Every-Variety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved

164

Trades

504

lifetime

Volume

$1.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-02 08:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 0% $0

Other

25% 48% +$8

Sports

19% 40% -$56

Politics

14% 46% -$33

Tech

1% 38% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 60k in january 2026	2	$400	200	200	+0	No	$0	01-30 02:34
bitcoin above 102k on january 14	2	$396	198	198	+0	No	$0	01-14 02:56
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	61	$101	140	140	+0	No	-$1	06-04 10:50
ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	1	$55	96	0	+96	Joe Pyfer	-$55	03-26 01:51
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	23	$48	53	53	+0	No	+$1	06-20 23:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$20	17	17	+0	No	+$1	06-04 04:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	6	$20	22	22	+0	Yes	-$2	06-13 02:09
nba bos bkn 2026 01 23	1	$19	25	0	+25	Celtics	+$6	01-23 05:12
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	1	$18	38	0	+38	Iowa Hawkeyes	+$20	03-26 01:49
nhl nyi phi 2026 01 26	1	$17	35	0	+35	Islanders	+$17	01-26 07:36
nhl lak cbj 2026 01 26	1	$17	35	0	+35	Kings	+$18	01-26 07:37
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	3	$16	25	25	+0	No	+$4	06-10 01:53
nba dal bkn 2026 02 24	1	$16	35	0	+35	Mavericks	-$16	02-24 05:48
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	4	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	06-28 17:30
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	5	$14	11	11	+0	No	-$1	06-03 10:06
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	7	$14	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	06-04 04:07
nba tor orl 2026 01 30	1	$14	28	0	+28	Magic	-$14	01-30 02:33
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	4	$14	8	8	+0	No	+$2	06-30 03:16
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	3	$14	8	8	+0	No	+$2	06-30 03:16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	3	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-16 10:37
nhl utah tb 2026 01 26	1	$13	21	0	+21	Lightning	+$8	01-26 07:38
will nvda dip to 184 in june 2026	4	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$1	06-16 11:08
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	4	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-30 03:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	3	$13	9	9	+0	No	+$1	06-30 03:16
will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	6	$12	12	12	+0	No	+$3	06-08 17:17
will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	3	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	-$1	06-20 02:49
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	3	$12	8	8	+0	No	+$1	06-02 21:24
Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2026?	3	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	06-02 05:13
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	5	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	06-03 22:58
will trump speak to maria corina machado in june	3	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	06-30 03:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 08:31:10	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x1911c6…
07-02 08:28:56	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xac0399…
07-02 08:28:56	Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x82de07…
07-02 08:28:55	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Yes	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x01da84…
07-02 08:28:53	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x139671…
07-02 08:28:52	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x137085…
06-30 03:17:23	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1c2c91…
06-30 03:17:22	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x98630c…
06-30 03:17:20	Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x80db94…
06-30 03:17:19	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd06627…
06-30 03:17:19	will msft reach 480 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x99ed00…
06-30 03:17:17	will donald trump publicly insult jd vance by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc48231…
06-30 03:17:16	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x70d87b…
06-30 03:17:14	will meta reach 700 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe0ce64…
06-30 03:17:13	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x913cc2…
06-30 03:17:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0f0db1…
06-30 03:17:11	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8f94bb…
06-30 03:17:10	will xauusd reach 5000 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x28a599…
06-30 03:17:08	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xaa75a5…
06-30 03:17:08	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x85f3a3…
06-30 03:17:05	will nvda reach 256 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x723323…
06-30 03:17:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0a8ff5…
06-30 03:17:04	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd8cbb5…
06-30 03:17:01	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6b29a4…
06-30 03:17:01	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x28d52d…
06-30 03:16:59	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc00793…
06-30 03:16:59	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x1a3282…
06-30 03:16:56	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x2ca1f1…
06-30 03:16:55	will tsla reach 525 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4c4361…
06-30 03:16:53	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x85ab14…
06-30 03:16:53	Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x31a4e0…
06-30 03:16:52	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x9b6c69…
06-30 03:16:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x59a141…
06-30 03:16:47	will trump speak to maria corina machado in june	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xc47d7a…
06-30 03:16:47	will sui reach 1pt80 before 2027	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x52caaf…
06-30 03:16:46	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x8b0ec6…
06-30 03:16:43	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x7bcf73…
06-30 03:16:41	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xac70ac…
06-30 03:16:40	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x573a7b…
06-30 03:16:38	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x02fcee…
06-30 03:16:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x351b29…
06-30 03:16:37	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x1b96ea…
06-30 03:16:35	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x5a23db…
06-29 03:27:44	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x0c5015…
06-28 22:58:47	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x4c1f2a…
06-28 17:30:46	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x60a86a…
06-28 17:30:43	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xe6483b…
06-24 07:06:04	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf0584b…
06-22 01:12:04	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xa867ee…
06-21 22:36:07	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x97ff7b…
06-21 20:01:19	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x3b0d9f…
06-21 20:01:16	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x478b46…
06-21 17:26:10	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x889055…
06-21 14:49:01	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xde9697…
06-21 12:45:38	will germany reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120751	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xd26596…
06-21 11:47:28	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe0730f…
06-21 11:47:28	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x06abc4…
06-21 09:12:14	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5ee712…
06-21 06:35:16	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4a26ad…
06-21 01:21:40	will germany reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120751	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xda1188…
06-21 01:21:35	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x49300f…
06-21 01:21:26	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Yes	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x4721bb…
06-20 23:15:10	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x5c0023…
06-20 23:09:10	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x6d9372…
06-20 23:09:07	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x8925d5…
06-20 20:57:31	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x10efb7…
06-20 20:34:38	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xa840c6…
06-20 15:24:47	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xfc9027…
06-20 15:24:46	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xb6d008…
06-20 12:47:17	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8881d7…
06-20 07:37:13	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbad45c…
06-20 07:37:10	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8b2e7e…
06-20 07:37:04	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x928253…
06-20 07:36:58	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x488b50…
06-20 07:36:56	Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0c238c…
06-20 05:02:10	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x781b98…
06-20 03:02:01	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xcc33bf…
06-20 03:01:59	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x5a4373…
06-20 02:49:55	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xff33b2…
06-20 02:49:53	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9bd8c1…
06-20 02:49:52	Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xd224bc…
06-20 02:49:52	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x7a8637…
06-20 02:49:50	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x45ec8a…
06-20 02:49:49	will australia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120748	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x5e9f44…
06-20 02:49:49	will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x5bacaa…
06-20 02:49:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xde49fc…
06-19 17:44:22	will trump speak to maria corina machado in june	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xedbccc…
06-19 17:44:19	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 goals christian pulisic gte1	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xd803f2…
06-19 17:33:16	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x230366…
06-19 17:10:29	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x81f256…
06-19 17:01:29	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdcecb1…
06-19 17:01:08	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x83dd28…
06-19 16:49:10	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xe64efe…
06-19 16:38:22	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x189579…
06-17 15:30:47	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	251	0¢	$1	0x57f4d3…
06-17 14:30:05	will warsh say stable or stability during june press conference 20260608181156666 589 294	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x1ba284…
06-17 09:20:37	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x09503b…
06-17 09:09:25	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x05abce…
06-17 00:01:41	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8a2e82…
06-16 18:46:13	will australia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120748	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf6723c…