70	133	45	+88	No	-$8	06-29 14:55
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$66	50,333	0	+50,333	No	-$66	07-04 22:40
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	3	$59	6,735	0	+6,735	No	-$59	07-14 06:58
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$55	7,032	0	+7,032	No	-$55	07-07 13:27
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$54	623	0	+623	No	-$54	05-16 22:35
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$51	39	39	+0	Yes	+$11	06-16 20:37
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	5	$50	5,443	5,443	+0	No	-$40	05-13 12:03
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	5	$46	0	10,333	-10,333	No	+$46	06-19 17:15
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14?	1	$40	90	0	+90	No	-$40	06-14 09:12
ethereum above 2300 on april 9	3	$38	2,576	0	+2,576	No	-$38	04-09 03:57
will donald trump attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204740	2	$36	143	143	+0	No	+$16	06-17 17:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	2	$35	500	0	+500	No	-$35	04-14 08:18
sea udi com 2026 04 06 com	1	$34	58	0	+58	No	-$34	04-06 10:35
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	3	$34	4,917	4,917	+0	Yes	-$24	05-13 12:03
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$30	375	0	+375	No	-$30	05-16 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 05:47:25	Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,727	1¢	$16	0x7228ef…
08-12 05:45:00	Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,653	0¢	$13	0xa3b2ac…
08-10 07:45:12	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	1,642	2¢	$34	0xb6d06c…
08-06 13:39:41	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	442	5¢	$20	0x2aa826…
08-06 13:39:05	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	1,200	4¢	$48	0x93ed7d…
08-04 12:15:44	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	Yes	BUY	122	6¢	$7	0x059c24…
07-28 12:09:22	will netanyahu wear a yarmulke at next meeting with trump 20260724180650962	Yes	BUY	96	10¢	$9	0x83349b…
07-27 11:49:16	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	Yes	BUY	332	3¢	$9	0x2182c6…
07-19 18:59:40	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	134	7¢	$10	0xadc221…
07-14 07:01:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	211	4¢	$8	0x1a431a…
07-14 07:00:29	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	532	2¢	$10	0x6846d6…
07-14 06:58:25	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x3aa235…
07-07 13:27:46	Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,764	0¢	$29	0x3dc1d6…
07-07 13:27:05	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$40	0xfb4762…
07-04 22:40:29	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9,000	0¢	$9	0x3a6522…
07-04 22:40:11	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x703a79…
07-04 22:38:29	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29,000	0¢	$29	0x0f3243…
07-04 16:05:50	Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	364	2¢	$8	0x08bb64…
07-04 16:04:38	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xe5eb60…
07-04 16:04:05	Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0x3b6731…
07-03 13:56:20	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0xecd3c7…
07-03 13:55:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,340	0¢	$4	0x844b0a…
07-03 13:55:10	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xeb6ac8…
07-03 13:54:02	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xe69abd…
07-03 13:53:47	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xca5823…
07-02 21:20:35	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x0702e6…
07-02 21:15:55	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9,000	0¢	$9	0xc151bb…
07-02 21:13:14	Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xddd3cf…
07-02 21:12:29	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xa58d2e…
07-02 21:12:17	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xbe2ad9…
07-02 21:11:55	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xd53468…
07-02 19:54:47	Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0x300f78…
07-01 12:49:05	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	149	7¢	$10	0xe4369c…
07-01 12:48:55	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x6d1336…
07-01 12:48:46	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xa72d32…
07-01 12:48:38	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x6811a3…
07-01 12:48:29	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xd6dbce…
07-01 12:47:53	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xa1b9f9…
07-01 12:47:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	626	1¢	$5	0x91829e…
07-01 12:47:05	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x4e9fa5…
07-01 12:46:56	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$5	0x4053e5…
07-01 12:46:07	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	485	2¢	$9	0xd213d0…
06-29 14:55:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	88	33¢	$29	0x9c7f99…
06-29 12:32:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	45	69¢	$31	0x701096…
06-26 15:25:43	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	BUY	297	3¢	$10	0x53905f…
06-26 15:22:34	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,950	0¢	$12	0xa47a47…
06-26 15:20:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,534	1¢	$9	0x7c18bd…
06-26 15:19:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x9f1d3a…
06-26 15:16:02	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xabe33a…
06-26 15:13:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x7c5c04…
06-26 15:08:14	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	1¢	$1	0xcd73d5…
06-26 15:08:04	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	253	1¢	$2	0xac39a4…
06-26 15:04:19	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40,000	0¢	$80	0x5472d6…
06-22 12:50:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	67	11¢	$7	0xb1eb56…
06-22 12:49:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	26	33¢	$9	0x3dcbb2…
06-22 09:57:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x9ee9bd…
06-21 07:27:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	991	3¢	$31	0x5d7e1d…
06-21 07:23:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x4459c4…
06-21 07:22:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0x092fa1…
06-20 22:14:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	243	4¢	$9	0x8c3b46…
06-20 22:12:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0x301a45…
06-20 22:11:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	158	4¢	$6	0x2a96c4…
06-20 22:10:32	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	415	2¢	$7	0x760a64…
06-20 22:09:56	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$1	0x407dc3…
06-20 20:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 21?	Yes	BUY	64	4¢	$3	0x474b09…
06-20 20:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 21?	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0x070288…
06-20 16:52:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xb77cb8…
06-20 16:43:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	126	18¢	$23	0x1f821c…
06-20 16:43:07	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0xcacda8…
06-20 03:49:52	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xa52517…
06-19 17:15:29	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	SELL	2,567	1¢	$13	0x520599…
06-19 15:49:40	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x666c48…
06-19 15:48:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0xa8cfb7…
06-19 15:47:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$2	0x8ec6ba…
06-19 15:47:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,037	3¢	$28	0xd1470a…
06-19 15:46:02	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	SELL	3,615	0¢	$12	0x825def…
06-19 15:14:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	SELL	3,051	1¢	$17	0xa0c309…
06-18 18:04:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	1,295	1¢	$8	0xe17176…
06-18 18:04:14	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	676	0¢	$2	0x966eef…
06-18 16:52:35	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	398	1¢	$3	0xdc6867…
06-18 16:52:05	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	1,154	1¢	$7	0x62fb2c…
06-18 15:24:53	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x714579…
06-18 15:23:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	392	3¢	$12	0xc43eac…
06-18 15:23:14	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$15	0xb29f5a…
06-18 14:17:56	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xa703aa…
06-18 14:17:40	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	1,452	1¢	$7	0xed816b…
06-18 14:17:22	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	539	0¢	$2	0x76fe81…
06-18 12:12:47	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	529	1¢	$4	0x180caf…
06-18 12:12:14	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	464	1¢	$3	0x69dd65…
06-18 12:11:32	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	1,329	0¢	$5	0x07b2cd…
06-18 09:22:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	3¢	$20	0x73726a…
06-18 09:09:38	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	1,128	0¢	$4	0x325b19…
06-17 17:48:05	will donald trump attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204740	Yes	SELL	143	18¢	$26	0x9b923e…
06-17 15:49:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	211	0¢	$1	0x635ccd…
06-17 15:31:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	2,895	0¢	$6	0x9c7d92…
06-17 14:42:46	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xc40f0c…
06-17 14:33:31	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xfd3559…
06-17 13:32:52	will donald trump attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204740	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x42c3bf…
06-16 20:39:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x5dde8d…
06-16 20:37:13	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	39	79¢	$31	0xce5f8d…