Sudden-Accompanist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,341

lifetime

Volume

$3.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-24 20:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-3

Sports

31% 0% $-10

Politics

12% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	28	$67	111	25	+86	open	—	07-20 12:46
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tien	5	$48	45	41	+4	open	—	05-28 13:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	15	$39	39	39	+0	open	—	06-12 10:20
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	11	$30	40	40	+0	open	—	06-20 14:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	10	$27	52	52	+0	open	—	06-19 03:23
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	8	$25	24	24	+0	open	—	06-12 10:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	9	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	06-22 00:50
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	8	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	06-16 23:53
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	7	$21	14	18	-5	open	—	06-14 16:33
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	5	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	06-24 15:54
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	7	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	06-12 09:55
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	9	$19	39	39	+0	open	—	06-12 07:09
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	9	$19	81	81	+0	open	—	06-12 16:09
Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Gen.G Global Academy (+1.5)	8	$19	34	10	+24	open	—	05-26 09:05
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	4	$18	10	13	-3	open	—	05-31 13:09
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	5	$16	35	35	+0	open	—	06-30 06:50
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	5	$16	24	24	+0	open	—	06-11 12:35
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	8	$16	75	75	+0	open	—	06-09 14:34
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 00:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	3	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	06-30 06:51
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech	4	$15	20	7	+13	open	—	05-27 18:04
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	6	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	07-09 07:35
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderi	9	$13	50	0	+50	open	—	05-26 18:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	4	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	06-30 06:51
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	4	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-30 06:51
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-27 16:35
Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkacz	5	$12	27	0	+27	open	—	05-25 14:37
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	06-21 02:38
wti up or down on june 26 2026	8	$12	31	31	+0	open	—	06-26 16:06
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	3	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	06-30 06:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 20:03:07	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xa71db6…
07-24 19:04:52	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x420f7d…
07-22 08:21:37	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x3004d2…
07-22 03:55:03	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x519d56…
07-21 18:41:06	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xc461e6…
07-21 18:16:04	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbbd7a9…
07-20 12:46:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa08b92…
07-20 12:46:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x6cc76c…
07-20 12:46:12	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd4f01b…
07-20 12:45:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x84cae0…
07-20 12:39:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x363a52…
07-20 12:38:48	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x59165a…
07-20 12:24:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc7b761…
07-20 12:22:54	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x98e913…
07-20 12:20:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc6bd4d…
07-20 12:18:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x6ab10c…
07-20 12:18:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x6ab10c…
07-20 12:18:31	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xee06f5…
07-20 12:16:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x65f402…
07-20 12:15:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x600a35…
07-20 12:11:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0b0e12…
07-20 12:08:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5ca85e…
07-20 12:07:25	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x55bf93…
07-20 12:07:25	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x55bf93…
07-20 12:06:33	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x62dfd7…
07-20 12:02:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5f918a…
07-20 11:59:07	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x821566…
07-20 11:59:07	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x821566…
07-20 11:50:55	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x6ff15f…
07-20 11:50:55	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x00222b…
07-20 11:00:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbe14a9…
07-20 10:59:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x933d43…
07-20 10:56:49	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa7f411…
07-16 20:55:32	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x07afb3…
07-13 19:44:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x63d891…
07-13 19:44:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x63d891…
07-12 03:45:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x161263…
07-09 07:49:26	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x1b6a77…
07-09 07:35:34	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xa5c0c2…
07-09 07:35:28	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x2f079f…
07-09 07:35:20	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5655d5…
07-09 07:35:10	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x52e325…
06-30 06:51:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe284ad…
06-30 06:51:52	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xde5331…
06-30 06:51:43	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xa26899…
06-30 06:51:34	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x9df5d7…
06-30 06:51:28	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xdf2bab…
06-30 06:51:23	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0xa03e46…
06-30 06:51:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa93524…
06-30 06:51:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0xd74b0e…
06-30 06:50:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x81a8a3…
06-30 06:50:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xb54c78…
06-29 09:15:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x4e6aae…
06-29 09:09:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xf5b9b4…
06-28 00:06:40	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7ea189…
06-27 08:29:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0eed7f…
06-27 05:45:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x296efe…
06-26 21:02:23	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x1afffd…
06-26 20:57:23	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x3d8a89…
06-26 19:01:08	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x6e906c…
06-26 18:53:52	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xdd15a4…
06-26 18:46:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x307bf9…
06-26 16:06:59	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x977371…
06-26 16:01:02	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x93d560…
06-26 13:22:00	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x1272d0…
06-26 13:14:24	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x1c249a…
06-26 11:59:25	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf36e12…
06-26 11:58:08	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x232fb1…
06-26 07:20:31	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf3e9d2…
06-26 06:30:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x99e869…
06-26 04:48:43	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4a6cd4…
06-26 02:56:29	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x023d21…
06-25 22:27:20	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x371f6f…
06-25 21:27:31	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x27b185…
06-25 17:43:56	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xce845a…
06-25 01:23:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8a9acc…
06-24 17:56:16	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb11613…
06-24 15:54:53	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xe52aae…
06-23 15:59:59	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xd74158…
06-23 15:53:08	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x32ba8b…
06-23 14:28:59	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x487896…
06-23 14:28:31	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe67089…
06-23 08:29:55	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xcbaab3…
06-23 07:34:31	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc87a83…
06-23 04:48:10	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xd0c008…
06-23 04:34:08	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x3c8927…
06-22 14:14:05	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2c7070…
06-22 14:11:11	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x13e76a…
06-22 14:06:20	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xe0147f…
06-22 06:53:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xb385dc…
06-22 06:46:19	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x579114…
06-22 02:43:43	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x246c8d…
06-22 02:37:02	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xd44b3d…
06-22 02:23:29	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xdcc096…
06-22 02:23:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x25267d…
06-22 00:50:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xf0cec7…
06-21 21:52:14	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x2db338…
06-21 21:23:58	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd33730…
06-21 17:44:29	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1fd5bc…
06-21 17:44:20	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xf17c7f…