Realized P&L (30d)
+$356
Unrealized P&L
+$455
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
5
Trades (30d)
76
428 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$103.1K
$466.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.09K
Open exposure
$103.4K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 10-22 16:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
51% 90% +$8,571
Tech
39% 100% +$13,422
Politics
10% 100% +$1,820
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +30,000 $24,900 78¢ $23.6K -$1,350 10-19 13:47
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +43,317 $18,313 51¢ $22.1K +$3,757 08-28 10:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +20,000 $17,200 84¢ $16.9K -$300 10-19 11:17
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +31,313 $17,678 48¢ $15.2K -$2,491 08-28 01:58
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +50,000 -$1,200 28¢ $13.8K +$14,975 10-15 13:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +5,980 $4,246 69¢ $4.1K -$120 10-16 16:24
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +14,485 $5,939 26¢ $3.8K -$2,173 10-18 21:56
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +100,000 $15,000 2¢ $2.0K -$12,950 08-07 13:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,647 $495 96¢ $1.6K +$1,088 10-22 16:56
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $325 11¢ $344 +$18 10-22 16:16