Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$9.97K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
12
440 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.64K
$467.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.06K
Open exposure
$111.2K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 10-30 08:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
51% 90% +$8,571
Tech
39% 100% +$13,422
Politics
10% 100% +$1,820
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +30,000 $24,900 80¢ $23.9K -$1,050 10-19 13:47
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +43,317 $18,313 52¢ $22.6K +$4,277 08-28 10:48
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +50,000 -$1,200 41¢ $20.4K +$21,600 10-15 13:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +20,000 $17,200 86¢ $17.3K +$100 10-19 11:17
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +31,313 $17,678 50¢ $15.8K -$1,865 08-28 01:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +14,485 $5,939 30¢ $4.4K -$1,521 10-18 21:56
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +5,980 $4,246 64¢ $3.8K -$449 10-16 16:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,647 $495 96¢ $1.6K +$1,088 10-22 16:56
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +100,000 $15,000 1¢ $1.0K -$13,950 08-07 13:39
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +750 -$1,317 56¢ $423 +$1,740 10-30 08:10