Realized P&L (24h)
+$2.07K
Unrealized P&L
+$14.8K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
1
Trades (24h)
1
444 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$44
$468.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.06K
Open exposure
$117.4K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 10-31 11:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
51% 91% +$10,639
Tech
39% 100% +$13,422
Politics
10% 100% +$1,820
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +43,317 $18,313 58¢ $25.1K +$6,746 08-28 10:48
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +30,000 $24,900 80¢ $23.9K -$1,050 10-19 13:47
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +50,000 -$1,200 44¢ $21.9K +$23,075 10-15 13:30
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +31,313 $17,678 58¢ $18.2K +$484 08-28 01:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +20,000 $17,200 86¢ $17.1K -$100 10-19 11:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +14,485 $5,939 30¢ $4.4K -$1,521 10-18 21:56
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +5,980 $4,246 74¢ $4.4K +$150 10-16 16:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,647 $495 97¢ $1.6K +$1,101 10-22 16:56
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +100,000 $15,000 1¢ $900 -$14,100 08-07 13:39