Smug-Avalanche 0xc302b5…0ef388
whale cold 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5.82K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.51K
Hit rate
82.2%
Resolved
168
Trades
466
lifetime
Volume
$332.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$713
Open exposure
$7.21K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-03 16:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Politics
64% 67% -$9,718
Other
25% 69% +$4,008
Sports
5% 100% +$46
Crypto
4% 67% +$829
Tech
2% 88% -$988
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +860 $800 98¢ $844 +$44 08-24 11:36
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? No +559 $450 100¢ $557 +$107 09-02 14:03
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +382 $329 99¢ $380 +$51 09-28 15:49
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by december 31 2026 No +349 $250 92¢ $321 +$71 08-28 11:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,308 -$1,375 10¢ $-314 +$1,061 05-06 10:57
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +334 $287 92¢ $305 +$18 08-24 08:54
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +291 $250 97¢ $283 +$33 08-24 11:56
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,953 $200 9¢ $273 +$73 09-21 21:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +323 $250 84¢ $273 +$23 09-01 08:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +274 $250 99¢ $272 +$22 09-28 15:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +269 $250 100¢ $269 +$19 09-15 21:31
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +294 $250 91¢ $268 +$18 08-24 10:24
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +287 $250 92¢ $264 +$14 08-28 11:16
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +288 $250 91¢ $262 +$12 09-15 21:52
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +263 $250 99¢ $261 +$11 10-02 22:46
friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before october 31 2026 No +260 $250 100¢ $260 +$10 09-25 21:52
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +352 $250 74¢ $259 +$9 08-28 11:12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +256 $200 98¢ $253 +$53 09-27 17:25
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,618 $447 10¢ $249 -$198 09-21 21:34
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +284 $250 86¢ $243 -$7 09-01 08:35
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +298 $250 82¢ $243 -$7 09-01 08:52
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +222 $200 86¢ $192 -$8 09-28 15:55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +206 $167 88¢ $180 +$13 09-28 15:46
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +189 $100 84¢ $158 +$58 09-01 09:03
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes -605 -$35 4¢ $-24 +$10 05-06 10:57