Realized P&L
+$23.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$11.4K
Hit rate
98.5%
Resolved
19
Trades
428
lifetime
Volume
$466.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.09K
Open exposure
$114.3K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 10-22 16:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
51% 90% +$8,571
Tech
39% 100% +$13,422
Politics
10% 100% +$1,820
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +43,317 $18,313 61¢ $26.4K +$8,089 08-28 10:48
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +30,000 $24,900 82¢ $24.8K -$150 10-19 13:47
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +31,313 $17,678 56¢ $17.7K +$14 08-28 01:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +20,000 $17,200 84¢ $16.9K -$300 10-19 11:17
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +50,000 -$1,200 33¢ $16.4K +$17,625 10-15 13:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +14,485 $5,939 30¢ $4.3K -$1,593 10-18 21:56
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +5,980 $4,246 68¢ $4.1K -$150 10-16 16:24
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +100,000 $15,000 2¢ $1.7K -$13,250 08-07 13:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,647 $495 96¢ $1.6K +$1,087 10-22 16:56
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $325 13¢ $399 +$74 10-22 16:16